Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Post on X

Casa Pia

Away

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

AI call Difficult Estoril win or draw

58%

24%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Estoril vs Casa Pia prediction: Sportiko gives Estoril a 58% chance of winning, Casa Pia 18% and the draw 24%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Estoril vs Casa Pia

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Estoril win or draw

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Estoril

LLDLL

Casa Pia

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Estoril · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Primeira Liga clash, Estoril hosts Casa Pia on March 7, 2026. Estoril's home advantage will be crucial, as they have historically performed well at their Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, securing 60% of their points at home this season. Casa Pia has been solid defensively, boasting one of the league's best defensive records, allowing only 25 goals in 25 matches. However, Estoril's attacking prowess, with an average of 1.5 goals per game at home, poses a significant threat. This match is likely to be tightly contested, with both teams vying for vital points to secure their respective league positions.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

18%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Casa Pia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	7	3	1
1	13	11	5	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Estoril goals · most likely 1–0 (13.4%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Estoril

Y. Begraoui 20 gls

Casa Pia

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Estoril vs Casa Pia

1 Estoril Wins

1 Draws

1 Casa Pia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	Estoril	1 - 2	Casa Pia
03 Oct 2025	Casa Pia	2 - 2	Estoril
29 Apr 2025	Casa Pia	1 - 3	Estoril

See all 8 meetings — Premium

Estoril — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Casa Pia	L	1 - 2
14 Sep	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Arouca	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Benfica	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Rio Ave	L	0 - 2

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	+48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	+65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	+49	80
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	+28	59
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	42	29	+13	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	+9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42
9	Vitória SC	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.