Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Post on X

AS Roma

Away

AI call Difficult AS Roma win or draw

16%

28%

56%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma prediction: Sportiko gives Hellas Verona a 16% chance of winning, AS Roma 56% and the draw 28%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

AS Roma claimed a 2–0 victory at Hellas Verona on the final day of the Serie A season, with the result shaped decisively by a red card early in the second half. Nicolás Valentini, already on a yellow from the 35th minute, picked up a second booking on 50 minutes to leave Verona with ten men. Roma capitalised almost immediately, with a VAR-confirmed penalty converted by Dušan Malen just six minutes later to break the deadlock.

Despite Verona enjoying 67% possession and generating 19 total shots to Roma's eight, the hosts were unable to find a way through, finishing with an expected goals figure of 3.39 against Roma's 0.84 — a statistical curiosity that underlined how the visitors defended their lead efficiently. Stephan El Shaarawy wrapped up the points in stoppage time to seal a comfortable Roma win.

Our pre-match AI model had rated an AS Roma victory as the most likely outcome at 56%, a call that proved correct. The result gives Roma a clean sheet to end their campaign on a positive note.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Nicolás Valentini Yellow Card

35' ▮

Sandi Lovrić Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Daniele Ghilardi ⇄ Jan Ziółkowski

⇄ 46'

Niccolò Pisilli ⇄ Neil El Aynaoui

Nicolás Valentini Yellow Card

50' ▮

Nicolás Valentini Red Card

50' ▮

🖵 54'

Jan Ziółkowski Penalty confirmed

⚽ 0–1 56'

D. Malen assist: Paulo Dybala

Tomáš Suslov ⇄ Armel Bella-Kotchap

58' ⇄

Sandi Lovrić ⇄ Mutassim Al-Musrati

58' ⇄

Martin Frese ⇄ Domagoj Bradarić

70' ⇄

Abdou Harroui ⇄ Amin Sarr

70' ⇄

▮ 71'

Jan Ziółkowski Yellow Card

⇄ 72'

Matías Soulé ⇄ Stephan El Shaarawy

⇄ 73'

⇄ Manu Koné

⇄ 84'

D. Malen ⇄ Robinio Vaz

Rafik Belghali ⇄ Ioan Vermesan

86' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 90'

Stephan El Shaarawy assist: Paulo Dybala

FT 0–2

Hellas Verona

Match Stats

AS Roma

33% Ball Possession 67%

0.84 Expected Goals (xG) 3.39

8 Total Shots 19

3 Shots on Goal 7

2 Shots off Goal 7

3 Blocked Shots 5

4 Shots insidebox 14

4 Shots outsidebox 5

6 Corner Kicks 6

0 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 10

3 Yellow Cards 1

1 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 3

272 Total passes 580

205 Passes accurate 510

75% Passes % 88%

0.96 goals_prevented 0.96

Hellas Verona

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Lorenzo Montipò G	8.3	90'	–	–	–	32 (18%)	1
3 Martin Frese M	7.2	70'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	4
18 Kieron Bowie F	7.0	90'	–	–	3	12 (9%)	–
10 Tomáš Suslov F	6.9	58'	–	–	1	10 (9%)	1
21 Abdou Harroui M	6.9	70'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	2
5 Andrias Edmundsson D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	22 (14%)	3
9 Amin Sarr F	6.7	20'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	–
73 Mutassim Al-Musrati M	6.7	32'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	1
90 Ioan Vermesan F	6.7	11'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
4 Sandi Lovrić M	6.7	58'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	5
7 Rafik Belghali M	6.6	86'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	1
11 Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	5
37 Armel Bella-Kotchap D	6.6	32'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	1
12 Domagoj Bradarić D	6.3	20'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
15 Victor Nelsson D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	21 (13%)	–
6 Nicolás Valentini D	5.9	50'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	2

AS Roma

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Paulo Dybala F	8.9	90'	–	2	3	54 (46%)	–
99 Mile Svilar G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	–
87 Daniele Ghilardi D	7.9	45'	–	–	1	46 (46%)	4
4 Bryan Cristante M	7.7	90'	–	–	2	76 (68%)	1
8 Neil El Aynaoui M	7.3	45'	–	–	–	30 (26%)	2
92 Stephan El Shaarawy F	7.3	18'	1	–	1	11 (10%)	–
23 Gianluca Mancini D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	50 (46%)	1
2 Devyne Rensch M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	45 (38%)	1
22 Mario Hermoso D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	84 (75%)	–
19 Zeki Çelik M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	2
17 Manu Koné M	6.3	18'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
14 D. Malen F	6.3	84'	1	–	3	15 (9%)	2
61 Niccolò Pisilli M	6.3	45'	–	–	1	51 (44%)	–
18 Matías Soulé F	6.3	72'	–	–	2	36 (31%)	1
24 Jan Ziółkowski D	6.3	27'	–	–	1	9 (9%)	–
78 Robinio Vaz F	6.3	13'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult AS Roma win or draw

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Hellas Verona

WWDLD

AS Roma

WLDWW

Last 3 meetings Hellas Verona · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Hellas Verona hosts AS Roma on May 24, 2026. Verona has struggled this season, sitting in the lower half of the table, with a defensive record of 1.5 goals conceded per match. In contrast, Roma has been more consistent, vying for European qualification with a potent attack averaging 2 goals per game. Key for Verona will be their ability to contain Roma's offensive threats, particularly their top scorer, who has netted 15 goals this season. Expect a tactical battle, with Roma likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AS Roma goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	14	19	13	6	2	1
1	8	11	8	4	1
2	2	3	2	1
3		1
4
5

↑ Hellas Verona goals · most likely 0–1 (19.1%)

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Head to Head: Hellas Verona vs AS Roma

1 Hellas Verona Wins

0 Draws

2 AS Roma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Sep 2025	AS Roma	2 - 0	Hellas Verona
19 Apr 2025	AS Roma	1 - 0	Hellas Verona
03 Nov 2024	Hellas Verona	3 - 2	AS Roma

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Hellas Verona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Lecco	W	3 - 0
25 Jul	H Dolomiti Bellunesi	W	1 - 0
22 Jul	H Virtus Verona	D	0 - 0
24 May	H AS Roma	L	0 - 2
17 May	A Inter	D	1 - 1

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Newport County	W	1 - 4
01 Aug	A Cardiff	L	4 - 1
26 Jul	A Cannes	D	3 - 3
24 May	A Hellas Verona	W	0 - 2
17 May	H Lazio	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

AS Roma

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian

99 Svilar

22 Hermoso

87 Ghilardi

23 Mancini

2 Rensch

61 Pisilli

4 Cristante

19 Celik

21 Dybala

18 Soule

14 Malen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	M. Svilar	G
23	G. Mancini	D
87	D. Ghilardi	D
22	M. Hermoso	D
19	Z. Celik	M
4	B. Cristante	M
61	N. Pisilli	M
2	D. Rensch	M
18	M. Soule	F
21	P. Dybala	F
14	D. Malen	F

Substitutes

70	G. De Marzi	G
95	P. Gollini	G
91	R. Zelezny	G
92	S. El Shaarawy	F
24	J. Ziolkowski	D
78	R. Vaz	F
3	Angelino	D
9	A. Dovbyk	F
17	M. Kone	M
8	N. El Aynaoui	M
74	M. Seck	D
20	L. Venturino	F

Hellas Verona

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Paolo Sammarco

1 Montipo

6 Valentini

5 Edmundsson

15 Nelsson

3 Frese

21 Harroui

4 Lovric

11 Akpro

7 Belghali

18 Bowie

10 Suslov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	L. Montipo	G
15	V. Nelsson	D
5	A. Edmundsson	D
6	N. Valentini	D
7	R. Belghali	M
11	J. Akpa Akpro	M
4	S. Lovric	M
21	A. Harroui	M
3	M. Frese	M
10	T. Suslov	F
18	K. Bowie	F

Substitutes

34	S. Perilli	G
94	G. Toniolo	G
24	A. Bernede	M
37	A. Bella-Kotchap	D
19	T. Slotsager	D
41	Isaac	F
73	Al Musrati	M
14	P. Lirola	D
12	D. Bradaric	D
36	C. Niasse	M
9	A. Sarr	F
30	L. Szimionas	M
90	I. Vermesan	F
72	J. Ajayi	F
70	F. Cham	D