Vitória SC vs Tondela Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28
FT
Post on X
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
AI call Vitória SC or draw
42%
31%
27%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Vitória SC vs Tondela prediction: Sportiko gives Vitória SC a 42% chance of winning, Tondela 27% and the draw 31%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Timeline

5' ⚽ 1–0
18' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
▮ 47'
Yellow Card
Penalty confirmed
49' 🖵
Penalty
51' ⚽ 3–0
55' ⚽ 4–0
⇄ 56'
⇄ 56'
Pedro Maranhão
⇄ 56'
Penalty confirmed
63' 🖵
Penalty
65' ⚽ 5–0
67' ⇄
67' ⇄
⇄ 68'
⇄ Telmo Arcanjo
75' ⇄
75' ⇄
⇄ 80'
81' ⇄
Yellow Card
87' ▮
FT 5–0
Vitória SC

Match Stats

Tondela
52% Ball Possession 48%
2.55 Expected Goals (xG) 0.06
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 1
3 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 3
14 Fouls 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
390 Total passes 369
327 Passes accurate 301
84% Passes % 82%
-1.82 goals_prevented -1.82
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean
Vitória SC or draw
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Vitória SC
DLDLW
Tondela
WWWLL
Last 3 meetings Vitória SC · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Guimarães hosts Tondela on April 4, 2026. Guimarães has showcased a solid home record, consistently performing well at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, where they typically dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities. Tondela, on the other hand, struggles on the road, often finding it difficult to secure points against stronger opposition. Key players for Guimarães, particularly in attack, will look to exploit Tondela's defensive vulnerabilities, which have been evident in away fixtures. Expect Guimarães to control the match and capitalize on their home advantage, aiming for a crucial three points in their pursuit of European qualification.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Vitória SC vs Tondela

2 Vitória SC Wins
1 Draws
0 Tondela Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Nov 2025 Tondela 0 - 1 Vitória SC
24 Apr 2022 Tondela 1 - 1 Vitória SC
11 Dec 2021 Vitória SC 5 - 2 Tondela
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Vitória SC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Moreirense D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Academico Viseu L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Casa Pia D 0 - 0
31 Aug A SC Braga L 1 - 0
23 Aug H Nacional W 1 - 0

Tondela — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Imortal Albufeira W 1 - 5
12 Sep A Portimonense W 0 - 2
05 Sep H FC Porto B W 3 - 0
28 Aug A União de Leiria L 2 - 0
21 Aug H Academica L 0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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