Auxerre vs Angers Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Post on X

Angers

Away

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre

AI call Auxerre or draw

41%

34%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Auxerre vs Angers prediction: Sportiko gives Auxerre a 41% chance of winning, Angers 25% and the draw 34%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Auxerre claimed a comfortable 3–1 home victory over Angers in Ligue 1's 32nd round, despite spending much of the match with less of the ball. Sékou Mara opened the scoring early, heading Auxerre into a 1–0 lead at the break, before a dramatic start to the second half reshaped the contest. Angers midfielder Amine Sbai was dismissed just before half-time after collecting two yellow cards in quick succession, leaving the visitors to play the entire second period with ten men.

Auxerre capitalised swiftly after the interval. A VAR-confirmed penalty was awarded shortly after the restart, and Mara doubled his tally on 61 minutes before Lassine Sinayoko added a third just moments later to put the result beyond doubt. Angers pulled one back through a VAR-confirmed penalty converted by Goduine Koyalipou on 77 minutes, but it proved little more than a consolation.

Despite being outshot 19–9 and holding just 44% possession, Auxerre's clinical finishing proved decisive — a result that our pre-match AI model had rated the most likely outcome at 41%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Sékou Mara

12' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 45+1'

Amine Sbai Yellow Card

▮ 45+2'

Amine Sbai Yellow Card

▮ 45+2'

Amine Sbai Red Card

HT 1–0

Bryan Okoh Yellow Card

49' ▮

🖵 49'

Branco van den Boomen Penalty confirmed

▮ 53'

Pierrick Capelle Yellow Card

Sékou Mara assist: Lassine Sinayoko

61' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 62'

Prosper Peter ⇄ Goduine Koyalipou

⇄ 62'

Pierrick Capelle ⇄ Louis Mouton

Lassine Sinayoko assist: Sékou Mara

67' ⚽ 3–0

Lassine Sinayoko Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 71'

Marius Louer ⇄ Lanroy Machine

🖵 75'

Jordan Lefort Penalty confirmed

⚽ 3–1 77'

Goduine Koyalipou Penalty

Gideon Mensah ⇄ Clement Akpa

78' ⇄

Naouirou Ahamada ⇄ Josué Casimir

79' ⇄

Sékou Mara ⇄ Lasso Coulibaly

79' ⇄

⇄ 86'

Branco van den Boomen ⇄ Florent Hanin

⇄ 86'

Lilian Raolisoa ⇄ Carlens Arcus

Kévin Danois ⇄ Assane Dioussé

87' ⇄

Danny Namaso ⇄ Mamoudou Cissokho

90+5' ⇄

▮ 90+6'

Carlens Arcus Yellow Card

FT 3–1

Auxerre

Match Stats

Angers

56% Ball Possession 44%

2.03 Expected Goals (xG) 2.20

19 Total Shots 9

10 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 5

3 Blocked Shots 1

14 Shots insidebox 9

5 Shots outsidebox 1

4 Corner Kicks 6

2 Offsides 0

12 Fouls 2

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 7

507 Total passes 387

442 Passes accurate 324

87% Passes % 84%

-0.74 goals_prevented -0.74

Auxerre

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Lassine Sinayoko F	9.5	90'	1	1	5	40 (36%)	3
9 Sékou Mara F	8.9	79'	2	1	4	13 (8%)	–
40 Théo De Percin G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	–
8 Naouirou Ahamada M	7.3	79'	–	–	1	43 (38%)	1
42 Elisha Owusu M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	39 (35%)	5
7 Josué Casimir F	6.9	11'	–	–	1	11 (10%)	–
27 Lamine Sy D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	34 (32%)	3
20 Sinaly Diomandé D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	63 (57%)	1
24 Bryan Okoh D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	64 (59%)	2
5 Kévin Danois M	6.7	87'	–	–	–	45 (40%)	1
19 Danny Namaso F	6.7	89'	–	–	2	38 (33%)	2
18 Assane Dioussé M	6.7	10'	–	–	–	10 (10%)	–
92 Clement Akpa D	6.7	12'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	–
14 Gideon Mensah D	6.5	78'	–	–	–	58 (46%)	2
21 Lasso Coulibaly M	6.5	11'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
44 Mamoudou Cissokho F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Angers

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Goduine Koyalipou F	7.2	28'	1	–	1	4 (4%)	–
21 Jordan Lefort D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	58 (55%)	5
20 Marius Louer D	6.9	71'	–	–	–	28 (25%)	7
6 Louis Mouton M	6.9	28'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
2 Carlens Arcus D	6.7	11'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
26 Florent Hanin D	6.6	11'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
3 Jacques Ekomié D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	26 (21%)	5
36 Lanroy Machine F	6.5	19'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
12 Hervé Koffi G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	24 (17%)	–
27 Lilian Raolisoa M	6.3	86'	–	–	–	26 (18%)	1
93 Haris Belkebla M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	42 (36%)	1
35 Prosper Peter F	6.2	62'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
15 Pierrick Capelle M	6.2	62'	–	–	1	21 (16%)	2
4 Ousmane Camara D	6.0	90'	–	–	3	50 (44%)	–
7 Amine Sbai M	5.9	47'	–	–	1	13 (9%)	–
8 Branco van den Boomen M	5.9	86'	–	–	1	59 (49%)	2

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

Auxerre or draw

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Auxerre

WWLLL

Angers

WDLWL

Last 3 meetings Auxerre · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on May 3, 2026, Auxerre will host Angers at the Stade Abbé Deschamps. Auxerre currently sits in the mid-table, showing a solid home record with a 60% win rate this season, while Angers has struggled, positioned near the relegation zone with only two wins in their last five matches. Auxerre's defense has been robust, conceding just 1.2 goals per game at home, while Angers averages 1.8 goals conceded away. If Auxerre can capitalize on their home advantage and continue their defensive solidity, they are favored to secure three crucial points against a faltering Angers side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Angers goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	19	13	4	1
1	19	13	4	1
2	9	6	2
3	3	2	1
4	1
5

↑ Auxerre goals · most likely 0–0 (19.4%)

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Players in form

Auxerre

C. Archer 3 gls

Angers

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Auxerre vs Angers

0 Auxerre Wins

0 Draws

3 Angers Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	Auxerre	1 - 3	Angers
09 Nov 2025	Angers	2 - 0	Auxerre
19 Jan 2025	Angers	2 - 0	Auxerre

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Nice	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Lyon	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Angers	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Lens	L	5 - 2

Angers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Estac Troyes	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Le Havre	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Rennes	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Auxerre	W	1 - 3
23 Aug	H Lille	L	0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2