Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

Post on X

Stade Brestois 29

Away

AI call Stade Brestois 29 or draw

22%

30%

48%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction: Sportiko gives Nantes a 22% chance of winning, Stade Brestois 29 48% and the draw 30%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Nantes took an early lead at the Stade de la Beaujoire when Mostafa Mohamed struck in the ninth minute, giving the hosts a platform they would defend for much of the contest. Despite Brest edging possession at 56%, Nantes were the more threatening side throughout, generating 17 total shots and 11 corner kicks to their opponents' four and none respectively.

The match shifted decisively in the 63rd minute when a VAR review upgraded a card for Dehmaine Tabibou, leading to his red card two minutes later and leaving Brest with ten men. Nantes, however, were unable to capitalise on the numerical advantage, and Brest struck with virtually the last action of the game — Brendan Chardonnet heading home in the 90th minute to earn a dramatic equaliser.

The late leveller meant Brest salvaged a point despite their numerical disadvantage and an expected goals figure of just 0.42 against Nantes' 0.92. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brest win as most likely at 48%, a call that ultimately fell just short as the spoils were shared.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Mostafa Mohamed assist: Francis Coquelin

9' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 41'

Daouda Guindo Yellow Card

▮ 45+1'

Romain Del Castillo Yellow Card

HT 1–0

Francis Coquelin ⇄ Louis Leroux

46' ⇄

Louis Leroux Yellow Card

56' ▮

Dehmaine Tabibou Card upgrade

63' 🖵

Dehmaine Tabibou Red Card

65' ▮

⇄ 67'

Daouda Guindo ⇄ Kenny Lala

⇄ 67'

Junior Dina Ebimbe ⇄ Hamidou Makalou

Mostafa Mohamed ⇄ Matthis Abline

77' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Hugo Magnetti ⇄ Pathé Mboup

⚽ 1–1 90'

Brendan Chardonnet assist: Romain Del Castillo

Ignatius Ganago

90+1' ⇄

Anthony Lopes Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 1–1

Nantes

Match Stats

Stade Brestois 29

44% Ball Possession 56%

0.92 Expected Goals (xG) 0.42

17 Total Shots 4

4 Shots on Goal 2

4 Shots off Goal 2

9 Blocked Shots 0

12 Shots insidebox 3

5 Shots outsidebox 1

11 Corner Kicks 0

2 Offsides 4

13 Fouls 17

2 Yellow Cards 2

1 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

301 Total passes 415

235 Passes accurate 341

78% Passes % 82%

0.15 goals_prevented 0.15

Nantes

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
31 Mostafa Mohamed F	7.7	77'	1	–	1	16 (11%)	–
27 Deiver Machado D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	3
24 Frédéric Guilbert D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	29 (23%)	2
3 Nicolas Cozza D	6.7	90'	–	–	2	32 (28%)	–
13 Francis Coquelin M	6.7	45'	–	1	1	21 (18%)	–
37 Ignatius Ganago M	6.7	89'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	1
8 Johann Lepenant M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	39 (32%)	1
28 Ibrahima Sissoko M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	26 (23%)	2
2 Ali Youssef D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	37 (27%)	1
66 Louis Leroux M	6.5	45'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	–
22 Mathieu Acapandié D	6.5	9'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
1 Anthony Lopes G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	36 (23%)	–
10 Matthis Abline F	6.3	13'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
17 Dehmaine Tabibou M	6.0	65'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	1

Stade Brestois 29

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Brendan Chardonnet D	8.5	90'	1	–	1	60 (52%)	1
44 Soumaila Coulibaly D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	68 (63%)	1
30 Grégoire Coudert G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	27 (20%)	–
77 Kenny Lala D	6.9	23'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	–
13 Joris Chotard M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	41 (36%)	2
7 Junior Dina Ebimbe M	6.9	67'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	3
19 Ludovic Ajorque F	6.7	90'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	–
8 Hugo Magnetti M	6.6	78'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	3
33 Hamidou Makalou M	6.6	23'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	1
99 Pathé Mboup F	6.5	12'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
12 Luc Zogbé D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	48 (41%)	2
10 Romain Del Castillo M	6.3	90'	–	1	2	34 (22%)	2
14 Remy Labeau Lascary M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
27 Daouda Guindo D	6.3	67'	–	–	–	37 (27%)	1

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Stade Brestois 29 or draw

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Nantes

WLWDL

Stade Brestois 29

LLWDD

Last 3 meetings Nantes · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Nantes hosts Stade Brestois 29 in a crucial Ligue 1 clash on April 19, 2026. Nantes has struggled at home this season, with a win rate of just 30% in their last six matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Brestois has shown resilience on the road, securing a 50% win rate in their last six away games, largely due to a solid midfield that controls possession. The match could hinge on Nantes’ ability to capitalize on set pieces, as Brestois has conceded several goals from dead-ball situations. Expect a tightly contested game with potential playoff implications for both teams.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stade Brestois 29 goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	18	11	4	1
1	10	13	8	3	1
2	4	5	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Nantes goals · most likely 0–1 (17.6%)

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Players in form

Nantes

No scorer data.

Stade Brestois 29

K. Doumbia 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29

0 Nantes Wins

1 Draws

2 Stade Brestois 29 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Oct 2025	Stade Brestois 29	0 - 0	Nantes
07 Feb 2025	Nantes	0 - 2	Stade Brestois 29
15 Dec 2024	Stade Brestois 29	4 - 1	Nantes

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Nantes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Boulogne	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Sochaux	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Nancy	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Guingamp	D	3 - 3
22 Aug	H Rodez	L	2 - 5

Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Auxerre	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Le Havre	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Nantes

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Vahid Halilhodzic

1 Lopes

27 Machado

3 Cozza

2 Youssef

24 Guilbert

13 Coquelin

37 Ganago

8 Lepenant

28 Sissoko

17 Tabibou

31 Mohamed

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Lopes	G
24	F. Guilbert	D
2	Ali Youssef	D
3	N. Cozza	D
27	D. Machado	D
13	F. Coquelin	M
17	D. Tabibou	M
28	I. Sissoko	M
8	J. Lepenant	M
37	I. Ganago	M
31	Mostafa Mohamed	F

Substitutes

30	P. Carlgren	G
19	Y. El Arabi	F
10	M. Abline	F
72	S. Doucoure	D
26	U. Radakovic	D
6	C. Awaziem	D
22	M. Acapandie	D
66	L. Leroux	M
11	B. Guirassy	F

Stade Brestois 29

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Eric Roy

30 Coudert

27 Guindo

44 Coulibaly

5 Chardonnet

12 Zogbe

8 Magnetti

13 Chotard

14 Lascary

7 Ebimbe

10 Castillo

19 Ajorque

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	G. Coudert	G
12	L. Zogbe	D
5	B. Chardonnet	D
44	S. Coulibaly	D
27	D. Guindo	D
13	J. Chotard	M
8	H. Magnetti	M
10	R. Del Castillo	M
7	J. Dina Ebimbe	M
14	R. Labeau Lascary	M
19	L. Ajorque	F

Substitutes

1	R. Majecki	G
77	K. Lala	D
33	H. Makalou	M
24	L. Tousart	M
99	P. Mboup	F
21	I. Y. Kante	F
71	R. Le Guen	D
29	S. Diop	F