Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24
FT
Post on X
Stade Océane, Le Havre
AI call Paris Saint Germain to win or draw
11%
20%
69%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction: Sportiko gives Le Havre a 11% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 69% and the draw 20%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Our lean
Paris Saint Germain to win or draw
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Le Havre
LDLDL
Paris Saint Germain
WWWLD
Last 3 meetings Le Havre · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Le Havre hosts Paris Saint-Germain on February 28, 2026. PSG, historically dominant, will aim to leverage their attacking prowess, led by star forwards who have consistently contributed to their league-leading goal tally. Le Havre, known for their solid defensive setup, will need to disrupt PSG’s rhythm to capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities. Given PSG's recent form and depth in squad quality, they are favored to secure three points, while Le Havre must maximize home advantage to challenge the Parisians effectively. The match could hinge on Le Havre's ability to withstand early pressure and exploit set pieces.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
11%
10%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
69%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Le Havre

No scorer data.

Paris Saint Germain
B. Barcola 11 gls
O. Dembélé 10 gls

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Head to Head: Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain

0 Le Havre Wins
0 Draws
3 Paris Saint Germain Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Nov 2025 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 0 Le Havre
19 Apr 2025 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Le Havre
16 Aug 2024 Le Havre 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain
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Le Havre — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Toulouse L 3 - 2
12 Sep H Angers D 0 - 0
05 Sep H Stade Brestois 29 L 1 - 2
29 Aug A Lyon D 1 - 1
23 Aug H Monaco L 0 - 1

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Marseille W 1 - 2
13 Sep A Stade Brestois 29 W 0 - 1
09 Sep H Slovan Bratislava W 6 - 1
04 Sep H Monaco L 1 - 2
28 Aug A Lille D 2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
34 24 4 6 +45 76
2
Lens
34 22 4 8 +31 70
3
Lille
34 18 7 9 +15 61
4
Lyon
34 18 6 10 +13 60
5
Marseille
34 18 5 11 +18 59
6
Rennes
34 17 8 9 +9 59
7
Monaco
34 16 6 12 +6 54
8
Strasbourg
34 15 8 11 +11 53
9
Lorient
34 11 12 11 -3 45
10
Toulouse
33 12 8 13 +1 44
11
Paris FC
34 11 11 12 -3 44
12
Stade Brestois 29
34 10 9 15 -12 39
13
Angers
34 9 9 16 -19 36
14
Le Havre
34 7 14 13 -12 35
15
Auxerre
34 8 10 16 -10 34
16
Nice
34 7 11 16 -23 32
17
Nantes
33 5 8 20 -23 23
18
Metz
34 3 8 23 -44 17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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