Toulouse vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Post on X

Lorient

Away

Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

AI call Lorient or draw

31%

30%

39%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Toulouse vs Lorient prediction: Sportiko gives Toulouse a 31% chance of winning, Lorient 39% and the draw 30%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean

Lorient or draw

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Toulouse

WDLDL

Lorient

LDWLD

Last 3 meetings Toulouse · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Toulouse will host Lorient in a crucial Ligue 1 clash on March 21, 2026. Toulouse, currently positioned in the mid-table, has shown a solid home form, winning 60% of their matches at Stadium de Toulouse this season. In contrast, Lorient struggles with away performances, having secured only 25% of their points on the road. Both teams have been inconsistent, with Toulouse's attack averaging 1.5 goals per game and Lorient conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. This match could be pivotal for Toulouse to push for a higher league finish, while Lorient needs points to avoid relegation worries.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lorient goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	14	8	3	1
1	12	13	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	1
3	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Toulouse goals · most likely 0–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Toulouse

No scorer data.

Lorient

B. Dieng 10 gls

P. Pagis 10 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Toulouse vs Lorient

1 Toulouse Wins

2 Draws

0 Lorient Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Sep 2026	Lorient	2 - 2	Toulouse
09 Nov 2025	Lorient	1 - 1	Toulouse
28 Apr 2024	Lorient	1 - 2	Toulouse

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Lorient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Le Mans	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Lens	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Estac Troyes	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	A Nice	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74	29	+45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66	35	+31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52	37	+15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53	40	+13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	+18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59	50	+9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60	54	+6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58	47	+11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47	46	+1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.