Stade Brestois 29 vs Lens Prediction
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lens prediction: Sportiko gives Stade Brestois 29 a 24% chance of winning, Lens 52% and the draw 24%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Stade Brestois 29 produced a stunning first-half display to lead 3–0 at the break, with Daouda Guindo opening the scoring in the seventh minute, Lucas Tousart doubling the advantage on 24 minutes, and Junior Dina Ebimbe — despite picking up an early yellow card — adding a third just before half-time. The scoreline was a remarkable outcome given that Lens dominated possession at 64% and generated an expected goals figure of 2.76 against Brest's 0.25, underlining just how clinical the hosts were in the opening 45 minutes.
Lens mounted a remarkable second-half comeback, with Florian Thauvin pulling one back on 60 minutes before Abdallah Sima reduced the deficit further just four minutes later. Allan Saint-Maximin completed the stunning turnaround in stoppage time to earn Lens a share of the points, a result that our pre-match AI model — which rated a Lens win as the most likely outcome at 52% — could reflect on with some satisfaction given the visitors' ultimate resilience.
A flurry of yellow cards in the closing moments, shown to Saint-Maximin, Kenny Lala, and Grégoire Coudert, added a fractious end to a remarkable contest that will be remembered for one of the more dramatic second-half recoveries of the Ligue 1 season.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Stade Brestois 29
Match Stats
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Daouda Guindo D | 8.3 | 88' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 (25%) | – |
| 19 Ludovic Ajorque F | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 36 (25%) | 5 |
| 24 Lucas Tousart M | 7.2 | 80' | 1 | – | 1 | 21 (12%) | 1 |
| 13 Joris Chotard M | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 36 (32%) | 1 |
| 7 Junior Dina Ebimbe M | 7.0 | 67' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 99 Pathé Mboup F | 7.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 17 Mama Baldé F | 7.0 | 23' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 5 Brendan Chardonnet D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | 2 |
| 10 Romain Del Castillo M | 6.7 | 89' | – | – | – | 35 (27%) | 1 |
| 30 Grégoire Coudert G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (25%) | – |
| 4 Michel Diaz D | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 8 Hugo Magnetti M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (26%) | – |
| 12 Luc Zogbé D | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 44 Soumaila Coulibaly D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 77 Kenny Lala D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | – |
Lens
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Allan Saint-Maximin F | 8.7 | 37' | 1 | – | 2 | 21 (19%) | – |
| 23 Saud Abdulhamid D | 7.7 | 38' | – | 1 | 1 | 26 (23%) | 2 |
| 10 Florian Thauvin F | 7.7 | 38' | 1 | – | 1 | 25 (20%) | – |
| 8 Mamadou Sangare M | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 99 (84%) | 3 |
| 2 Ruben Aguilar M | 7.2 | 52' | – | – | – | 47 (44%) | 1 |
| 14 Matthieu Udol M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (36%) | 2 |
| 6 Samson Baidoo D | 6.9 | 37' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 2 |
| 20 Malang Sarr D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (48%) | – |
| 28 Adrien Thomasson M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 52 (41%) | 4 |
| 19 Abdallah Sima F | 6.6 | 64' | 1 | – | 6 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 22 Wesley Saïd F | 6.5 | 53' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | – |
| 7 Florian Sotoca F | 6.3 | 52' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | – |
| 11 Odsonne Édouard F | 6.2 | 26' | – | – | 3 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 25 Ismaelo Ganiou D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 84 (76%) | 2 |
| 40 Robin Risser G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (17%) | – |
| 27 Arthur Masuaku D | 5.3 | 53' | – | – | – | 45 (34%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
K. Doumbia
4 gls
F. Thauvin
3 gls
F. Ivanović
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Stade Brestois 29 vs Lens
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | Lens | 3 - 1 | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 - 3 | Lens |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Lens | 2 - 0 | Stade Brestois 29 |
Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Auxerre | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Le Havre | W | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Toulouse | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | A Le Mans | D | 2 - 2 |
Lens — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Monaco | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Le Mans | D | 2 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | A Slavia Praha | W | 2 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | H Lorient | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Strasbourg | L | 2 - 1 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Stade Brestois 29
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Eric Roy
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G. Coudert | G |
| 77 | K. Lala | D |
| 5 | B. Chardonnet | D |
| 44 | S. Coulibaly | D |
| 27 | D. Guindo | D |
| 13 | J. Chotard | M |
| 10 | R. Del Castillo | M |
| 24 | L. Tousart | M |
| 8 | H. Magnetti | M |
| 7 | J. Dina Ebimbe | M |
| 19 | L. Ajorque | F |
Substitutes
| 50 | N. Jauny | G |
| 1 | R. Majecki | G |
| 17 | M. Balde | F |
| 4 | J. M. Diaz | D |
| 33 | H. Makalou | M |
| 99 | P. Mboup | F |
| 12 | L. Zogbe | D |
| 21 | I. Y. Kante | F |
| 39 | A. Lassus | M |
Lens
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Sage
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | R. Risser | G |
| 25 | I. Ganiou | D |
| 20 | M. Sarr | D |
| 27 | A. Masuaku | D |
| 2 | R. Aguilar | M |
| 8 | M. Sangare | M |
| 28 | A. Thomasson | M |
| 14 | M. Udol | M |
| 7 | F. Sotoca | F |
| 22 | W. Said | F |
| 19 | A. Sima | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | M. Gorgelin | G |
| 23 | S. Abdulhamid | D |
| 10 | F. Thauvin | F |
| 9 | A. Saint-Maximin | F |
| 11 | O. Edouard | F |
| 21 | A. Haidara | M |
| 6 | S. Baidoo | D |
| 5 | A. Bulatovic | M |
| 38 | R. Fofana | F |