Lille vs Le Havre Prediction
Lille vs Le Havre prediction: Sportiko gives Lille a 69% chance of winning, Le Havre 7% and the draw 24%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Lille were held to a 1–1 draw by Le Havre in Ligue 1's 32nd matchday, a result that defied the statistics and, as it turned out, our pre-match AI model's 69% confidence in a Lille victory.
The match burst into life early, with Hakon Arnar Haraldsson breaking the deadlock for Lille in the 29th minute, only for Le Havre's Issa Soumaré to level matters just four minutes later. That equaliser arrived against the run of play and ensured the sides went into the break level at 1–1. The opening exchanges were feisty, with three yellow cards shown before half-time, including bookings for Lucas Gourna-Douath and Thomas Meunier.
Despite dominating the second half almost entirely, Lille could not find a winner. The hosts finished with 67% possession, 22 total shots, 14 corners, and an expected goals figure of 1.55 compared to Le Havre's remarkably low 0.14. Soumaré picked up a second yellow card in the 73rd minute, and both sides made multiple substitutions in search of a decisive moment that never came.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Lille
Match Stats
Lille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson M | 8.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 51 (46%) | 2 |
| 23 Aïssa Mandi D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 62 (55%) | – |
| 17 Ngal'ayel Mukau M | 7.3 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 43 (42%) | – |
| 21 Benjamin André M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (46%) | 4 |
| 15 Romain Perraud D | 7.0 | 74' | – | 1 | – | 39 (34%) | – |
| 32 Ayyoub Bouaddi M | 6.9 | 84' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | 2 |
| 3 Nathan Ngoy D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 48 (43%) | 1 |
| 28 Gaëtan Perrin F | 6.9 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 8 Ethan Mbappé M | 6.9 | 24' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 7 Matías Fernández-Pardo F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | – |
| 24 Calvin Verdonk D | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 12 Thomas Meunier D | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | – | 50 (43%) | 1 |
| 22 Tiago Santos D | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 1 Berke Özer G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (21%) | – |
| 9 Olivier Giroud F | 6.5 | 16' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 27 Félix Correia M | 6.2 | 74' | – | – | 3 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
Le Havre
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Mory Diaw G | 8.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (12%) | – |
| 4 Gautier Lloris D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 5 |
| 7 Loic Négo D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 4 |
| 18 Yanis Zouaoui D | 7.2 | 75' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | 4 |
| 45 Issa Soumaré M | 7.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 16 (10%) | 2 |
| 17 Sofiane Boufal M | 7.0 | 65' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | 4 |
| 19 Lucas Gourna-Douath M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (22%) | 4 |
| 25 Mbwana Ally Samatta F | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 26 Simon Ebonog M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 2 |
| 32 Timothee Pembele D | 6.7 | 26' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 8 Yassine Kechta M | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 13 Fodé Doucouré M | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 6 Étienne Youte Kinkoue D | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 27 Enzo Koffi F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 2 |
| 15 Ayumu Seko D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (19%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Tiago Santos
2 gls
M. Samatta
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lille vs Le Havre
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Le Havre | 0 - 1 | Lille |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Lille | 1 - 2 | Le Havre |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Le Havre | 0 - 3 | Lille |
Lille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Nice | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Estac Troyes | W | 2 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Real Betis | L | 2 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | A Toulouse | W | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Paris Saint Germain | D | 2 - 2 |
Le Havre — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Toulouse | L | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Angers | D | 0 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Stade Brestois 29 | L | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A Lyon | D | 1 - 1 |
| 23 Aug | H Monaco | L | 0 - 1 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Lille
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Ozer | G |
| 12 | T. Meunier | D |
| 3 | N. Ngoy | D |
| 23 | A. Mandi | D |
| 15 | R. Perraud | D |
| 32 | A. Bouaddi | M |
| 21 | B. Andre | M |
| 17 | N. Mukau | M |
| 10 | H. Haraldsson | M |
| 27 | F. Correia | M |
| 7 | M. Fernandez-Pardo | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | A. Bodart | G |
| 9 | O. Giroud | F |
| 11 | O. Sahraoui | F |
| 4 | Alexsandro | D |
| 8 | E. Mbappe | M |
| 18 | C. Mbemba | D |
| 24 | C. Verdonk | D |
| 28 | G. Perrin | F |
| 22 | T. Santos | D |
Le Havre
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: D. Digard
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | M. Diaw | G |
| 7 | L. Nego | D |
| 15 | A. Seko | D |
| 4 | G. Lloris | D |
| 18 | Y. Zouaoui | D |
| 26 | S. Ebonog | M |
| 19 | L. Gourna-Douath | M |
| 13 | F. Doucoure | M |
| 17 | S. Boufal | M |
| 45 | I. Soumare | M |
| 25 | A. Samatta | F |
Substitutes
| 77 | L. Mpasi-Nzau | G |
| 10 | F. Mambimbi | F |
| 11 | G. Kyeremeh | F |
| 8 | Y. Kechta | M |
| 33 | Y. Beau Djellel | F |
| 32 | T. Pembele | D |
| 6 | E. Youte Kinkoue | D |
| 78 | D. N. Mosengo | M |
| 27 | E. K. Vinette | F |