Inter vs Parma Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Post on X

Parma

Away

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

AI call Inter to win or draw

68%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Inter vs Parma prediction: Sportiko gives Inter a 68% chance of winning, Parma 9% and the draw 23%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Inter secured a comfortable 2–0 victory over Parma at San Siro in Matchday 35 of Serie A, with the hosts in control throughout. Marcus Thuram struck right on the stroke of half-time to give Inter a deserved lead, capping a dominant first-half display in which they dictated possession and created the clearer chances. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Inter win as the most likely outcome at 68%, and the result duly followed.

The second half saw a flurry of substitutions from both sides, with Thuram among those withdrawn shortly after the hour mark. Parma offered little in response, managing just four total shots and none on target across the entire match, while Inter's expected goals figure of 2.09 reflected their overall superiority. Henrikh Mkhitaryan wrapped up the points with a goal on 80 minutes, putting the result beyond any doubt.

Inter's eighth corner and a 59% share of possession underlined how thoroughly they controlled proceedings, leaving Parma with nothing to show from a trip to Milan.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Marcus Thuram assist: Piotr Zieliński

45' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Francesco Pio Esposito ⇄ Ange-Yoan Bonny

46' ⇄

Piotr Zieliński Yellow Card

64' ▮

Piotr Zieliński ⇄ Henrikh Mkhitaryan

66' ⇄

Marcus Thuram ⇄ Lautaro Martínez

66' ⇄

Alessandro Bastoni ⇄ Carlos Augusto

66' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Mandela Keita ⇄ Christian Ordoñez

⇄ 67'

Mateo Pellegrino ⇄ Nesta Elphege

⇄ 75'

Gabriel Strefezza ⇄ Pontus Almqvist

⇄ 75'

Adrián Bernabé ⇄ Oliver Sørensen

Henrikh Mkhitaryan assist: Lautaro Martínez

80' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 85'

Emanuele Valeri ⇄ Franco Carboni

Nicolò Barella ⇄ Davide Frattesi

89' ⇄

FT 2–0

Inter

Match Stats

Parma

59% Ball Possession 41%

2.09 Expected Goals (xG) 0.27

12 Total Shots 4

5 Shots on Goal 0

5 Shots off Goal 3

2 Blocked Shots 1

11 Shots insidebox 3

1 Shots outsidebox 1

8 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 3

9 Fouls 7

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

581 Total passes 420

534 Passes accurate 372

92% Passes % 89%

-0.08 goals_prevented -0.08

Inter

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Nicolò Barella M	7.9	89'	–	–	1	84 (71%)	2
31 Yann Bisseck D	7.7	90'	–	–	–	60 (58%)	–
95 Alessandro Bastoni D	7.6	67'	–	–	–	66 (64%)	1
25 Manuel Akanji D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	84 (77%)	1
7 Piotr Zieliński M	7.5	67'	–	1	–	53 (52%)	1
22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M	7.5	23'	1	–	1	11 (10%)	1
10 Lautaro Martínez F	7.3	23'	–	1	1	6 (5%)	–
32 Federico Dimarco M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	55 (48%)	–
8 Petar Sučić M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	63 (57%)	2
30 Carlos Augusto D	7.0	23'	–	–	–	24 (23%)	–
9 Marcus Thuram F	6.9	67'	1	–	3	7 (6%)	–
14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F	6.7	45'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
1 Yann Sommer G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	–
2 D. Dumfries M	6.3	90'	–	–	3	33 (31%)	1
94 Francesco Pio Esposito F	6.3	45'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
16 Davide Frattesi M	—	1'	–	–	1	–	–

Parma

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Adrián Bernabé M	7.3	75'	–	–	–	47 (42%)	2
31 Zion Suzuki G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	36 (28%)	–
7 Gabriel Strefezza F	6.9	75'	–	–	–	36 (34%)	1
15 Enrico Delprato M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	–
14 Emanuele Valeri M	6.7	85'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	2
24 Christian Ordoñez M	6.7	23'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
29 Franco Carboni D	6.7	8'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
39 Alessandro Circati D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	51 (45%)	4
41 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	50 (44%)	2
16 Mandela Keita M	6.6	67'	–	–	–	37 (34%)	–
22 Oliver Sørensen M	6.5	15'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
11 Pontus Almqvist F	6.5	15'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
23 Nesta Elphege F	6.2	23'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	42 (39%)	1
37 Mariano Troilo D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	48 (46%)	–
9 Mateo Pellegrino F	6.0	67'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	–

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Inter to win or draw

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Inter

DWLWW

Parma

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Inter · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Inter Milan hosts Parma in a crucial Serie A clash on May 3, 2026. Inter currently sits in the top tier of the league, boasting a strong home record with an average of 2.5 goals scored per match at San Siro. Parma, on the other hand, struggles with consistency and has the league's second-worst away form, averaging just 0.8 goals per match on the road. Given Inter's superior attacking prowess and solid defense, they are favored to secure a comfortable win, especially considering Parma's defensive vulnerabilities. This match could significantly impact Inter's title aspirations as they aim to maintain pressure on their rivals.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Parma goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	5	1
1	20	9	2
2	17	8	2
3	10	4	1
4	4	2
5	1	1

↑ Inter goals · most likely 1–0 (19.7%)

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Players in form

Inter

Lautaro Martínez 4 gls

M. Thuram 2 gls

F. Esposito 2 gls

Parma

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Inter vs Parma

2 Inter Wins

1 Draws

0 Parma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Jan 2026	Parma	0 - 2	Inter
05 Apr 2025	Parma	2 - 2	Inter
06 Dec 2024	Inter	3 - 1	Parma

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Inter — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A AS Roma	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H Udinese	W	5 - 3
08 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Napoli	W	3 - 2
30 Aug	A Cagliari	W	0 - 1

Parma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Genoa	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Como	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Monza	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	H Cremonese	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Juventus	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Inter

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Cristian Chivu

1 Sommer

95 Bastoni

25 Akanji

31 Bisseck

32 Dimarco

8 Sucic

7 Zielinski

23 Barella

2 Dumfries

94 Esposito

9 Thuram

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Y. Sommer	G
31	Y. Bisseck	D
25	M. Akanji	D
95	A. Bastoni	D
2	D. Dumfries	M
23	N. Barella	M
7	P. Zielinski	M
8	P. Sucic	M
32	F. Dimarco	M
9	M. Thuram	F
94	F. Esposito	F

Substitutes

12	R. Di Gennaro	G
13	J. Martinez	G
36	M. Darmian	D
22	H. Mkhitaryan	M
6	S. de Vrij	D
16	D. Frattesi	M
17	A. Diouf	M
43	M. Cocchi	D
48	M. Mosconi	F
15	F. Acerbi	D
20	H. Calhanoglu	M
10	L. Martinez	F
30	Carlos Augusto	D
11	Luis Henrique	F
14	A. Bonny	F

Parma

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Carlos Cuesta

31 Suzuki

3 Ndiaye

37 Troilo

39 Circati

14 Valeri

16 Keita

41 Caviglia

10 Bernabe

15 Delprato

9 Pellegrino

7 Strefezza

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Z. Suzuki	G
39	A. Circati	D
37	M. Troilo	D
3	A. Ndiaye	D
15	E. Delprato	M
10	A. Bernabe	M
41	H. Nicolussi Caviglia	M
16	M. Keita	M
14	E. Valeri	M
7	G. Strefezza	F
9	M. Pellegrino	F

Substitutes

40	E. Corvi	G
66	F. Rinaldi	G
8	N. Estevez	M
11	P. Almqvist	F
21	G. Oristanio	M
17	J. Ondrejka	F
24	C. Ordonez	M
23	N. Elphege	F
5	L. Valenti	D
22	O. Sorensen	M
29	F. Carboni	D
27	S. Britschgi	D