Bologna vs Cagliari Prediction
Bologna vs Cagliari prediction: Sportiko gives Bologna a 59% chance of winning, Cagliari 13% and the draw 28%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Bologna and Cagliari played out a goalless draw in Serie A Matchday 35, with the visitors dominating possession but failing to convert their opportunities into goals. Cagliari controlled 65% of the ball and registered 13 total shots, including seven corners, yet managed only four shots on target and an expected goals figure of just 0.53, reflecting a lack of cutting edge in the final third.
Bologna, despite seeing far less of the ball, actually generated the higher xG at 1.07 from eight total shots, suggesting they carried the greater threat when they did attack. Both sides made multiple substitutions in search of a breakthrough, with Federico Bernardeschi and Sebastiano Esposito introduced in the second half, but neither team could find the decisive moment. Michel Adopo picked up a yellow card in the 52nd minute before being withdrawn late on, and Santiago Castro was booked deep into stoppage time.
The stalemate means neither side took maximum points, a result that will feel more frustrating for Cagliari given their territorial dominance. It is worth noting that our pre-match AI model had rated a Bologna win as the most likely outcome at 59%, though on this occasion the hosts could not capitalise on their chances.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Bologna
Match Stats
Bologna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Eivind Helland D | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 84 (76%) | 4 |
| 26 Jhon Lucumí D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 79 (72%) | 2 |
| 33 Juan Miranda D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (39%) | 6 |
| 10 Federico Bernardeschi M | 7.5 | 78' | – | – | 3 | 32 (27%) | – |
| 6 Nikola Moro M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 77 (67%) | 2 |
| 11 Jonathan Rowe F | 7.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 29 Lorenzo De Silvestri D | 7.2 | 85' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 8 Remo Freuler M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (42%) | – |
| 25 Massimo Pessina G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | – |
| 9 Santiago Castro F | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | 2 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 20 Nadir Zortea D | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 30 Benjamín Domínguez M | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 23 Simon Sohm M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 2 |
| 19 Lewis Ferguson M | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 7 Riccardo Orsolini F | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 9 (4%) | 1 |
| 21 Jens Odgaard F | 5.9 | 63' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | – |
Cagliari
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Yerry Mina D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (26%) | 1 |
| 33 Adam Obert D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | 4 |
| 1 Elia Caprile G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (20%) | – |
| 22 Alberto Dossena D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 3 |
| 2 Marco Palestra M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | 2 |
| 90 Michael Folorunsho M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (9%) | 2 |
| 10 Gianluca Gaetano M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (25%) | 1 |
| 32 Zé Pedro D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 21 (15%) | 2 |
| 25 Ibrahim Sulemana M | 6.6 | 48' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | 2 |
| 14 Alessandro Deiola M | 6.5 | 42' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 28 Gabriele Zappa D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 8 Michel Adopo M | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| 94 Sebastiano Esposito F | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 31 Paul Mendy F | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bologna vs Cagliari
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Cagliari | 0 - 2 | Bologna |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Bologna | 2 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Cagliari | 0 - 2 | Bologna |
Bologna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Torino | D | 1 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Napoli | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Sassuolo | D | 2 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | A Atalanta | L | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | H Lazio | L | 0 - 1 |
Cagliari — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Udinese | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Atalanta | W | 1 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | H Lecce | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Hellas Verona | L | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Inter | L | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Cagliari
Formation: 4-5-1
Coach: Fabio Pisacane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Caprile | G |
| 32 | J. Pedro | D |
| 26 | Y. Mina | D |
| 22 | A. Dossena | D |
| 33 | A. Obert | D |
| 2 | M. Palestra | M |
| 8 | M. Adopo | M |
| 10 | G. Gaetano | M |
| 14 | A. Deiola | M |
| 90 | M. Folorunsho | M |
| 94 | S. Esposito | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | G. Ciocci | G |
| 12 | A. Sherri | G |
| 19 | A. Belotti | F |
| 28 | G. Zappa | D |
| 25 | I. Sulemana | M |
| 37 | Y. Trepy | F |
| 15 | J. Rodriguez | D |
| 31 | P. Mendy | F |
| 9 | S. Kilicsoy | F |
| 20 | A. Albarracin | F |
Bologna
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | M. Pessina | G |
| 29 | L. De Silvestri | D |
| 5 | E. Fauske Helland | D |
| 26 | J. Lucumi | D |
| 33 | J. Miranda | D |
| 8 | R. Freuler | M |
| 6 | N. Moro | M |
| 10 | F. Bernardeschi | M |
| 23 | S. Sohm | M |
| 30 | B. Dominguez | M |
| 21 | J. Odgaard | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | F. Ravaglia | G |
| 12 | R. Gnudi | G |
| 7 | R. Orsolini | F |
| 14 | T. Heggem | D |
| 20 | N. Zortea | D |
| 41 | M. Vitik | D |
| 11 | J. Rowe | F |
| 9 | S. Castro | F |
| 22 | C. Lykogiannis | D |
| 19 | L. Ferguson | M |
| 4 | T. Pobega | M |