Feyenoord vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 27

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Excelsior

Away

Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam

AI call Feyenoord to win or draw

75%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Feyenoord vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives Feyenoord a 75% chance of winning, Excelsior 7% and the draw 18%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Feyenoord to win or draw

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Feyenoord

WWLWD

Excelsior

DLDWW

Last 3 meetings Feyenoord · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Feyenoord hosts Excelsior in a crucial Eredivisie clash on March 15, 2026. Feyenoord has been strong at home, boasting a high win rate and a potent attack, averaging over two goals per game this season. They will rely on their key players to exploit Excelsior's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in set-piece situations. Excelsior, fighting to secure their position in the league, will look to capitalize on counter-attacks but may struggle against Feyenoord’s aggressive pressing. The match is pivotal for both teams' aspirations, making it a must-watch encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

75%

45%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Excelsior goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	4	1
1	17	8	2
2	17	8	2
3	12	5	1
4	6	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Feyenoord goals · most likely 2–0 (17.4%)

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Players in form

Feyenoord

A. Ueda 25 gls

A. Hadj-Moussa 11 gls

Excelsior

N. Naujoks 10 gls

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Head to Head: Feyenoord vs Excelsior

3 Feyenoord Wins

0 Draws

0 Excelsior Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2025	Excelsior	1 - 2	Feyenoord
19 May 2024	Feyenoord	4 - 0	Excelsior
25 Nov 2023	Excelsior	2 - 4	Feyenoord

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Feyenoord — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Utrecht	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A PEC Zwolle	W	0 - 7
09 Sep	A Barcelona	L	5 - 1
05 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	W	1 - 3
30 Aug	H ADO Den Haag	D	2 - 2

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101	45	+56	84
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70	44	+26	65
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77	53	+24	59
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59	40	+19	58
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62	41	+21	56
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55	42	+13	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58	51	+7	52
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57	53	+4	51
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49	45	+4	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54	53	+1	38
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13	38
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6	37
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27	37
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20	32
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23	29
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50	19

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.