Arouca vs Santa Clara Prediction
FT
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
AI call
Arouca or draw
40%
27%
33%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Arouca vs Santa Clara prediction: Sportiko gives Arouca a 40% chance of winning, Santa Clara 33% and the draw 27%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Javi Sánchez
Yellow Card
5'
▮
Hyun-ju Lee
assist: Tiago Esgaio
8'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
10'
Gabriel Silva
assist: Serginho
⇄
22'
Guilherme Romão
⇄ Paulo Victor
▮
30'
Serginho
Yellow Card
▮
44'
José Tavares
Yellow Card
Hyun-ju Lee
Yellow Card
45+3'
▮
HT 1–1
Javi Sánchez
⇄ Matías Rocha
46'
⇄
⇄
59'
Brenner
⇄ Welinton
Bas Kuipers
⇄ Amadou Dante
64'
⇄
Hyun-ju Lee
Yellow Card
66'
▮
Hyun-ju Lee
Red Card
66'
▮
Ivan Barbero
⇄ Mateo Flores
75'
⇄
Naïs Djouahra
⇄ Pablo Gozálbez
76'
⇄
⇄
76'
Diogo Calila
⇄ Lucas Soares
⇄
76'
Gonçalo Paciência
⇄ Elias Manoel
⇄
76'
Gustavo Klismahn
⇄ Vinícius Lopes
Tiago Esgaio
assist: Taichi Fukui
84'
⚽
2–1
Taichi Fukui
⇄ Diogo Monteiro
85'
⇄
▮
88'
Frederico Venâncio
Yellow Card
⚽
2–2
90'
Elias Manoel
assist: Welinton
FT 2–2
Arouca
Match Stats
Santa Clara
51%
Ball Possession
49%
0.78
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
9
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots off Goal
5
1
Blocked Shots
3
3
Shots insidebox
9
6
Shots outsidebox
3
5
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
8
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
427
Total passes
404
378
Passes accurate
356
89%
Passes %
88%
-0.27
goals_prevented
-0.27
Arouca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Tiago Esgaio D | 8.7 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 (23%) | 1 |
| 21 Taichi Fukui M | 7.3 | 85' | – | 1 | 1 | 64 (61%) | 1 |
| 4 Matías Rocha D | 7.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | – |
| 12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | – |
| 7 Naïs Djouahra M | 6.9 | 76' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | 1 |
| 22 Espen Van Ee M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 34 (30%) | 3 |
| 44 Amadou Dante D | 6.7 | 26' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 3 |
| 15 Javi Sánchez D | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 48 (46%) | – |
| 3 Jose Fontán D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 85 (80%) | – |
| 46 Mateo Flores M | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 25 Bas Kuipers D | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | – | 18 (18%) | 1 |
| 17 Ivan Barbero F | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 10 Pablo Gozálbez M | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 6 Diogo Monteiro D | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 14 Hyun-ju Lee M | 6.0 | 66' | 1 | – | 1 | 27 (24%) | – |
| 19 Alfonso Trezza M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 2 |
Santa Clara
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Gabriel Silva M | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 35 Serginho M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 54 (50%) | 1 |
| 23 Sidney Lima D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (62%) | – |
| 49 Welinton F | 7.2 | 31' | – | 1 | – | 13 (13%) | – |
| 65 José Tavares M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 38 (34%) | 2 |
| 7 Elias Manoel F | 6.9 | 14' | 1 | – | 2 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 42 Lucas Soares D | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 39 Gonçalo Paciência F | 6.6 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 15 (14%) | – |
| 21 Frederico Venâncio D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 65 (62%) | 2 |
| 1 Gabriel Batista G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | – |
| 5 Guilherme Romão D | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 11 Brenner M | 6.5 | 59' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | 1 |
| 64 Paulo Victor D | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | – | 31 (22%) | 1 |
| 70 Vinícius Lopes F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 77 Gustavo Klismahn M | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 2 Diogo Calila D | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (59%)
At a glance
Our lean
Arouca or draw
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Arouca
DLDWL
Santa Clara
DWWDW
Last 3 meetings
Arouca · 0W 1D 2L
Match summary
Arouca hosts Santa Clara in a crucial Primeira Liga encounter on May 3, 2026. Arouca has shown solid home form, leveraging their compact defensive structure, currently boasting a home win rate of 58%. In contrast, Santa Clara struggles on the road, with an away win rate of just 22%, highlighting their vulnerability outside the Azores. Key players to watch include Arouca's midfield general, who averages over 3 key passes per game, and Santa Clara’s leading scorer, who will need to capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities. This clash could significantly influence both teams' prospects for the season, with Arouca aiming for a top-half finish and Santa Clara fighting to avoid relegation.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Arouca
Barbero
4 gls
Santa Clara
Gonçalo Paciência
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Arouca vs Santa Clara
0
Arouca Wins
1
Draws
2
Santa Clara Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Arouca | 1 - 2 | Santa Clara |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 0 - 0 | Arouca |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Santa Clara | 2 - 0 | Arouca |
Arouca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Sporting CP | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Santa Clara | L | 1 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | A Estoril | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | H Maritimo | W | 2 - 1 |
| 23 Aug | A FC Porto | L | 2 - 0 |
Santa Clara — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H SC Braga | D | 0 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Arouca | W | 1 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | H Rio Ave | W | 4 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Alverca | D | 1 - 1 |
| 23 Aug | H Famalicao | W | 1 - 0 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Santa Clara
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vasco Matos
1
Batista
5
Romao
21
Venancio
23
Lima
2
Calila
35
Serginho
65
Tavares
10
Silva
77
Klismahn
11
Brenner
39
Paciencia
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Batista | G |
| 2 | Diogo Calila | D |
| 23 | S. Lima | D |
| 21 | F. Venancio | D |
| 5 | Guilherme Romao | D |
| 65 | J. Tavares | M |
| 35 | Serginho | M |
| 11 | Brenner | M |
| 77 | Gustavo Klismahn | M |
| 10 | Gabriel Silva | M |
| 39 | G. Paciencia | F |
Substitutes
| 50 | J. Afonso | G |
| 4 | P. Pacheco | D |
| 42 | Lucas Soares | D |
| 64 | Paulo Victor | D |
| 49 | Welinton Torrao | F |
| 37 | Darlan | M |
| 7 | Elias Manoel | F |
| 70 | Vinicius Lopes | F |
| 78 | Andrey | M |
Arouca
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vasco Seabra
12
Arruabarrena
25
Kuipers
3
Fontan
15
Sanchez
28
Esgaio
22
Ee
21
Fukui
7
Djouahra
14
Lee
19
Trezza
17
Barbero
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | I. De Arruabarrena | G |
| 28 | Tiago Esgaio | D |
| 15 | J. Sanchez | D |
| 3 | J. Fontan | D |
| 25 | B. Kuipers | D |
| 21 | T. Fukui | M |
| 22 | E. van Ee | M |
| 19 | A. Trezza | M |
| 14 | H. Lee | M |
| 7 | N. Djouahra | M |
| 17 | I. Barbero | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | J. Vinarcik | G |
| 44 | A. Dante | D |
| 89 | Pedro Santos | M |
| 4 | M. Rocha | D |
| 9 | F. Mayulu | F |
| 24 | B. Mansilla | F |
| 10 | P. Gozalbez | M |
| 6 | D. Monteiro | D |
| 46 | M. Flores | M |