Le Havre vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

Lyon

Away

Stade Océane, Le Havre

AI call Difficult Lyon win or draw

18%

28%

53%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Le Havre vs Lyon prediction: Sportiko gives Le Havre a 18% chance of winning, Lyon 53% and the draw 28%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Lyon win or draw

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Le Havre

LDLDL

Lyon

WWDWD

Last 3 meetings Le Havre · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In this Ligue 1 clash, Le Havre will host Lyon on March 15, 2026. Le Havre, known for their solid defensive structure, will aim to capitalize on set pieces and quick counter-attacks. However, Lyon boasts a potent attacking lineup, featuring high goal-scoring players, which could exploit any gaps in Le Havre's defense. Historically, Lyon has had the upper hand in their encounters, but Le Havre's home advantage may play a crucial role. Expect a tactical battle where midfield control will be key.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

18%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

53%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lyon goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	18	12	6	2	1
1	9	12	8	4	1
2	3	4	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Le Havre goals · most likely 0–1 (17.9%)

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Players in form

Le Havre

No scorer data.

Lyon

P. Šulc 11 gls

C. Tolisso 11 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Le Havre vs Lyon

0 Le Havre Wins

1 Draws

2 Lyon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	Lyon	1 - 1	Le Havre
14 Dec 2025	Lyon	1 - 0	Le Havre
16 Mar 2025	Lyon	4 - 2	Le Havre

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Le Havre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Toulouse	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Angers	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Lyon	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Monaco	L	0 - 1

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74	29	+45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66	35	+31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52	37	+15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53	40	+13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	+18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59	50	+9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60	54	+6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58	47	+11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47	46	+1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.