Estoril vs FC Porto Prediction
FT
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
AI call
Difficult FC Porto win or draw
19%
20%
60%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Estoril vs FC Porto prediction: Sportiko gives Estoril a 19% chance of winning, FC Porto 60% and the draw 20%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
⚽
0–1
14'
🖵
24'
Deniz Gül
Goal cancelled
Jordan Holsgrove
Yellow Card
30'
▮
⚽
0–2
32'
Xeka
Own Goal
HT 0–2
🖵
48'
Penalty cancelled
João Carvalho
Yellow Card
51'
▮
▮
51'
Yellow Card
⇄
60'
Xeka
63'
⇄
⇄
70'
⇄
70'
Deniz Gül
⇄
70'
André Lacximicant
⇄ Alejandro Marqués
71'
⇄
Pedro Amaral
⇄ Pedro Carvalho
71'
⇄
⚽
0–3
72'
Jordan Holsgrove
⇄ Pizzi
77'
⇄
Jandro Orellana
⇄ Nodar Lominadze
77'
⇄
Yanis Begraoui
assist: Pizzi
78'
⚽
1–3
Ricard Sánchez
Yellow Card
82'
▮
⇄
83'
⇄ Seko Fofana
FT 1–3
Estoril
Match Stats
FC Porto
55%
Ball Possession
45%
0.39
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
8
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots off Goal
12
1
Blocked Shots
3
5
Shots insidebox
11
3
Shots outsidebox
9
1
Corner Kicks
8
0
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
456
Total passes
366
355
Passes accurate
285
78%
Passes %
78%
-0.20
goals_prevented
-0.20
Estoril
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Yanis Begraoui F | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 21 Pizzi M | 7.0 | 13' | – | 1 | – | 21 (20%) | – |
| 1 Joel Robles G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (13%) | – |
| 25 Felix Bacher D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (38%) | 2 |
| 5 Antef Tsoungui D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (24%) | 3 |
| 24 Pedro Amaral D | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | 3 |
| 19 André Lacximicant F | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 6 Jandro Orellana M | 6.5 | 77' | – | – | – | 38 (35%) | 2 |
| 99 Rafik Guitane M | 6.5 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 21 (17%) | 1 |
| 22 Pedro Carvalho D | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 9 Alejandro Marqués F | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 7 Nodar Lominadze M | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 2 Ricard Sánchez D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 43 (33%) | 1 |
| 12 João Carvalho M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (34%) | 1 |
| 8 Xeka M | 6.0 | 63' | – | – | – | 36 (28%) | 2 |
| 10 Jordan Holsgrove M | 6.0 | 77' | – | – | – | 64 (51%) | – |
FC Porto
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Zaidu Sanusi D | 7.7 | 70' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 3 |
| 8 Victor Froholdt M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 22 (20%) | 1 |
| 10 Gabri Veiga M | 7.5 | 70' | – | 1 | 1 | 30 (24%) | 3 |
| 20 Alberto Costa D | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 34 (26%) | 1 |
| 77 Oskar Pietuszewski F | 7.3 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 5 Jan Bednarek D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (34%) | 1 |
| 99 Diogo Costa G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | – |
| 4 Jakub Kiwior D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (35%) | 3 |
| 11 Pepê F | 6.9 | 83' | 1 | – | 2 | 25 (17%) | – |
| 86 Rodrigo Mora M | 6.9 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 42 Seko Fofana M | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 22 Alan Varela M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (34%) | 2 |
| 74 Francisco Moura D | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | 2 |
| 17 Borja Sainz F | 6.6 | 30' | – | – | 3 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 29 Terem Moffi F | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 27 Deniz Gül F | 6.2 | 70' | – | – | 2 | 11 (5%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (62%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult FC Porto win or draw
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Estoril
LLDLL
FC Porto
WWLWW
Last 3 meetings
Estoril · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
Estoril will host FC Porto in a Primeira Liga clash on April 12, 2026. Estoril has struggled this season, sitting in the lower half of the table with a defensive record that has seen them concede an average of 2 goals per game. In contrast, FC Porto is vying for the title, boasting one of the league's strongest offenses with over 2.5 goals per match on average. Historically, Porto has dominated this fixture, winning 70% of their encounters in recent years. Given Estoril's defensive frailties and Porto's attacking prowess, the home side faces an uphill battle to secure any points in this matchup.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowMost likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Estoril
No scorer data.
FC Porto
Gabri Veiga
4 gls
Borja Sainz
3 gls
André Silva
3 gls
William
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Estoril vs FC Porto
0
Estoril Wins
0
Draws
3
FC Porto Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | FC Porto | 1 - 0 | Estoril |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Estoril | 1 - 2 | FC Porto |
| 03 Nov 2024 | FC Porto | 4 - 0 | Estoril |
Estoril — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Casa Pia | L | 1 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A SC Braga | L | 1 - 0 |
| 07 Sep | H Arouca | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Aug | A Benfica | L | 2 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Rio Ave | L | 0 - 2 |
FC Porto — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Benfica | W | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Casa Pia | W | 1 - 4 |
| 08 Sep | H Manchester City | L | 0 - 2 |
| 04 Sep | H Moreirense | W | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Academico Viseu | W | 0 - 3 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
FC Porto
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: F. Farioli
99
Costa
12
Zaidu
4
Kiwior
5
Bednarek
20
Costa
10
Veiga
22
Varela
8
Froholdt
77
Pietuszewski
27
Gul
11
Pepê
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | D. Costa | G |
| 20 | A. Costa | D |
| 5 | J. Bednarek | D |
| 4 | J. Kiwior | D |
| 12 | Zaidu | D |
| 8 | V. Froholdt | M |
| 22 | A. Varela | M |
| 10 | G. Veiga | M |
| 11 | Pepê | F |
| 27 | D. Gul | F |
| 77 | O. Pietuszewski | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | Claudio Ramos | G |
| 3 | Thiago Silva | D |
| 21 | D. Prpic | D |
| 42 | S. Fofana | M |
| 13 | P. Rosario | M |
| 74 | F. Moura | D |
| 29 | T. Moffi | F |
| 17 | B. Sainz | F |
| 86 | R. Mora | M |
Estoril
Formation: 4-3-1-2
Coach: Ian Cathro
1
Robles
24
Amaral
25
Bacher
5
Tsoungui
2
Sanchez
8
Xeka
10
Holsgrove
6
Jandro
12
Carvalho
19
Lacximicant
14
Begraoui
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Robles | G |
| 2 | R. Sanchez | D |
| 5 | A. Tsoungui | D |
| 25 | F. Bacher | D |
| 24 | P. Amaral | D |
| 6 | Jandro | M |
| 10 | J. Holsgrove | M |
| 8 | Xeka | M |
| 12 | J. Carvalho | M |
| 14 | Y. Begraoui | F |
| 19 | A. Lacximicant | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | M. Turk | G |
| 21 | Pizzi | M |
| 4 | Ferro | D |
| 99 | R. Guitane | M |
| 9 | A. Marques | F |
| 7 | N. Lominadze | M |
| 97 | L. Gomes | M |
| 22 | P. Carvalho | D |
| 70 | Peixinho | F |