Stade Brestois 29 vs Rennes Prediction
Stade Brestois 29 vs Rennes prediction: Sportiko gives Stade Brestois 29 a 32% chance of winning, Rennes 43% and the draw 26%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Match Report
Stade Brestois and Rennes served up a dramatic seven-goal thriller in Ligue 1, with the visitors edging a breathless contest 4–3 despite the home side dominating large portions of the game. Brest struck early in the fourth minute, only for Rennes to respond with two goals before the half-hour mark, including a penalty on 34 minutes, to lead 2–1 at the break. The match was punctuated by five yellow cards across the first half alone, reflecting the feisty nature of the contest.
The second half was equally eventful. Brest levelled shortly after the restart, but Rennes hit back through Breel Embolo on 63 minutes before adding a penalty on 74 minutes to establish a 4–2 advantage. Brest pulled one back to make it 3–4, setting up a tense finale that included a late yellow card for goalkeeper Brice Samba deep into stoppage time. Despite Brest's 60% possession and an expected goals figure of 2.95, their wastefulness in front of goal proved costly.
The result was perhaps unsurprising given the pre-match context — the AI model had identified a Rennes victory as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that proved correct.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Stade Brestois 29
Match Stats
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Junior Dina Ebimbe M | 7.3 | 76' | 2 | – | 2 | 14 (7%) | – |
| 10 Romain Del Castillo M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (24%) | 1 |
| 14 Remy Labeau Lascary M | 7.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 44 Soumaila Coulibaly D | 6.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 16 (16%) | – |
| 13 Joris Chotard M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (31%) | 1 |
| 8 Hugo Magnetti M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | 2 |
| 2 Bradley Locko D | 6.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 28 (24%) | 3 |
| 99 Pathé Mboup F | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 19 Ludovic Ajorque F | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 16 (7%) | 2 |
| 4 Michel Diaz D | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | 4 |
| 5 Brendan Chardonnet D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | 1 |
| 30 Grégoire Coudert G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | – |
| 77 Kenny Lala D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | 2 |
Rennes
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Esteban Lepaul F | 8.5 | 90' | 2 | – | 2 | 22 (21%) | – |
| 10 Ludovic Blas M | 7.2 | 88' | 1 | – | 3 | 44 (34%) | 1 |
| 21 Valentin Rongier M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (63%) | 2 |
| 7 Breel Embolo F | 6.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 18 (6%) | 1 |
| 11 Mousa Tamari M | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 17 Sebastian Szymański M | 6.9 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 36 Alidu Seidu D | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | – | 46 (44%) | 3 |
| 48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 62 (59%) | – |
| 26 Quentin Merlin D | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 52 (39%) | – |
| 18 Mahamadou Nagida D | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 65 Nordan Mukiele F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 45 Mahdi Camara M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (44%) | 1 |
| 30 Brice Samba G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (35%) | – |
| 3 Lilian Brassier D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 68 (61%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
K. Doumbia
4 gls
E. Lepaul
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Stade Brestois 29 vs Rennes
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Rennes | 3 - 1 | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Rennes | 1 - 2 | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 - 1 | Rennes |
Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Auxerre | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Le Havre | W | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Toulouse | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | A Le Mans | D | 2 - 2 |
Rennes — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Lyon | L | 4 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Sturm Graz | D | 0 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | H Marseille | W | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Angers | W | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Le Mans | W | 3 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Rennes
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: F. Haise
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | B. Samba | G |
| 36 | A. Seidu | D |
| 48 | A. Ait Boudlal | D |
| 3 | L. Brassier | D |
| 26 | Q. Merlin | D |
| 10 | L. Blas | M |
| 21 | V. Rongier | M |
| 45 | M. Camara | M |
| 11 | M. Tamari | M |
| 9 | E. Lepaul | F |
| 7 | B. Embolo | F |
Substitutes
| 50 | M. Silistrie | G |
| 17 | S. Szymanski | M |
| 77 | Y. Zabiri | F |
| 4 | G. Kamara | M |
| 65 | N. Mukiele | F |
| 6 | D. Cisse | M |
| 18 | M. Nagida | D |
| 69 | H. Do Marcolino | F |
| 67 | I. Soukouna | D |
Stade Brestois 29
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Eric Roy
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G. Coudert | G |
| 77 | K. Lala | D |
| 5 | B. Chardonnet | D |
| 4 | J. M. Diaz | D |
| 2 | B. Locko | D |
| 13 | J. Chotard | M |
| 8 | H. Magnetti | M |
| 10 | R. Del Castillo | M |
| 7 | J. Dina Ebimbe | M |
| 14 | R. Labeau Lascary | M |
| 19 | L. Ajorque | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | R. Majecki | G |
| 33 | H. Makalou | M |
| 24 | L. Tousart | M |
| 44 | S. Coulibaly | D |
| 27 | D. Guindo | D |
| 99 | P. Mboup | F |
| 12 | L. Zogbe | D |
| 71 | R. Le Guen | D |
| 29 | S. Diop | F |