Nice vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27
FT
Post on X
Allianz Riviera, Nice
AI call Paris Saint Germain to win or draw
12%
20%
68%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain prediction: Sportiko gives Nice a 12% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 68% and the draw 20%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Our lean
Paris Saint Germain to win or draw
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Nice
WLDLD
Paris Saint Germain
WWWLD
Last 3 meetings Nice · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Nice hosts Paris Saint-Germain on March 21, 2026. Nice has shown a strong defensive record at home, conceding an average of just 0.9 goals per match this season, which could pose a challenge for PSG's potent attack, led by their star forwards. PSG, however, has been dominant in away fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals per game and boasting a win rate of over 70% in their last 10 league matches. The key battle will likely be between Nice's backline and PSG's attacking prowess, making for an intriguing tactical matchup. Expect PSG to leverage their depth and experience, but Nice's solid home form could make this a tightly contested affair.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
12%
10%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
68%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Nice

No scorer data.

Paris Saint Germain
B. Barcola 11 gls
O. Dembélé 10 gls

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Head to Head: Nice vs Paris Saint Germain

1 Nice Wins
1 Draws
1 Paris Saint Germain Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Nov 2025 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Nice
25 Apr 2025 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 3 Nice
06 Oct 2024 Nice 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Nice — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Lille W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Auxerre L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Le Mans D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Paris FC L 3 - 0
22 Aug H Lorient D 0 - 0

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Marseille W 1 - 2
13 Sep A Stade Brestois 29 W 0 - 1
09 Sep H Slovan Bratislava W 6 - 1
04 Sep H Monaco L 1 - 2
28 Aug A Lille D 2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
34 24 4 6 +45 76
2
Lens
34 22 4 8 +31 70
3
Lille
34 18 7 9 +15 61
4
Lyon
34 18 6 10 +13 60
5
Marseille
34 18 5 11 +18 59
6
Rennes
34 17 8 9 +9 59
7
Monaco
34 16 6 12 +6 54
8
Strasbourg
34 15 8 11 +11 53
9
Lorient
34 11 12 11 -3 45
10
Toulouse
33 12 8 13 +1 44
11
Paris FC
34 11 11 12 -3 44
12
Stade Brestois 29
34 10 9 15 -12 39
13
Angers
34 9 9 16 -19 36
14
Le Havre
34 7 14 13 -12 35
15
Auxerre
34 8 10 16 -10 34
16
Nice
34 7 11 16 -23 32
17
Nantes
33 5 8 20 -23 23
18
Metz
34 3 8 23 -44 17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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