FC Porto vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

Moreirense

Away

Estádio Do Dragão, Porto

AI call FC Porto to win

81%

14%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Porto vs Moreirense prediction: Sportiko gives FC Porto a 81% chance of winning, Moreirense 5% and the draw 14%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Porto to win

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FC Porto

WWLWW

Moreirense

DWLLW

Last 3 meetings FC Porto · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

FC Porto will host Moreirense in a Primeira Liga clash on March 15, 2026. Historically, Porto has dominated this fixture, boasting an impressive win rate against Moreirense, with an average of 2.5 goals scored per match in their last five encounters. Porto currently sits in the top tier of the league, leveraging their strong home advantage, where they have won 80% of their matches this season. Moreirense, fighting to avoid relegation, will need a solid defensive strategy to contain Porto's attacking prowess, which features key players contributing to a high goal tally. The match is crucial for both teams, with Porto aiming to maintain their title challenge while Moreirense fights for survival.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Moreirense goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	3
1	16	6	1
2	19	7	1
3	15	6	1
4	9	3	1
5	4	2

↑ FC Porto goals · most likely 2–0 (18.6%)

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Players in form

FC Porto

Samu 12 gls

William 8 gls

Moreirense

Guilherme Schettine 9 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: FC Porto vs Moreirense

3 FC Porto Wins

0 Draws

0 Moreirense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Sep 2026	FC Porto	2 - 1	Moreirense
27 Oct 2025	Moreirense	1 - 2	FC Porto
02 May 2025	FC Porto	3 - 1	Moreirense

See all 10 meetings — Premium

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Benfica	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Casa Pia	W	1 - 4
08 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 2
04 Sep	H Moreirense	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Academico Viseu	W	0 - 3

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	+48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	+65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	+49	80
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	+28	59
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	42	29	+13	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	+9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42
9	Vitória SC	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.