Torino vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 36
FT
Post on X
AI call Too close to call
36%
28%
36%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Torino vs Sassuolo prediction: Sportiko gives Torino a 36% chance of winning, Sassuolo 36% and the draw 28%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Torino came from behind to claim a 2–1 victory over Sassuolo in Serie A matchday 36, with all the action compressed into a frantic second half after a goalless first period. Sassuolo broke the deadlock six minutes after the restart through Kristian Thorstvedt, and the visitors looked the more threatening side throughout, finishing with 18 total shots and an expected goals figure of 3.26 against Torino's 2.24.

Torino responded swiftly, however, with Giovanni Simeone levelling on 66 minutes before Marcus Pedersen put the home side ahead just four minutes later — a decisive ten-minute swing that proved to be the match's turning point. A flurry of substitutions on both sides in the final quarter disrupted the flow, and Sassuolo were unable to restore parity despite their statistical dominance.

Discipline was a recurring theme, with six yellow cards distributed across both teams, including bookings for Thorstvedt and Simeone before each was withdrawn late on. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Torino win as the most likely outcome at just 36%, a call that looked uncertain for much of the contest before Pedersen's finish proved decisive.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 38'
Luca Lipani Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Luca Marianucci Yellow Card
51' ▮
⚽ 0–1 51'
Kristian Thorstvedt assist: Luca Lipani
Alieu Njie ⇄ Duván Zapata
59' ⇄
Valentino Lazaro ⇄ Marcus Pedersen
59' ⇄
Matteo Prati Yellow Card
63' ▮
⇄ 63'
Cristian Volpato ⇄ Domenico Berardi
⇄ 63'
Luca Lipani ⇄ Ismael Koné
Giovanni Simeone assist: Enzo Ebosse
66' ⚽ 1–1
Matteo Prati ⇄ Emirhan İlkhan
67' ⇄
Marcus Pedersen
70' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 75'
Josh Doig ⇄ Ulisses Garcia
⇄ 76'
Andrea Pinamonti ⇄ M'Bala Nzola
⇄ 84'
Nemanja Matić ⇄ Darryl Bakola
▮ 86'
Kristian Thorstvedt Yellow Card
Giovanni Simeone ⇄ Sandro Kulenović
86' ⇄
Rafael Obrador ⇄ Niels Nkounkou
86' ⇄
Niels Nkounkou Yellow Card
89' ▮
Gvidas Gineitis Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
FT 2–1
Torino

Match Stats

Sassuolo
48% Ball Possession 52%
3.26 Expected Goals (xG) 2.24
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 7
10 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 3
13 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 3
7 Corner Kicks 5
Offsides
13 Fouls 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
439 Total passes 482
373 Passes accurate 420
85% Passes % 87%
-0.13 goals_prevented -0.13
Torino
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
91 Duván Zapata F 8.0 31' – – 2 7 (3%) –
16 Marcus Pedersen D 7.9 31' 1 – 1 2 (2%) –
1 Alberto Paleari G 7.6 90' – – – 29 (24%) –
18 Giovanni Simeone F 7.6 86' 1 – 3 15 (11%) –
77 Enzo Ebosse D 7.3 90' – 1 – 71 (68%) 1
66 Gvidas Gineitis M 7.2 90' – – 2 37 (33%) 1
23 Saúl Coco D 7.0 90' – – – 58 (55%) 2
20 Valentino Lazaro M 7.0 59' – – – 25 (22%) –
35 Luca Marianucci D 7.0 90' – – 1 55 (43%) 1
10 Nikola Vlašić F 6.9 90' – – – 42 (34%) 2
92 Alieu Njie F 6.7 59' – – 2 9 (7%) 1
25 Niels Nkounkou D 6.6 9' – – 1 2 (2%) 1
6 Emirhan İlkhan M 6.6 23' – – 1 10 (10%) 1
4 Matteo Prati M 6.3 67' – – 1 38 (27%) 2
33 Rafael Obrador M 6.3 86' – – – 35 (29%) 1
17 Sandro Kulenović F 6.3 9' – – – 4 (3%) –
Sassuolo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
42 Kristian Thorstvedt M 7.9 90' 1 – 1 39 (33%) 2
7 Cristian Volpato F 7.0 63' – – – 27 (22%) 1
18 Nemanja Matić M 7.0 84' – – – 62 (58%) –
6 Sebastian Walukiewicz D 6.9 90' – – – 59 (57%) 2
25 Woyo Coulibaly D 6.9 90' – – – 53 (49%) 3
35 Luca Lipani M 6.9 63' – 1 1 17 (13%) –
90 Ismael Koné M 6.6 27' – – – 22 (20%) 1
23 Ulisses Garcia D 6.6 15' – – – 11 (10%) –
80 Tarik Muharemović D 6.3 90' – – 1 64 (58%) –
49 Arijanet Murić G 6.3 90' – – – 28 (19%) –
45 Armand Laurienté F 6.3 90' – – 3 20 (15%) 1
99 Andrea Pinamonti F 6.3 76' – – 3 19 (15%) –
50 Darryl Bakola M 6.3 11' – – 1 5 (3%) –
10 Domenico Berardi F 6.2 27' – – – 12 (8%) –
8 M'Bala Nzola F 6.2 14' – – – 7 (5%) –
3 Josh Doig D 6.2 75' – – – 37 (35%) –
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean
Too close to call
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Torino
DLWLL
Sassuolo
LWDDW
Last 3 meetings Torino · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Torino and Sassuolo, both teams are vying for crucial points to enhance their standings. Torino, known for their solid defensive record, will look to maintain a strong home advantage, where they typically perform well. Sassuolo, on the other hand, boasts a potent attacking lineup, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, which could challenge Torino's backline. Key players for both sides will play a pivotal role; Torino's defense against Sassuolo's dynamic forwards will be crucial. Given their contrasting styles, this match could be a tactical battle, with Torino aiming to control possession while Sassuolo looks to exploit counter-attacking opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Torino

No scorer data.

Sassuolo
Vasilije Adžić 3 gls

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Head to Head: Torino vs Sassuolo

1 Torino Wins
1 Draws
1 Sassuolo Wins
Date Home Score Away
29 Aug 2026 Sassuolo 2 - 1 Torino
21 Dec 2025 Sassuolo 0 - 1 Torino
10 Feb 2024 Sassuolo 1 - 1 Torino
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Torino — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Bologna D 1 - 1
14 Sep H AS Roma L 0 - 2
05 Sep A Fiorentina W 1 - 2
01 Sep H Monza L 0 - 1
29 Aug A Sassuolo L 2 - 1

Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Monza L 2 - 1
13 Sep H Juventus W 3 - 2
06 Sep A Bologna D 2 - 2
02 Sep H Frosinone D 1 - 1
29 Aug H Torino W 2 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Sassuolo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: F. Grosso
49 Muric
3 Doig
80 Muharemovic
6 Walukiewicz
25 Coulibaly
42 Thorstvedt
18 Matic
35 Lipani
45 Lauriente
99 Pinamonti
7 Volpato

Starting XI

# Player Pos
49 A. Muric G
25 W. Coulibaly D
6 S. Walukiewicz D
80 T. Muharemovic D
3 J. Doig D
35 L. Lipani M
18 N. Matic M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
7 C. Volpato F
99 A. Pinamonti F
45 A. Lauriente F

Substitutes

12 G. Satalino G
16 G. Zacchi G
10 D. Berardi F
24 L. Moro F
90 I. Kone M
66 Pedro Felipe D
50 D. Bakola M
19 F. Romagna D
23 U. Garcia D
8 M. Nzola F
40 A. Vranckx M
44 E. Iannoni M
33 C. Frangella M

Torino

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Leonardo Colucci
1 Paleari
77 Ebosse
23 Coco
35 Marianucci
33 Obrador
66 Gineitis
4 Prati
20 Lazaro
92 Njie
10 Vlasic
18 Simeone

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 A. Paleari G
35 L. Marianucci D
23 S. Coco D
77 E. Ebosse D
20 V. Lazaro M
4 M. Prati M
66 G. Gineitis M
33 R. Obrador M
10 N. Vlasic F
92 A. Njie F
18 G. Simeone F

Substitutes

81 F. Israel G
99 L. Siviero G
61 A. Tameze M
34 C. Biraghi D
17 S. Kulenovic F
25 N. Nkounkou D
6 E. Ilkhan M
91 D. Zapata F
13 G. Maripan D
19 C. Adams F
16 M. Pedersen D
22 C. Casadei M
8 I. Ilic M
79 Z. Savva -
84 T. Gabellini F

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