Nacional vs AVS Prediction
FT
AI call
Nacional or draw
44%
39%
17%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Nacional vs AVS prediction: Sportiko gives Nacional a 44% chance of winning, AVS 17% and the draw 39%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Filipe Soares
4'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
22'
Pedro Lima
assist: Babatunde Akinsola
Gabriel Veron
Yellow Card
41'
▮
▮
45'
Paulo Vitor
Yellow Card
HT 1–1
Gabriel Veron
⇄ Liziero
46'
⇄
Chiheb Labidi
Yellow Card
55'
▮
Ze Vitor
Yellow Card
58'
▮
⚽
1–2
63'
Guilherme Neiva
assist: Diego Duarte
⇄
64'
Tiago Galletto
⇄ Carlos Ponck
Daniel Júnior
⇄ Lucas João
71'
⇄
Chiheb Labidi
⇄ Pablo
71'
⇄
⇄
72'
Guilherme Neiva
⇄ Tomané
Alan Núñez
⇄ João Aurélio
88'
⇄
José Gomes
⇄ Witi
88'
⇄
⇄
88'
Babatunde Akinsola
⇄ Guillem Molina
▮
89'
Adriel
Yellow Card
Ze Vitor
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
Ze Vitor
Red Card
90+3'
▮
FT 1–2
Nacional
Match Stats
AVS
68%
Ball Possession
32%
1.83
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
25
Total Shots
19
6
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots off Goal
7
9
Blocked Shots
9
16
Shots insidebox
9
9
Shots outsidebox
10
8
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
14
4
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
433
Total passes
203
363
Passes accurate
142
84%
Passes %
70%
-0.14
goals_prevented
-0.14
Nacional
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Filipe Soares M | 8.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 63 (57%) | 2 |
| 11 Paulinho Bóia M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | – |
| 7 Witi F | 7.2 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 5 José Gomes D | 7.2 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | 5 |
| 16 Alan Núñez D | 7.0 | 88' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 3 |
| 28 Liziero M | 7.0 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 27 (23%) | 3 |
| 99 Pablo F | 7.0 | 19' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | 2 |
| 2 João Aurélio D | 6.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 2 |
| 15 Chiheb Labidi M | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 33 (27%) | 1 |
| 10 Daniel Júnior M | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 27 (24%) | 1 |
| 9 Jesús Ramírez F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 6 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 19 Lucas João F | 6.6 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 34 Léo Santos D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (55%) | – |
| 38 Ze Vitor D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 68 (56%) | 1 |
| 27 Gabriel Veron M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 1 Kaique G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | – |
AVS
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Guilherme Neiva F | 8.2 | 72' | 1 | – | 4 | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 12 Leonardo Rivas D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (10%) | 4 |
| 8 Pedro Lima M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 27 (19%) | 3 |
| 11 Babatunde Akinsola F | 7.3 | 88' | – | 1 | 2 | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 3 Paulo Vitor D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (17%) | 3 |
| 97 Mateus Pivô D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (10%) | 1 |
| 20 Diego Duarte F | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 16 (13%) | 2 |
| 70 Roni M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (16%) | 3 |
| 19 Tiago Galletto M | 6.6 | 64' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 26 Carlos Ponck D | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 42 Cristian Castro D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | 1 |
| 1 Adriel G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (8%) | – |
| 5 Guillem Molina D | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 7 Tomané F | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (51%)
At a glance
Our lean
Nacional or draw
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Nacional
LLLLL
AVS
WDLWD
Last 3 meetings
Nacional · 1W 2D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Nacional hosts AVS on May 3, 2026. Nacional has shown solid home form, capitalizing on their home ground advantage with a win rate of approximately 60% in their last ten home games. Conversely, AVS has struggled on the road, with only a 30% win rate in away fixtures this season. Key players to watch include Nacional's top scorer, who has contributed significantly to their offensive output, and AVS's goalkeeper, who has been pivotal in keeping their defense intact. This match could be crucial for both teams' aspirations, with Nacional aiming for a top-half finish and AVS fighting to avoid relegation.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nacional vs AVS
1
Nacional Wins
2
Draws
0
AVS Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | AVS | 2 - 2 | Nacional |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Nacional | 3 - 1 | AVS |
| 10 Aug 2024 | AVS | 1 - 1 | Nacional |
Nacional — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Famalicao | L | 0 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Alverca | L | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Sporting CP | L | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H Estrela | L | 2 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Vitória SC | L | 1 - 0 |
AVS — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Sintrense | W | 0 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Farense | D | 0 - 0 |
| 07 Sep | A Lusitânia Lourosa | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Feirense | W | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | A Chaves | D | 2 - 2 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Nacional
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Tiago Margarido
1
Pereira
5
Gomes
38
Vitor
34
Santos
16
Nunez
22
Soares
15
Labidi
11
Boia
10
Junior
27
Veron
9
Ramirez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaique Pereira | G |
| 16 | A. Nunez | D |
| 34 | Leo Santos | D |
| 38 | Ze Vitor | D |
| 5 | Jose Gomes | D |
| 15 | C. Labidi | M |
| 22 | F. Soares | M |
| 27 | Gabriel Veron | M |
| 10 | Daniel Junior | M |
| 11 | Paulinho Boia | M |
| 9 | J. Ramirez | F |
Substitutes
| 50 | K. V. Medeiros de Freitas | G |
| 2 | J. Aurelio | D |
| 19 | L. Joao | F |
| 7 | Witi | F |
| 6 | Matheus Dias | M |
| 26 | J. Silva | M |
| 28 | Liziero | M |
| 99 | Pablo Ruan | F |
| 33 | C. Goncalves | D |
AVS
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Joao Henriques
1
Adriel
12
Rivas
3
Vitor
42
Devenish
97
Pivo
8
Lima
70
Roni
19
Galletto
21
Neiva
20
Duarte
11
Akinsola
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adriel | G |
| 97 | Mateus Pivo | D |
| 42 | C. Devenish | D |
| 3 | Paulo Vitor | D |
| 12 | D. Rivas | D |
| 19 | T. Galletto | M |
| 70 | Roni | M |
| 8 | Pedro Lima | M |
| 11 | T. Akinsola | F |
| 20 | D. Duarte | F |
| 21 | G. Neiva | F |
Substitutes
| 93 | Simao | G |
| 88 | Trigueira | G |
| 18 | Nene | F |
| 7 | Tomane | F |
| 33 | A. Santos | D |
| 26 | Ponck | D |
| 5 | G. Molina | D |
| 27 | A. Algobia | M |
| 14 | O. Perea | F |