NAC Breda vs Ajax Prediction
FT
Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
AI call
Difficult Ajax win or draw
14%
23%
63%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
NAC Breda vs Ajax prediction: Sportiko gives NAC Breda a 14% chance of winning, Ajax 63% and the draw 23%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
⚽
0–1
20'
Oscar Gloukh
assist: Mika Godts
⚽
0–2
41'
Mika Godts
assist: W. Weghorst
HT 0–2
Moussa Soumano
⇄ André Ayew
56'
⇄
Charles-Andreas Brym
⇄ Brahim Ghalidi
56'
⇄
Raul Paula
⇄ Pepijn Reulen
56'
⇄
⇄
56'
Oscar Gloukh
⇄ Sean Steur
Maximilien Balard
⇄ Lewis Holtby
71'
⇄
⇄
72'
Steven Berghuis
⇄ Ko Itakura
⇄
72'
Youri Regeer
⇄ Rayane Bounida
▮
78'
Ko Itakura
Yellow Card
Clint Leemans
⇄ Juho Talvitie
82'
⇄
⇄
82'
Mika Godts
⇄ Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
▮
85'
W. Weghorst
Yellow Card
FT 0–2
NAC Breda
Match Stats
Ajax
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1.45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
21
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
6
10
Shots off Goal
1
8
Blocked Shots
1
11
Shots insidebox
6
10
Shots outsidebox
2
11
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
6
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
507
Total passes
393
441
Passes accurate
320
87%
Passes %
81%
0.34
goals_prevented
0.34
NAC Breda
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mohamed Nassoh M | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (46%) | 1 |
| 55 Brahim Ghalidi F | 7.3 | 34' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 99 Daniel Bielica G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | – |
| 3 Denis Odoi D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (50%) | 4 |
| 8 Clint Leemans D | 7.0 | 82' | – | – | – | 83 (77%) | 1 |
| 14 Kamal Sowah M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 51 (49%) | 4 |
| 16 Maximilien Balard M | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 36 (33%) | 2 |
| 20 Fredrik Jensen D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 82 (68%) | 2 |
| 4 Boy Kemper D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (39%) | 1 |
| 7 Charles-Andreas Brym M | 6.3 | 56' | – | – | 2 | 8 (3%) | – |
| 11 Raul Paula M | 6.3 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 20 (14%) | – |
| 32 Juho Talvitie F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 24 André Ayew F | 6.3 | 34' | – | – | 2 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 90 Lewis Holtby M | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | 2 | 6 (3%) | – |
| 9 Moussa Soumano F | 6.3 | 56' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 26 Pepijn Reulen F | 6.2 | 34' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | 1 |
Ajax
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mika Godts F | 9.5 | 82' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 26 Maarten Paes G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (16%) | – |
| 15 Youri Baas D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (27%) | 1 |
| 2 Lucas Rosa D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (31%) | 10 |
| 10 Oscar Gloukh M | 7.6 | 56' | 1 | – | 1 | 27 (19%) | – |
| 25 W. Weghorst F | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 32 (23%) | 2 |
| 6 Youri Regeer M | 7.5 | 72' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 5 |
| 37 Josip Šutalo D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | – |
| 4 Ko Itakura D | 6.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 23 Steven Berghuis F | 6.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 38 (31%) | – |
| 3 Anton Gaaei D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (35%) | 2 |
| 48 Sean Steur M | 6.9 | 34' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 17 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 24 Jorthy Mokio M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (23%) | 3 |
| 43 Rayane Bounida F | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 9 (8%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Ajax win or draw
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NAC Breda
WLLDW
Ajax
DWWLW
Last 3 meetings
NAC Breda · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, NAC Breda hosts Ajax on April 25, 2026. Historically, Ajax has dominated this matchup, boasting a strong record against NAC, including a 70% win rate in their last 10 encounters. NAC Breda, however, has shown improvement at home, with a solid defensive record limiting opponents to an average of 1 goal per game this season. Ajax, known for their prolific attacking, averages 2.5 goals per game, led by a talented forward lineup. This match will hinge on NAC's ability to withstand Ajax's offensive pressure while capitalizing on any counter-attacking opportunities.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
NAC Breda
No scorer data.
Ajax
J. Brandt
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: NAC Breda vs Ajax
1
NAC Breda Wins
0
Draws
2
Ajax Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Ajax | 2 - 1 | NAC Breda |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Ajax | 3 - 1 | NAC Breda |
| 18 Aug 2024 | NAC Breda | 2 - 1 | Ajax |
NAC Breda — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A De Graafschap | W | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Sep | H Jong Utrecht | L | 2 - 3 |
| 04 Sep | A Waalwijk | L | 4 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | A Roda | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | H Jong Ajax | W | 3 - 2 |
Ajax — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Excelsior | D | 2 - 2 |
| 15 Sep | H Willem II | W | 5 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Fortuna Sittard | W | 1 - 5 |
| 05 Sep | H PSV Eindhoven | L | 1 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | A Telstar | W | 0 - 4 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |
Cambuur
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |
PEC Zwolle
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |
Ajax
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Oscar Garcia Junyent
26
Paes
2
Rosa
15
Baas
37
Sutalo
3
Gaaei
24
Mokio
6
Regeer
10
Gloukh
11
Godts
25
Weghorst
23
Berghuis
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | M. Paes | G |
| 3 | A. Gaaei | D |
| 37 | J. Sutalo | D |
| 15 | Y. Baas | D |
| 2 | L. Rosa | D |
| 10 | O. Gloukh | M |
| 6 | Y. Regeer | M |
| 24 | J. Mokio | M |
| 23 | S. Berghuis | F |
| 25 | W. Weghorst | F |
| 11 | M. Godts | F |
Substitutes
| 62 | A. el Hani | G |
| 52 | P. Reverson | G |
| 9 | K. Dolberg | F |
| 4 | K. Itakura | D |
| 5 | O. Wijndal | D |
| 17 | O. Edvardsen | F |
| 43 | R. Bounida | F |
| 45 | R. van de Pavert | D |
| 30 | A. Bouwman | D |
| 48 | S. Steur | M |
| 7 | M. Carrizo | F |
| 19 | D. Konadu | F |
NAC Breda
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: C. Hoefkens
99
Bielica
4
Kemper
8
Leemans
20
Jensen
3
Odoi
14
Sowah
16
Balard
7
Brym
10
Nassoh
11
Paula
9
Soumano
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | D. Bielica | G |
| 3 | D. Odoi | D |
| 20 | F. Jensen | D |
| 8 | C. Leemans | D |
| 4 | B. Kemper | D |
| 16 | M. Balard | M |
| 14 | K. Sowah | M |
| 11 | R. Paula | M |
| 10 | M. Nassoh | M |
| 7 | C. Brym | M |
| 9 | M. Soumano | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | K. Lamprou | G |
| 1 | R. Kortsmit | G |
| 24 | A. Ayew | F |
| 90 | L. Holtby | M |
| 15 | E. Mahmutovic | D |
| 22 | R. Hillen | D |
| 32 | J. Talvitie | F |
| 55 | B. Ghalidi | F |
| 19 | A. Salama | F |
| 25 | C. Valerius | D |
| 21 | J. Candelaria | D |
| 26 | P. Reulen | F |