PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior Prediction
FT
MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
AI call
PEC Zwolle to win or draw
66%
23%
11%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives PEC Zwolle a 66% chance of winning, Excelsior 11% and the draw 23%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Thijs Oosting
3'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
16'
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
assist: Casper Widell
HT 1–1
▮
53'
Irakli Yegoian
Yellow Card
Odysseus Velanas
assist: Thijs Oosting
60'
⚽
2–1
Odysseus Velanas
⇄ Kaj de Rooij
62'
⇄
Ryan Thomas
⇄ Tristan Gooijer
62'
⇄
⇄
62'
Lewis Schouten
⇄ Emil Hansson
Koen Kostons
⇄ Thomas Buitink
74'
⇄
⇄
79'
Irakli Yegoian
⇄ Mike van Duinen
⇄
79'
Rick Meissen
⇄ Szymon Włodarczyk
⚽
2–2
80'
Szymon Włodarczyk
assist: Gyan de Regt
FT 2–2
PEC Zwolle
Match Stats
Excelsior
49%
Ball Possession
51%
2.66
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
15
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots off Goal
8
5
Blocked Shots
5
11
Shots insidebox
9
4
Shots outsidebox
7
5
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
408
Total passes
429
312
Passes accurate
323
76%
Passes %
75%
-0.29
goals_prevented
-0.29
PEC Zwolle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Thijs Oosting M | 8.7 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 (17%) | – |
| 18 Odysseus Velanas M | 8.2 | 62' | 1 | – | 2 | 34 (26%) | 3 |
| 9 Younes Namli M | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (13%) | 1 |
| 30 Ryan Thomas M | 7.5 | 62' | – | – | – | 38 (35%) | 3 |
| 8 Zico Buurmeester M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (24%) | 2 |
| 22 Kaj de Rooij F | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | – | 9 (5%) | 1 |
| 6 Tristan Gooijer D | 6.5 | 28' | – | – | – | 13 (8%) | – |
| 3 Olivier Aertssen D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 2 |
| 28 Simon Graves D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 57 (51%) | – |
| 2 Sherel Constancio Floranus D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (36%) | 3 |
| 16 Tom de Graaff G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (17%) | – |
| 4 Anselmo Garcia McNulty D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (51%) | 1 |
| 29 Thomas Buitink F | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 10 Koen Kostons F | 5.6 | 74' | – | – | 3 | 9 (7%) | – |
Excelsior
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Arthur Zagre D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (41%) | 2 |
| 9 Szymon Włodarczyk F | 7.2 | 11' | 1 | – | 1 | 2 | – |
| 1 Stijn van Gassel G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (26%) | – |
| 4 Casper Widell D | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 62 (46%) | 1 |
| 11 Gyan de Regt M | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 30 Derensili Sanches Fernandes M | 6.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 26 (25%) | 2 |
| 10 Noah Naujoks F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 25 (15%) | 1 |
| 20 Lennard Hartjes M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 2 |
| 23 Irakli Yegoian M | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | – | 37 (28%) | 3 |
| 2 Ilias Bronkhorst D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (35%) | 2 |
| 29 Mike van Duinen F | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | 1 |
| 14 Lewis Schouten D | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 7 Emil Hansson F | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 3 Rick Meissen D | 6.0 | 79' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
PEC Zwolle to win or draw
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PEC Zwolle
DWLDW
Excelsior
LLWLL
Last 3 meetings
PEC Zwolle · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, PEC Zwolle hosts Excelsior on April 12, 2026. Zwolle currently sits in the lower half of the table, struggling with consistency and defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded an average of 2 goals per game in their last five outings. Conversely, Excelsior has shown resilience, particularly in away matches, with a solid attack that has netted 1.5 goals per game on average. Key players to watch include Zwolle’s top scorer, who will need to capitalize on home advantage, while Excelsior’s midfield control could dictate the pace of the game. This match is critical for both teams' aspirations to avoid relegation and improve their standings.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior
2
PEC Zwolle Wins
0
Draws
1
Excelsior Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Excelsior | 2 - 1 | PEC Zwolle |
| 06 Apr 2024 | PEC Zwolle | 2 - 1 | Excelsior |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Excelsior | 2 - 4 | PEC Zwolle |
PEC Zwolle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Willem II | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H ADO Den Haag | W | 1 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | H FC OSS | L | 1 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Utrecht | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H GO Ahead Eagles | W | 4 - 1 |
Excelsior — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H GO Ahead Eagles | L | 0 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Twente | L | 0 - 9 |
| 28 Oct | A MVV | W | 0 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | A Fortuna Sittard | L | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Heerenveen | L | 4 - 0 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 24 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 23 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Cambuur
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Utrecht
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 |
PEC Zwolle
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Henry Van Der Vegt
16
Graaff
2
Floranus
4
MacNulty
28
Graves
3
Aertssen
8
Buurmeester
30
Thomas
18
Velanas
25
Oosting
9
Namli
10
Kostons
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | T. de Graaff | G |
| 3 | O. Aertssen | D |
| 28 | S. Graves | D |
| 4 | A. Garcia MacNulty | D |
| 2 | S. Floranus | D |
| 30 | R. Thomas | M |
| 8 | Z. Buurmeester | M |
| 9 | Y. Namli | M |
| 25 | T. Oosting | M |
| 18 | O. Velanas | M |
| 10 | K. Kostons | F |
Substitutes
| 41 | D. Verduin | G |
| 48 | L. Bakker | G |
| 29 | T. Buitink | F |
| 5 | T. Velthuis | D |
| 42 | D. Ruward | D |
| 34 | N. Fichtinger | M |
| 22 | K. de Rooij | F |
| 6 | T. Gooijer | D |
| 20 | G. Reiziger | M |
Excelsior
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: R. den Uil
1
Gassel
12
Zagre
14
Schouten
4
Widell
3
Meissen
2
Bronkhorst
11
Regt
20
Hartjes
23
Yegoian
30
Fernandes
10
Naujoks
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. van Gassel | G |
| 2 | I. Bronkhorst | D |
| 3 | R. Meissen | D |
| 4 | C. Widell | D |
| 14 | L. Schouten | D |
| 12 | A. Zagre | D |
| 30 | D. Sanches Fernandes | M |
| 23 | I. Yegoian | M |
| 20 | L. Hartjes | M |
| 11 | G. de Regt | M |
| 10 | N. Naujoks | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | C. Raatsie | G |
| 29 | M. van Duinen | F |
| 7 | E. Hansson | F |
| 15 | S. Janssen | D |
| 6 | A. Carlen | M |
| 33 | J. Bergraaf | F |
| 9 | S. Wlodarczyk | F |
| 24 | G. Cairo | M |