AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Eredivisie Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29
FT
Post on X
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
AI call Difficult AZ Alkmaar win or draw
60%
21%
19%
Home Win Draw Away Win

AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% chance of winning, Fortuna Sittard 19% and the draw 21%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Timeline

11' ⚽ 1–0
15' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 45+1'
Yellow Card
HT 2–0
⇄ 46'
⇄ 46'
▮ 54'
Yellow Card
🖵 65'
Goal cancelled
▮ 69'
Yellow Card
71' ⇄
72' ⇄
⇄ 75'
77' ⇄
77' ⇄
⇄ 77'
84' ⇄
⇄ 84'
FT 2–0
AZ Alkmaar

Match Stats

Fortuna Sittard
55% Ball Possession 45%
1.92 Expected Goals (xG) 0.40
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 4
10 Corner Kicks 6
3 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
452 Total passes 371
375 Passes accurate 264
83% Passes % 71%
0.27 goals_prevented 0.27
AZ Alkmaar
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Sven Mijnans M 7.9 90' 1 – 4 37 (30%) 2
7 Weslley Patati F 7.7 72' – – 1 27 (25%) 2
35 Mexx Meerdink F 7.7 71' 1 – 2 10 (5%) –
41 Jeroen Zoet G 7.5 90' – – – 19 (9%) –
3 Wouter Goes D 7.3 90' – – 1 56 (52%) –
22 Elijah Dijkstra M 7.3 77' – – – 33 (29%) 2
30 Denso Kasius M 7.2 84' – 1 1 42 (36%) 2
5 Alexandre Penetra D 7.0 90' – – 1 46 (35%) 1
17 Isak Steiner Jensen F 7.0 77' – 1 – 23 (20%) 1
34 Mees de Wit D 7.0 13' – – – 10 (9%) –
26 Kees Smit M 6.9 90' – – – 58 (52%) 2
8 Jordy Clasie M 6.9 18' – – 1 11 (10%) 1
2 Seiya Maikuma D 6.9 12' – – – 2 (2%) –
23 Billy van Duijl D 6.7 90' – – – 63 (48%) 1
24 Ayoub Oufkir F 6.5 13' – – – 7 (6%) 1
9 Troy Parrott F 6.3 19' – – – 8 (7%) –
Fortuna Sittard
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Syb van Ottele D 7.2 45' – – – 28 (22%) 1
19 Paul Gladon F 7.0 90' – – 3 25 (13%) –
1 Luuk Koopmans G 6.7 90' – – – 37 (19%) –
8 Jasper Dahlhaus D 6.7 90' – – – 33 (26%) 1
5 Yassin Oukili M 6.7 90' – – – 21 (16%) 4
7 Kristoffer Peterson F 6.7 45' – – – 12 (7%) –
77 Luka Tunjić M 6.7 15' – – – 7 (5%) –
21 Neraysho Kasanwirjo D 6.3 90' – – – 54 (43%) 2
4 Shawn Adewoye D 6.3 90' – – – 40 (37%) 2
70 Lance Duijvestijn M 6.3 77' – – 3 26 (17%) 2
22 Samuel Bastien M 6.3 13' – – – 6 (4%) –
23 Philip Brittijn M 6.2 84' – – – 33 (25%) 1
18 Dimitris Limnios M 6.2 75' – – 1 21 (11%) –
9 Kaj Sierhuis M 6.2 45' – – 1 12 (8%) –
45 Owen Johnson F 6.2 12' – – – 2 (2%) –
44 Iván Márquez D 6.0 45' – – – 14 (9%) –
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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult AZ Alkmaar win or draw
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AZ Alkmaar
WLDWW
Fortuna Sittard
WLWWL
Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, AZ Alkmaar hosts Fortuna Sittard, aiming to maintain their strong home form. AZ is currently positioned in the top half of the league, demonstrating solid attacking prowess with an average of 2.1 goals per game at home. In contrast, Fortuna Sittard struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game away. Historically, AZ has dominated this matchup, winning 70% of their previous encounters. Expect AZ to leverage their offensive strength against a vulnerable Sittard defense, potentially leading to a decisive home victory.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

AZ Alkmaar
R. Daal 4 gls
M. Meerdink 3 gls
Fortuna Sittard
M. Ihattaren 3 gls

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard

2 AZ Alkmaar Wins
0 Draws
1 Fortuna Sittard Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Aug 2026 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 AZ Alkmaar
21 Dec 2025 Fortuna Sittard 4 - 3 AZ Alkmaar
23 Feb 2025 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Fortuna Sittard
See all 10 meetings — Premium

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Telstar W 1 - 0
16 Sep A Sunderland L 1 - 0
11 Sep H Willem II D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Heerenveen W 2 - 3
29 Aug H GO Ahead Eagles W 5 - 2

Fortuna Sittard — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Willem II W 0 - 1
12 Sep H Ajax L 1 - 5
06 Sep A ADO Den Haag W 2 - 3
28 Aug A Groningen W 2 - 3
22 Aug H AZ Alkmaar L 0 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AZ Alkmaar
7 6 1 0 +12 19
2
Feyenoord
7 5 2 0 +18 17
3
PSV Eindhoven
7 5 1 1 +14 16
4
Twente
7 5 1 1 +8 16
5
Ajax
7 4 2 1 +12 14
6
Fortuna Sittard
7 4 1 2 -1 13
7
Excelsior
7 3 2 2 +6 11
8
Groningen
7 3 2 2 +2 11
9
GO Ahead Eagles
7 2 4 1 +2 10
10
Heerenveen
7 2 3 2 +2 9
11
NEC Nijmegen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
12
Sparta Rotterdam
7 1 2 4 -7 5
13
Telstar
7 1 2 4 -7 5
14
Cambuur
7 1 2 4 -9 5
15
Utrecht
7 1 2 4 -13 5
16
PEC Zwolle
7 1 1 5 -14 4
17
ADO Den Haag
7 0 2 5 -10 2
18
Willem II
7 0 2 5 -14 2

AZ Alkmaar

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Leeroy Echteld
41 Zoet
23 Duijl
5 Penetra
3 Goes
22 Dijkstra
26 Smit
10 Mijnans
30 Kasius
17 Jensen
35 Meerdink
7 Patati

Starting XI

# Player Pos
41 J. Zoet G
3 W. Goes D
5 Penetra D
23 B. van Duijl D
30 D. Kasius M
10 S. Mijnans M
26 K. Smit M
22 E. Dijkstra M
7 Weslley Patati F
35 M. Meerdink F
17 I. Jensen F

Substitutes

12 H. Verhulst G
31 D. Deen G
8 J. Clasie M
2 S. Maikuma D
4 M. Dekker D
15 M. Chavez Garcia D
24 A. Oufkir F
34 M. de Wit D
11 I. Sadiq F
9 T. Parrott F
33 M. Sin M
20 K. Boogaard M

Fortuna Sittard

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: D. Buijs
1 Koopmans
8 Dahlhaus
4 Adewoye
44 Marquez
21 Kasanwirjo
5 Oukili
23 Brittijn
9 Sierhuis
70 Duijvestijn
18 Limnios
19 Gladon

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Koopmans G
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
44 I. Marquez D
4 S. Adewoye D
8 J. Dahlhaus D
23 P. Brittijn M
5 Y. Oukili M
18 D. Limnios M
70 L. Duijvestijn M
9 K. Sierhuis M
19 P. Gladon F

Substitutes

48 L. van Parys G
25 N. Martens G
22 S. Bastien M
45 O. Johnson F
36 H. Korkmazyurek M
7 K. Peterson F
6 S. van Ottele D
38 T. Schenkhuizen M
77 L. Tunjic M

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