Arouca vs Estrela Prediction
FT
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
AI call
Arouca or draw
49%
27%
23%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Arouca vs Estrela prediction: Sportiko gives Arouca a 49% chance of winning, Estrela 23% and the draw 27%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
⇄
23'
Bernardo Schappo
⇄ Luan Patrick
Espen Van Ee
Yellow Card
32'
▮
Javi Sánchez
Yellow Card
44'
▮
HT 0–0
Tiago Esgaio
46'
⚽
1–0
Espen Van Ee
⇄ Pedro Santos
61'
⇄
Pablo Gozálbez
⇄ Alfonso Trezza
61'
⇄
Hyun-ju Lee
⇄ Mateo Flores
69'
⇄
⇄
70'
Kevin Höög Jansson
⇄ Jovane Cabral
⇄
70'
Ianis Stoica
⇄ Jorge Meireles
Pedro Santos
Yellow Card
72'
▮
Ivan Barbero
⇄ Miguel Puche
75'
⇄
Naïs Djouahra
⇄ Matías Rocha
75'
⇄
⇄
80'
Eddy Doué
⇄
80'
Rodrigo Pinho
⇄ Sydney van Hooijdonk
▮
90'
Jorge Meireles
Yellow Card
Mateo Flores
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
Matías Rocha
Yellow Card
90+6'
▮
FT 1–0
Arouca
Match Stats
Estrela
50%
Ball Possession
50%
1.01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
11
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots off Goal
8
3
Blocked Shots
4
5
Shots insidebox
10
6
Shots outsidebox
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
11
5
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
376
Total passes
379
322
Passes accurate
314
86%
Passes %
83%
0.19
goals_prevented
0.19
Arouca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (20%) | – |
| 28 Tiago Esgaio D | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 24 (22%) | – |
| 3 Jose Fontán D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (60%) | – |
| 15 Javi Sánchez D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (41%) | – |
| 25 Bas Kuipers D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 2 |
| 22 Espen Van Ee M | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 49 (46%) | 3 |
| 21 Taichi Fukui M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (38%) | 1 |
| 14 Hyun-ju Lee M | 6.7 | 69' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | – |
| 89 Pedro Santos M | 6.7 | 29' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 4 Matías Rocha D | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 7 Naïs Djouahra M | 6.6 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 11 Miguel Puche F | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 46 Mateo Flores M | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 10 Pablo Gozálbez M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 22 (17%) | 1 |
| 19 Alfonso Trezza F | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 17 Ivan Barbero F | 6.2 | 75' | – | – | 2 | 12 (10%) | 2 |
Estrela
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Abraham Marcus F | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | 1 |
| 9 Rodrigo Pinho F | 7.3 | 80' | – | – | 7 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 4 Stefan Leković D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (48%) | 1 |
| 21 Max Scholze D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (24%) | 6 |
| 14 Bernardo Schappo D | 6.9 | 23' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | – |
| 24 Bruno Langa D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | – |
| 20 Sydney van Hooijdonk F | 6.9 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 8 Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (40%) | 2 |
| 11 Jovane Cabral F | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 30 Luan Patrick D | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | – |
| 10 Ianis Stoica F | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | 3 | 11 (11%) | 1 |
| 19 Paulo Moreira M | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 39 Eddy Doué M | 6.6 | 80' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | – |
| 6 Kevin Höög Jansson M | 6.6 | 70' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 18 Jorge Meireles F | 6.5 | 20' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 40 Renan Ribeiro G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (20%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (54%)
At a glance
Our lean
Arouca or draw
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Arouca
LWWWW
Estrela
LLWLL
Last 3 meetings
Arouca · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash on April 19, 2026, Arouca will host Estrela. Arouca has shown a solid home performance this season, with a home win rate of around 50%, showcasing a strong defensive record, allowing an average of 1.2 goals per match. Estrela, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with a win rate of just 30% away from home and a tendency to concede early. Key players to watch will be Arouca's leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Estrela's midfield playmaker, who has contributed significantly to their attacking play. This matchup could pivot on Arouca's ability to maintain their defensive solidity against Estrela's counter-attacking threats.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Arouca
Barbero
5 gls
Estrela
A. Marcus
4 gls
L. Antonetti
4 gls
I. Stoica
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Arouca vs Estrela
2
Arouca Wins
0
Draws
1
Estrela Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Arouca | 1 - 0 | Estrela |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Estrela | 3 - 1 | Arouca |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Arouca | 1 - 0 | Estrela |
Arouca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Famalicao | L | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | H Nacional | W | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Alverca | W | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A CF Os Belenenses | W | 3 - 4 |
| 11 Oct | H Estrela | W | 1 - 0 |
Estrela — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | A Moreirense | L | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Casa Pia | L | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Fazendense | W | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Oct | A Arouca | L | 1 - 0 |
| 20 Sep | H Academico Viseu | L | 0 - 2 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |
Academico Viseu
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |
GIL Vicente
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
SC Braga
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |
Famalicao
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |
Estrela
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |
Vitória SC
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
Maritimo
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rio Ave
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 |
Arouca
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vasco Seabra
12
Arruabarrena
25
Kuipers
3
Fontan
15
Sanchez
28
Esgaio
22
Ee
21
Fukui
7
Djouahra
14
Lee
10
Gozalbez
17
Barbero
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | I. De Arruabarrena | G |
| 28 | Tiago Esgaio | D |
| 15 | J. Sanchez | D |
| 3 | J. Fontan | D |
| 25 | B. Kuipers | D |
| 21 | T. Fukui | M |
| 22 | E. van Ee | M |
| 10 | P. Gozalbez | M |
| 14 | H. Lee | M |
| 7 | N. Djouahra | M |
| 17 | I. Barbero | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | J. Vinarcik | G |
| 11 | Puche | F |
| 44 | A. Dante | D |
| 89 | Pedro Santos | M |
| 4 | M. Rocha | D |
| 9 | F. Mayulu | F |
| 2 | J. Silva | D |
| 19 | A. Trezza | F |
| 46 | M. Flores | M |
Estrela
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: João Nuno
40
Ribeiro
24
Langa
14
Schappo
4
Lekovic
21
Scholze
8
Robinho
6
Jansson
39
Doue
10
Stoica
9
Pinho
99
Marcus
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | R. Ribeiro | G |
| 21 | M. Scholze | D |
| 4 | S. Lekovic | D |
| 14 | Bernardo Schappo | D |
| 24 | B. Langa | D |
| 39 | G. Doue | M |
| 6 | K. Jansson | M |
| 8 | Robinho | M |
| 99 | A. Marcus | F |
| 9 | Rodrigo Pinho | F |
| 10 | I. Stoica | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | D. Grilo | G |
| 19 | P. Moreira | M |
| 20 | S. van Hooijdonk | F |
| 7 | L. Antonetti | F |
| 30 | Luan Patrick | D |
| 63 | A. Sola | M |
| 83 | Otavio | D |
| 11 | Jovane | F |
| 18 | J. Meireles | F |