AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction
AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction: Sportiko gives AS Roma a 41% chance of winning, Fiorentina 34% and the draw 25%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
AS Roma produced a commanding performance to dismantle Fiorentina 4-0 at home in Serie A Matchday 35, with the tie effectively settled before the interval. Gianluca Mancini opened the scoring in the 13th minute, Wesley doubled the advantage four minutes later, and Mario Hermoso added a third on 34 minutes to send Roma into the break with a three-goal cushion. The xG figures told the full story of Fiorentina's afternoon, with Roma generating 2.24 against a meagre 0.14 for the visitors, who managed just one shot on target throughout.
Fiorentina attempted to reset at half-time, introducing Jack Harrison, Albert Guðmundsson and Marin Pongračić — the latter having picked up a yellow card in the first half — but the changes yielded little. Niccolò Pisilli completed the rout with a fourth goal on 58 minutes, and Roma's 61% possession dominance ensured there was no route back for the visitors.
Our pre-match AI model had rated an AS Roma win as the most likely outcome at 41%, a call that proved correct as Roma coasted to a convincing victory.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AS Roma
Match Stats
AS Roma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Niccolò Pisilli M | 8.9 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 82 (76%) | 3 |
| 43 Wesley M | 8.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 46 (42%) | 2 |
| 17 Manu Koné M | 8.2 | 64' | – | 1 | – | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 22 Mario Hermoso D | 7.9 | 83' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 54 (50%) | 3 |
| 14 D. Malen F | 7.6 | 83' | – | 1 | 2 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 23 Gianluca Mancini D | 7.6 | 72' | 1 | – | 1 | 41 (36%) | – |
| 18 Matías Soulé F | 7.5 | 72' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | – |
| 5 Evan Ndicka D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (53%) | 2 |
| 99 Mile Svilar G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (39%) | – |
| 19 Zeki Çelik M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 49 (46%) | 5 |
| 92 Stephan El Shaarawy F | 6.9 | 26' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | 1 |
| 24 Jan Ziółkowski D | 6.9 | 10' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 87 Daniele Ghilardi D | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 4 Bryan Cristante F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (47%) | 3 |
| 78 Robinio Vaz F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 21 Paulo Dybala F | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | – |
Fiorentina
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jacopo Fazzini M | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 10 Albert Guðmundsson F | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 27 Cher Ndour M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (30%) | 3 |
| 15 Pietro Comuzzo D | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 15 (15%) | 1 |
| 21 Robin Gosens D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (24%) | 5 |
| 17 Jack Harrison F | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | 1 |
| 19 Manor Solomon F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 61 Riccardo Braschi F | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 7 (3%) | 2 |
| 80 Giovanni Fabbian M | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 44 Nicolò Fagioli M | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 44 (39%) | – |
| 65 Fabiano Parisi D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 15 (14%) | – |
| 4 Marco Brescianini M | 6.2 | 75' | – | – | – | 30 (25%) | – |
| 43 David De Gea G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (22%) | – |
| 6 Luca Ranieri D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (38%) | – |
| 2 Dodô D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | – |
| 5 Marin Pongračić D | 5.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
D. Malen
6 gls
M. Soulé
2 gls
Franco Mastantuono
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AS Roma vs Fiorentina
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | AS Roma | 4 - 0 | Fiorentina |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Fiorentina | 1 - 2 | AS Roma |
| 04 May 2025 | AS Roma | 1 - 0 | Fiorentina |
AS Roma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Inter | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A Torino | W | 0 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | A Fenerbahçe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Atalanta | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | A Lecce | W | 0 - 4 |
Fiorentina — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Napoli | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Pisa | W | 3 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | A Venezia | W | 2 - 4 |
| 05 Sep | H Torino | L | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Frosinone | L | 0 - 3 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
AS Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | M. Svilar | G |
| 23 | G. Mancini | D |
| 5 | E. Ndicka | D |
| 22 | M. Hermoso | D |
| 19 | Z. Celik | M |
| 61 | N. Pisilli | M |
| 17 | M. Kone | M |
| 43 | Wesley Franca | M |
| 18 | M. Soule | F |
| 4 | B. Cristante | F |
| 14 | D. Malen | F |
Substitutes
| 70 | G. De Marzi | G |
| 95 | P. Gollini | G |
| 92 | S. El Shaarawy | F |
| 12 | K. Tsimikas | D |
| 24 | J. Ziolkowski | D |
| 78 | R. Vaz | F |
| 21 | P. Dybala | F |
| 3 | Angelino | D |
| 2 | D. Rensch | D |
| 87 | D. Ghilardi | D |
| 20 | L. Venturino | F |
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Paolo Vanoli
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | D. de Gea | G |
| 2 | Dodo | D |
| 5 | M. Pongracic | D |
| 6 | L. Ranieri | D |
| 21 | R. Gosens | D |
| 4 | M. Brescianini | M |
| 44 | N. Fagioli | M |
| 27 | C. Ndour | M |
| 17 | J. Harrison | F |
| 10 | A. Gudmundsson | F |
| 19 | M. Solomon | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | L. Lezzerini | G |
| 53 | O. Christensen | G |
| 8 | R. Mandragora | M |
| 22 | J. Fazzini | M |
| 80 | G. Fabbian | M |
| 61 | R. Braschi | F |
| 60 | E. Kouadio | D |
| 3 | D. Rugani | D |
| 65 | F. Parisi | D |
| 15 | P. Comuzzo | D |
| 72 | P. Antonio | M |