Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Post on X

Rio Ave

Away

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

AI call Difficult Estoril win or draw

55%

25%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Estoril vs Rio Ave prediction: Sportiko gives Estoril a 55% chance of winning, Rio Ave 20% and the draw 25%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Estoril win or draw

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Estoril

LLDLL

Rio Ave

LDLLW

Last 3 meetings Estoril · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash on March 22, 2026, Estoril hosts Rio Ave, both teams vying for critical points. Estoril has shown moderate form at home, with a record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last nine home games. Conversely, Rio Ave struggles on the road, recording just 2 wins in their last 10 away fixtures. Key players to watch include Estoril's forward, who has netted 10 goals this season, against Rio Ave's solid defensive unit that has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match away from home. This match could be pivotal for both teams' aspirations to climb the league table, making for an intriguing encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

55%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

20%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rio Ave goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	7	3	1
1	13	12	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Estoril goals · most likely 1–0 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Estoril

Y. Begraoui 20 gls

Rio Ave

Clayton 10 gls

André Luiz 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Estoril vs Rio Ave

2 Estoril Wins

0 Draws

1 Rio Ave Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Estoril	0 - 2	Rio Ave
01 Nov 2025	Rio Ave	0 - 4	Estoril
22 Feb 2025	Estoril	2 - 1	Rio Ave

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Estoril — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Casa Pia	L	1 - 2
14 Sep	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Arouca	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Benfica	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Rio Ave	L	0 - 2

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alverca	L	1 - 0
14 Sep	H Estrela	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Santa Clara	L	4 - 0
28 Aug	H Sporting CP	L	0 - 4
22 Aug	A Estoril	W	0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	+48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	+65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	+49	80
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	+28	59
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	42	29	+13	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	+9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42
9	Vitória SC	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.