Cagliari vs Atalanta Prediction
Cagliari vs Atalanta prediction: Sportiko gives Cagliari a 23% chance of winning, Atalanta 48% and the draw 29%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Cagliari produced a remarkable comeback victory over Atalanta at the Unipodda, winning 3–2 in a breathless Serie A encounter. Paul Mendy set the tone with two goals inside the opening eight minutes, putting the hosts in an unlikely commanding position despite Atalanta dominating possession throughout the afternoon.
Atalanta hit back emphatically before the break, with Gianluca Scamacca scoring twice in the final five minutes of the first half to level matters at 2–2. The visitors appeared to have wrestled control of the game, a feeling seemingly confirmed when Mendy was substituted at half-time. However, Gennaro Borrelli had other ideas, netting just a minute into the second half to restore Cagliari's lead and ultimately secure all three points.
The statistics told a familiar story of Atalanta dominance — 73% possession, 12 total shots, and six on target — yet Cagliari's clinical edge in front of goal proved decisive, with their expected goals figure of 1.56 actually exceeding Atalanta's 1.18. Our pre-match AI model had favoured an Atalanta win at 48%, a call that did not hold up against Cagliari's ruthless early efficiency.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Cagliari
Match Stats
Cagliari
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Paul Mendy F | 8.3 | 45' | 2 | – | 2 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 10 Gianluca Gaetano M | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (27%) | 4 |
| 29 Gennaro Borrelli F | 7.3 | 32' | 1 | – | 2 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 22 Alberto Dossena D | 7.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 2 Marco Palestra D | 7.0 | 34' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 2 |
| 8 Michel Adopo D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 26 (20%) | 3 |
| 90 Michael Folorunsho M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (9%) | 1 |
| 25 Ibrahim Sulemana M | 6.9 | 34' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 15 Juan Rodríguez D | 6.7 | 73' | – | – | – | 20 (13%) | 2 |
| 14 Alessandro Deiola M | 6.7 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 14 (10%) | – |
| 1 Elia Caprile G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (13%) | – |
| 33 Adam Obert D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 15 (8%) | 3 |
| 19 Andrea Belotti F | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 26 Yerry Mina D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (21%) | – |
| 94 Sebastiano Esposito F | 6.2 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 24 (16%) | – |
| 32 Zé Pedro D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (16%) | – |
Atalanta
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Gianluca Scamacca F | 8.2 | 90' | 2 | – | 4 | 24 (17%) | 1 |
| 29 Marco Carnesecchi G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 42 Giorgio Scalvini D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 91 (82%) | 2 |
| 59 Nicola Zalewski M | 6.9 | 34' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 1 |
| 10 Lazar Samardžić M | 6.9 | 13' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | 1 |
| 13 Éderson M | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 21 (17%) | 1 |
| 3 Odilon Kossounou D | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 19 Berat Djimsiti D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 93 (90%) | 4 |
| 15 M. de Roon M | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | – | 81 (71%) | 1 |
| 16 Raoul Bellanova M | 6.5 | 56' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | – |
| 23 Sead Kolašinac D | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | – | 84 (78%) | 2 |
| 77 Davide Zappacosta M | 6.3 | 56' | – | – | – | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 18 Giacomo Raspadori F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 59 (50%) | – |
| 17 Charles De Ketelaere F | 6.2 | 77' | – | – | – | 39 (27%) | – |
| 8 Mario Pašalić M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 106 (88%) | – |
| 90 Nikola Krstović F | 5.9 | 34' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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D. Maldini
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Cagliari vs Atalanta
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Atalanta | 1 - 2 | Cagliari |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Atalanta | 0 - 0 | Cagliari |
Cagliari — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Udinese | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Atalanta | W | 1 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | H Lecce | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Hellas Verona | L | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Inter | L | 0 - 1 |
Atalanta — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Juventus | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Cagliari | L | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A AS Roma | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | H Bologna | W | 1 - 0 |
| 27 Aug | A Hapoel Tel Aviv | W | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Cagliari
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Fabio Pisacane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Caprile | G |
| 8 | M. Adopo | D |
| 32 | J. Pedro | D |
| 26 | Y. Mina | D |
| 15 | J. Rodriguez | D |
| 33 | A. Obert | D |
| 10 | G. Gaetano | M |
| 14 | A. Deiola | M |
| 90 | M. Folorunsho | M |
| 94 | S. Esposito | F |
| 31 | P. Mendy | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | G. Ciocci | G |
| 12 | A. Sherri | G |
| 19 | A. Belotti | F |
| 22 | A. Dossena | D |
| 28 | G. Zappa | D |
| 25 | I. Sulemana | M |
| 2 | M. Palestra | D |
| 27 | J. Liteta | M |
| 37 | Y. Trepy | F |
| 29 | G. Borrelli | F |
| 9 | S. Kilicsoy | F |
| 18 | O. Raterink | D |
| 20 | A. Albarracin | F |
Atalanta
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Raffaele Palladino
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | M. Carnesecchi | G |
| 42 | G. Scalvini | D |
| 19 | B. Djimsiti | D |
| 23 | S. Kolasinac | D |
| 16 | R. Bellanova | M |
| 15 | M. De Roon | M |
| 8 | M. Pasalic | M |
| 77 | D. Zappacosta | M |
| 17 | C. De Ketelaere | F |
| 18 | G. Raspadori | F |
| 9 | G. Scamacca | F |
Substitutes
| 57 | M. Sportiello | G |
| 50 | P. Pardel | G |
| 13 | Ederson | M |
| 6 | Y. Musah | M |
| 7 | K. Sulemana | F |
| 40 | R. Obric | D |
| 69 | H. Ahanor | D |
| 5 | M. Bakker | D |
| 90 | N. Krstovic | F |
| 4 | I. Hien | D |
| 3 | O. Kossounou | D |
| 59 | N. Zalewski | M |
| 10 | L. Samardzic | M |