Sporting CP vs Guimaraes Prediction
FT
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
AI call
Sporting CP to win
86%
12%
3%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Sporting CP vs Guimaraes prediction: Sportiko gives Sporting CP a 86% chance of winning, Guimaraes 3% and the draw 12%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
▮
7'
Diogo Sousa
Yellow Card
Gonçalo Inácio
assist: Luis Javier Suárez
9'
⚽
1–0
Daniel Bragança
assist: Hidemasa Morita
23'
⚽
2–0
Maximiliano Araújo
assist: Zeno Debast
45'
⚽
3–0
Maximiliano Araújo
Goal confirmed
45+3'
🖵
HT 3–0
Hidemasa Morita
⇄ Luis Guilherme
46'
⇄
⇄
46'
Diogo Sousa
⇄ Gonçalo Nogueira
▮
60'
Thiago Balieiro
Yellow Card
Luis Javier Suárez
assist: Pedro Gonçalves
61'
⚽
4–0
⇄
62'
Gustavo Silva
⇄
62'
Miguel Nogueira
⇄ Oumar Camara
Geny Catamo
70'
⇄
Luis Guilherme
assist: Luis Javier Suárez
74'
⚽
5–0
Pedro Gonçalves
⇄ Giorgi Kochorashvili
78'
⇄
Francisco Trincão
⇄ Geovany Quenda
78'
⇄
⇄
79'
Noah Saviolo
⇄ Telmo Arcanjo
Gonçalo Inácio
⇄ Ousmane Diomande
82'
⇄
⚽
5–1
85'
Zeno Debast
Own Goal
⇄
85'
Samu
⇄ Fabio Blanco
FT 5–1
Sporting CP
Match Stats
Guimaraes
52%
Ball Possession
48%
4.22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
14
Total Shots
13
10
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots off Goal
5
1
Blocked Shots
3
10
Shots insidebox
5
4
Shots outsidebox
8
1
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
490
Total passes
455
419
Passes accurate
377
86%
Passes %
83%
-1.22
goals_prevented
-1.22
Sporting CP
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Luis Javier Suárez F | 9.2 | 90' | 1 | 2 | 4 | 23 (16%) | – |
| 23 Daniel Bragança M | 8.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 63 (57%) | 2 |
| 20 Maximiliano Araújo D | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 31 (25%) | 4 |
| 1 Rui Silva G | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | – |
| 25 Gonçalo Inácio D | 7.9 | 82' | 1 | – | 1 | 58 (52%) | – |
| 31 Luis Guilherme F | 7.6 | 45' | 1 | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 5 Hidemasa Morita M | 7.5 | 45' | – | 1 | – | 25 (20%) | – |
| 72 Eduardo Quaresma D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (42%) | 7 |
| 10 Geny Catamo M | 7.0 | 70' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 8 Pedro Gonçalves M | 6.9 | 78' | – | 1 | 2 | 35 (30%) | 1 |
| 11 Nuno Santos D | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 6 Zeno Debast D | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 60 (55%) | 2 |
| 17 Francisco Trincão M | 6.3 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 40 (31%) | 1 |
| 7 Geovany Quenda M | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 14 Giorgi Kochorashvili M | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | 1 |
| 26 Ousmane Diomande D | 6.2 | 8' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
Guimaraes
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Telmo Arcanjo M | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 30 Gonçalo Nogueira M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 15 (14%) | 1 |
| 90 Alioune Ndoye F | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | 1 |
| 20 Samu M | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 33 (24%) | 1 |
| 19 Oumar Camara F | 6.5 | 28' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | – |
| 23 Diogo Sousa M | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | 2 |
| 22 Fabio Blanco F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 16 Beni Mukendi M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (69%) | – |
| 88 Miguel Nogueira M | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | 2 |
| 11 Gustavo Silva F | 6.0 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 10 (5%) | – |
| 48 Noah Saviolo M | 5.9 | 79' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | – |
| 66 Tony Strata D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 44 (40%) | 2 |
| 27 Charles G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (19%) | – |
| 4 Óscar Rivas D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (49%) | 2 |
| 13 João Mendes D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 43 (38%) | 3 |
| 28 Thiago Balieiro D | 4.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (36%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Our lean
Sporting CP to win
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Sporting CP
WWWWW
Guimaraes
WLLLW
Last 3 meetings
Sporting CP · 2W 1D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash on May 3, 2026, Sporting CP hosts Guimarães at Estádio José Alvalade. Sporting CP, historically dominant at home, boasts a strong attacking lineup, having scored an average of 2.3 goals per match this season. Guimarães, while competitive, has struggled defensively against top-tier teams, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match away from home. Key players to watch include Sporting's leading scorer, who contributes significantly to their offensive output, and Guimarães' goalkeeper, whose performance could be pivotal in mitigating Sporting's attacking threats. Overall, Sporting CP is favored to secure a victory, given their home advantage and superior goal-scoring metrics.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sporting CP vs Guimaraes
2
Sporting CP Wins
1
Draws
0
Guimaraes Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 1 - 4 | Sporting CP |
| 17 May 2025 | Sporting CP | 2 - 0 | Guimaraes |
| 03 Jan 2025 | Guimaraes | 4 - 4 | Sporting CP |
Sporting CP — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul | H Nottingham Forest | W | 4 - 1 |
| 25 Jul | H Monaco | W | 2 - 0 |
| 20 Jul | H Strasbourg | W | 7 - 0 |
| 14 Jul | H Celtic | W | 4 - 1 |
| 16 May | H GIL Vicente | W | 3 - 0 |
Guimaraes — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | H Chaves | W | 2 - 0 |
| 16 May | A Nacional | L | 2 - 0 |
| 11 May | H Casa Pia | L | 0 - 1 |
| 04 May | A Sporting CP | L | 5 - 1 |
| 25 Apr | H Rio Ave | W | 2 - 0 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Famalicao
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 |
Estoril
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 |
Estrela
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Guimaraes
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
GIL Vicente
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Rio Ave
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Santa Clara
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
FC Porto
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Benfica
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Maritimo
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |
SC Braga
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Nacional
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Arouca
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Academico Viseu
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
Alverca
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Guimaraes
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Gil Lameiras
27
Silva
13
Mendes
28
Balieiro
4
Viondi
66
Strata
16
Beni
23
Sousa
48
Saviolo
20
Samu
88
Nogueira
11
Gustavo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Charles Silva | G |
| 66 | T. Strata | D |
| 4 | O. Rivas Viondi | D |
| 28 | Thiago Balieiro | D |
| 13 | J. I. Mendes | D |
| 23 | D. Sousa | M |
| 16 | Beni | M |
| 88 | M. Nogueira | M |
| 20 | Samu | M |
| 48 | N. Saviolo | M |
| 11 | Gustavo | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | J. Castillo | G |
| 7 | N. Oliveira | F |
| 18 | T. Arcanjo | M |
| 90 | A. Ndoye | F |
| 22 | F. Blanco | F |
| 26 | R. Abascal | D |
| 2 | Maga | D |
| 30 | G. Nogueira | M |
| 19 | O. Camara | F |
Sporting CP
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Rui Borges
1
Silva
20
Araujo
25
Inacio
6
Debast
72
Quaresma
5
Morita
23
Braganca
8
Pote
17
Trincao
10
Catamo
97
Suarez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Silva | G |
| 72 | E. Quaresma | D |
| 6 | Z. Debast | D |
| 25 | G. Inacio | D |
| 20 | M. Araujo | D |
| 23 | D. Braganca | M |
| 5 | H. Morita | M |
| 10 | G. Catamo | M |
| 17 | Trincao | M |
| 8 | Pote | M |
| 97 | L. Suarez | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | J. Virginia | G |
| 14 | G. Kochorashvili | M |
| 11 | N. Santos | D |
| 26 | O. Diomande | D |
| 90 | R. Nel | F |
| 31 | Luis Guilherme | F |
| 91 | R. Mangas | D |
| 13 | G. Vagiannidis | D |
| 7 | G. Quenda | M |