Torino vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

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Juventus

Away

AI call Difficult Juventus win or draw

21%

23%

56%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Torino vs Juventus prediction: Sportiko gives Torino a 21% chance of winning, Juventus 56% and the draw 23%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Juventus took the lead in this Turin derby through Dušan Vlahović, who broke the deadlock on 24 minutes to give the visitors a 1–0 advantage at half-time. The Serbian striker doubled his tally nine minutes into the second half, putting Juventus in firm control at 2–0.

Torino responded quickly, however. Cesare Casadei pulled one back on 60 minutes, and the hosts continued to press after a flurry of substitutions from both sides reshaped the contest. Che Adams completed the comeback with a 84th-minute equaliser, earning Torino a share of the points in a dramatic finish. Vlahović, who had been substituted off at 62 minutes, could only watch as his double was cancelled out.

The 2–2 draw ultimately denied Juventus the victory that had looked assured for much of the second half. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Juventus win as the most likely outcome at 56%, a call that appeared well-founded until Torino's late surge changed the complexion of the match entirely. Late yellow cards for Ebosse and Zhegrova added a fractious note to the final minutes.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 24'

Dušan Vlahović assist: Khéphren Thuram

HT 0–1

Gvidas Gineitis ⇄ Cesare Casadei

46' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 54'

Dušan Vlahović assist: Francisco Conceição

Duván Zapata ⇄ Che Adams

56' ⇄

Cesare Casadei assist: Rafael Obrador

60' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 62'

Dušan Vlahović ⇄ Jonathan David

Rafael Obrador ⇄ Niels Nkounkou

63' ⇄

Emirhan İlkhan ⇄ Alieu Njie

63' ⇄

⇄ 63'

Andrea Cambiaso ⇄ Emil Holm

▮ 64'

Pierre Kalulu Yellow Card

Marcus Pedersen ⇄ Matteo Prati

69' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Francisco Conceição ⇄ Fabio Miretti

⇄ 70'

Khéphren Thuram ⇄ T. Koopmeiners

⇄ 78'

Jérémie Boga ⇄ Edon Zhegrova

Che Adams

84' ⚽ 2–2

Enzo Ebosse Yellow Card

88' ▮

▮ 88'

Edon Zhegrova Yellow Card

FT 2–2

Torino

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Cesare Casadei M	7.7	45'	1	–	2	16 (13%)	–
25 Niels Nkounkou D	7.2	27'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	3
10 Nikola Vlašić F	7.0	90'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	1
44 Ardian Ismajli D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	40 (34%)	2
19 Che Adams F	6.9	34'	1	–	2	10 (8%)	–
77 Enzo Ebosse D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	42 (34%)	–
66 Gvidas Gineitis M	6.9	45'	–	–	1	13 (11%)	3
33 Rafael Obrador M	6.9	63'	–	1	–	18 (14%)	1
92 Alieu Njie F	6.9	27'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	1
16 Marcus Pedersen M	6.7	69'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	1
1 Alberto Paleari G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	32 (22%)	–
91 Duván Zapata F	6.7	56'	–	–	1	9 (7%)	–
4 Matteo Prati M	6.6	21'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–
6 Emirhan İlkhan M	6.5	63'	–	–	–	26 (19%)	1
23 Saúl Coco D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	35 (24%)	1
18 Giovanni Simeone F	6.3	90'	–	–	1	9 (7%)	1

Juventus

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Dušan Vlahović F	8.0	62'	2	–	4	13 (9%)	–
5 Manuel Locatelli M	7.9	90'	–	–	2	85 (71%)	3
27 Andrea Cambiaso M	7.2	63'	–	–	1	37 (34%)	1
13 Jérémie Boga F	7.0	78'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	1
1 Mattia Perin G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	–
19 Khéphren Thuram M	6.9	70'	–	1	–	31 (30%)	–
7 Francisco Conceição F	6.5	70'	–	1	2	33 (27%)	–
11 Edon Zhegrova F	6.5	12'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
22 Weston McKennie M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	1
15 Pierre Kalulu D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	57 (48%)	2
21 Fabio Miretti M	6.3	20'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
4 Federico Gatti D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	36 (32%)	1
8 T. Koopmeiners M	6.2	20'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	–
6 Lloyd Kelly D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	44 (37%)	2
2 Emil Holm D	6.2	27'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	1
30 Jonathan David F	6.0	28'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Juventus win or draw

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Torino

WLDDL

Juventus

WWDLW

Last 3 meetings Torino · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Torino hosts Juventus in a highly anticipated derby on May 24, 2026. Historically, Juventus has dominated this fixture, winning 65% of encounters over the past decade. Torino will rely on their home advantage and a solid defense, as they’ve conceded only 1.2 goals per match at home this season. Juventus, on the other hand, boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game, led by their top scorer, who has netted 18 times this season. This match could be pivotal for both teams' aspirations, with Juventus aiming for a Champions League spot and Torino fighting for mid-table stability.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Juventus goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	11	10	6	3	1
1	6	11	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Torino goals · most likely 0–1 (11.1%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Torino vs Juventus

0 Torino Wins

2 Draws

1 Juventus Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Nov 2025	Juventus	0 - 0	Torino
11 Jan 2025	Torino	1 - 1	Juventus
09 Nov 2024	Juventus	2 - 0	Torino

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Torino — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A Burnley	W	0 - 1
25 Jul	H Cittadella	L	0 - 1
22 Jul	H Alcione	D	0 - 0
24 May	H Juventus	D	2 - 2
17 May	A Cagliari	L	2 - 1

Juventus — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	H Nice	W	2 - 0
25 Jul	A Standard Liege	W	0 - 1
24 May	A Torino	D	2 - 2
17 May	H Fiorentina	L	0 - 2
09 May	A Lecce	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Juventus

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Luciano Spalletti

1 Perin

6 Kelly

4 Gatti

15 Kalulu

27 Cambiaso

19 Thuram

5 Locatelli

22 McKennie

13 Boga

7 Conceicao

9 Vlahovic

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. Perin	G
15	P. Kalulu	D
4	F. Gatti	D
6	L. Kelly	D
22	W. McKennie	M
5	M. Locatelli	M
19	K. Thuram	M
27	A. Cambiaso	M
7	F. Conceicao	F
13	J. Boga	F
9	D. Vlahovic	F

Substitutes

16	M. Di Gregorio	G
23	C. Pinsoglio	G
30	J. David	F
21	F. Miretti	M
17	V. Adzic	M
14	A. Milik	F
18	F. Kostic	M
8	T. Koopmeiners	M
20	L. Openda	F
11	E. Zhegrova	F
2	E. Holm	D
32	J. Cabal	D
10	K. Yildiz	F

Torino

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Leonardo Colucci

1 Paleari

77 Ebosse

44 Ismajli

23 Coco

33 Obrador

66 Gineitis

6 Ilkhan

16 Pedersen

10 Vlasic

91 Zapata

18 Simeone

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Paleari	G
23	S. Coco	D
44	A. Ismajli	D
77	E. Ebosse	D
16	M. Pedersen	M
6	E. Ilkhan	M
66	G. Gineitis	M
33	R. Obrador	M
10	N. Vlasic	F
18	G. Simeone	F
91	D. Zapata	F

Substitutes

81	F. Israel	G
99	L. Siviero	G
61	A. Tameze	M
34	C. Biraghi	D
20	V. Lazaro	D
17	S. Kulenovic	F
25	N. Nkounkou	D
4	M. Prati	M
93	M. Pellini	D
19	C. Adams	F
22	C. Casadei	M
8	I. Ilic	M
92	A. Njie	F
84	T. Gabellini	F