Strasbourg vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Post on X

Monaco

Away

Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg

AI call Difficult Monaco win or draw

25%

22%

53%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Strasbourg vs Monaco prediction: Sportiko gives Strasbourg a 25% chance of winning, Monaco 53% and the draw 22%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Strasbourg produced a stunning comeback to beat Monaco 5–4 in a breathless Ligue 1 encounter, overturning a 1–3 half-time deficit to claim all three points. Monaco had looked in control after a dominant first half, with Lamine Camara netting twice either side of goals from Martial Godo and Ansu Fati, while a VAR-cancelled penalty for Akliouche added early drama. Camara's opener on ten minutes had given Strasbourg brief hope, but Monaco's clinical edge appeared to have settled the contest before the break.

The second half, however, belonged entirely to Strasbourg. An own goal from Doukouré and a confirmed Balogun strike quickly brought the hosts level, before Diego Moreira and a brace from Sebastian Nanasi — both arriving within eleven minutes — turned the game on its head. Martial Godo added a fifth on 84 minutes to complete a remarkable turnaround. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Monaco win most likely at 53%, a call that proved well wide of the mark.

Despite Monaco enjoying 40% possession and generating an expected goals figure of 1.50 against Strasbourg's 1.13, the hosts' 21 total shots ultimately told the story of an extraordinary afternoon.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 10'

Lamine Camara

🖵 13'

Maghnes Akliouche Penalty cancelled

⇄ 21'

Thilo Kehrer ⇄ Aladji Bamba

▮ 31'

Christian Mawissa Yellow Card

Martial Godo assist: Julio Enciso

34' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 42'

Lamine Camara assist: Simon Adingra

⚽ 1–3 45'

Ansu Fati assist: Aladji Bamba

HT 1–3

▮ 51'

Lamine Camara Yellow Card

⚽ 1–4 55'

Ismael Doukouré Own Goal

🖵 56'

Folarin Balogun Goal confirmed

Diego Moreira assist: Julio Enciso

58' ⚽ 2–4

Valentín Barco ⇄ Tyrese Noubissie

59' ⇄

Sebastian Nanasi assist: Diego Moreira

61' ⚽ 3–4

⇄ 67'

Maghnes Akliouche ⇄ Mamadou Coulibaly

⇄ 67'

Jordan Teze ⇄ Ilane Touré

Tyrese Noubissie Yellow Card

69' ▮

Sebastian Nanasi assist: Julio Enciso

72' ⚽ 4–4

⇄ 76'

Folarin Balogun ⇄ Mika Biereth

⇄ 76'

Simon Adingra

Martial Godo assist: Diego Moreira

84' ⚽ 5–4

Sebastian Nanasi ⇄ Lucas Høgsberg

90+1' ⇄

FT 5–4

Strasbourg

Match Stats

Monaco

40% Ball Possession 60%

1.50 Expected Goals (xG) 1.13

15 Total Shots 21

7 Shots on Goal 8

4 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 8

9 Shots insidebox 10

6 Shots outsidebox 11

4 Corner Kicks 6

3 Offsides 1

7 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

6 Goalkeeper Saves 2

384 Total passes 568

319 Passes accurate 491

83% Passes % 86%

-3.24 goals_prevented -3.24

Strasbourg

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Julio Enciso F	8.9	90'	–	3	1	23 (18%)	1
20 Martial Godo M	8.9	90'	2	–	3	26 (18%)	–
7 Diego Moreira M	8.2	90'	1	2	2	35 (28%)	–
11 Sebastian Nanasi M	8.2	89'	2	–	3	30 (25%)	–
32 Valentín Barco M	6.7	59'	–	–	–	35 (31%)	–
29 Samir El Mourabet M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	48 (39%)	5
22 Guéla Doué D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	3
2 Andrew Omobamidele D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	39 (38%)	–
28 Tyrese Noubissie M	6.3	31'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	–
39 Mike Penders G	6.0	90'	–	–	–	30 (20%)	–
42 Abdoul Ouattara D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	39 (34%)	2
6 Ismael Doukouré D	5.5	90'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	1
24 Lucas Høgsberg D	—	1'	–	–	–	1	–

Monaco

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
15 Lamine Camara M	8.9	90'	2	–	3	73 (67%)	2
31 Ansu Fati F	7.3	90'	1	–	3	47 (39%)	1
23 Aladji Bamba M	7.2	69'	–	1	–	46 (35%)	3
11 Maghnes Akliouche F	7.0	67'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	1
5 Thilo Kehrer D	6.9	21'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
6 Denis Zakaria M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	41 (34%)	1
28 Mamadou Coulibaly M	6.7	23'	–	–	–	22 (21%)	2
29 Paris Brunner F	6.7	14'	–	–	1	10 (8%)	–
25 Wout Faes D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	78 (77%)	1
4 Jordan Teze M	6.5	67'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	2
14 Mika Biereth F	6.5	14'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
9 Folarin Balogun F	6.2	76'	–	–	3	19 (15%)	–
24 Simon Adingra M	6.2	76'	–	1	1	35 (27%)	–
49 Ilane Touré M	6.0	23'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	–
13 Christian Mawissa D	5.6	90'	–	–	1	72 (68%)	1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G	5.2	90'	–	–	–	43 (29%)	–

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Confidence Medium (65%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Monaco win or draw

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Strasbourg

LLWWD

Monaco

WDLWL

Last 3 meetings Strasbourg · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on May 16, 2026, Strasbourg will host Monaco at the Stade de la Meinau. Strasbourg has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, which could be exploited by Monaco's potent attack, featuring a forward line that averages 2.2 goals per game. Historically, Monaco has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 60% of their encounters since 2020. However, Strasbourg's home advantage could play a crucial role, as they have been more resilient at home with a 50% win rate this season. Expect an engaging matchup as both teams strive for crucial points in their respective campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monaco goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4	8	8	5	2	1
1	5	10	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	6	4	2	1
3	1	3	3	2	1
4		1	1	1
5

↑ Strasbourg goals · most likely 1–1 (10.2%)

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Head to Head: Strasbourg vs Monaco

0 Strasbourg Wins

1 Draws

2 Monaco Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Aug 2025	Monaco	3 - 2	Strasbourg
19 Apr 2025	Monaco	0 - 0	Strasbourg
09 Nov 2024	Strasbourg	1 - 3	Monaco

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	H SV Elversberg	L	2 - 5
20 Jul	A Sporting CP	L	7 - 0
17 May	H Monaco	W	5 - 4
13 May	A Stade Brestois 29	W	1 - 2
10 May	A Angers	D	1 - 1

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Getafe	W	1 - 0
31 Jul	H Cercle Brugge	D	2 - 2
25 Jul	A Sporting CP	L	2 - 0
18 Jul	H Saint-Priest	W	5 - 2
17 May	A Strasbourg	L	5 - 4

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0