Hellas Verona vs AC Milan Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Post on X

AC Milan

Away

AI call AC Milan to win

17%

79%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Hellas Verona vs AC Milan prediction: Sportiko gives Hellas Verona a 5% chance of winning, AC Milan 79% and the draw 17%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

AC Milan claimed a hard-fought 1–0 victory at Hellas Verona in Serie A matchday 33, with Adrien Rabiot's 41st-minute strike proving the decisive moment of the contest. The goal arrived against the run of play in terms of possession, with Verona enjoying 53% of the ball, but Milan's clinical approach in the final third gave them the advantage they would carry into the break.

The second half saw both sides make multiple changes, with Rafael Leão and Youssouf Fofana introduced by Milan in the 63rd and 64th minutes respectively as the visitors looked to manage the result. Verona pressed for an equaliser but struggled to convert their opportunities, finishing with just three shots on target compared to Milan's two. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 79%, a call that proved well-founded.

Milan's efficiency was the defining factor, generating 13 total shots to Verona's six and earning six corner kicks. The three points consolidate their position in the Serie A standings as the season enters its closing stages.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Daniel Oyegoke ⇄ Pol Lirola

21' ⇄

Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro Yellow Card

24' ▮

⚽ 0–1 41'

Adrien Rabiot assist: Rafael Leão

HT 0–1

Domagoj Bradarić

46' ⇄

⇄ 63'

Zachary Athekame ⇄ Alexis Saelemaekers

⇄ 63'

Rafael Leão ⇄ Santiago Giménez

Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro ⇄ Mutassim Al-Musrati

64' ⇄

⇄ 64'

Youssouf Fofana ⇄ Samuele Ricci

⇄ 80'

Christian Pulišić ⇄ Christopher Nkunku

Antoine Bernede ⇄ Isaac

82' ⇄

Roberto Gagliardini

83' ⇄

Mutassim Al-Musrati Yellow Card

84' ▮

FT 0–1

Hellas Verona

Match Stats

AC Milan

47% Ball Possession 53%

0.71 Expected Goals (xG) 0.85

13 Total Shots 6

2 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 1

7 Blocked Shots 2

6 Shots insidebox 3

7 Shots outsidebox 3

6 Corner Kicks 1

0 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 6

2 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

421 Total passes 491

357 Passes accurate 408

85% Passes % 83%

0.30 goals_prevented 0.30

Hellas Verona

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
15 Victor Nelsson D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	46 (35%)	3
63 Roberto Gagliardini M	7.3	83'	–	–	–	60 (57%)	1
6 Nicolás Valentini D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	55 (46%)	2
24 Antoine Bernede F	7.0	82'	–	–	–	39 (37%)	2
1 Lorenzo Montipò G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	18 (9%)	–
5 Andrias Edmundsson D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	53 (46%)	–
73 Mutassim Al-Musrati M	6.9	26'	–	–	1	20 (18%)	–
4 Sandi Lovrić M	6.9	12'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
12 Domagoj Bradarić M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	2
41 Isaac F	6.7	8'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
2 Daniel Oyegoke M	6.6	21'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	–
16 Gift Orban F	6.5	90'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	–
90 Ioan Vermesan F	6.5	45'	–	–	2	10 (7%)	–
11 Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro M	6.3	64'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	1
7 Rafik Belghali F	6.2	90'	–	–	2	26 (22%)	–
14 Pol Lirola D	6.2	69'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	1

AC Milan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Adrien Rabiot M	8.2	90'	1	–	2	43 (32%)	2
14 Luka Modrić M	7.9	90'	–	–	–	80 (72%)	–
31 Strahinja Pavlović D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	61 (55%)	1
46 Matteo Gabbia D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	50 (42%)	–
23 Fikayo Tomori D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	61 (58%)	3
4 Samuele Ricci M	6.9	26'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	1
56 Alexis Saelemaekers F	6.6	27'	–	–	1	13 (12%)	2
16 Mike Maignan G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	27 (17%)	–
10 Rafael Leão F	6.6	63'	–	1	–	13 (11%)	–
33 Davide Bartesaghi M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	42 (29%)	–
11 Christian Pulišić F	6.5	80'	–	–	–	40 (34%)	–
19 Youssouf Fofana M	6.5	64'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	1
7 Santiago Giménez F	6.3	27'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
18 Christopher Nkunku F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	1
24 Zachary Athekame M	6.3	63'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	–

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean

AC Milan to win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Hellas Verona

WLWWD

AC Milan

WLDDW

Last 3 meetings Hellas Verona · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Hellas Verona will host AC Milan at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. AC Milan currently sits in the upper half of the table, boasting a strong attacking unit, with their forwards averaging 1.8 goals per match this season. Hellas Verona, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Historical data suggests that AC Milan has a solid record against Verona, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters. With Milan's attacking prowess and Verona's defensive vulnerabilities, the visitors are favored to secure a crucial away victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AC Milan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	20	20	14	7	3
1	3	6	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Hellas Verona goals · most likely 0–2 (20.4%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Hellas Verona

No scorer data.

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

0 Hellas Verona Wins

0 Draws

3 AC Milan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Dec 2025	AC Milan	3 - 0	Hellas Verona
15 Feb 2025	AC Milan	1 - 0	Hellas Verona
20 Dec 2024	Hellas Verona	0 - 1	AC Milan

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Hellas Verona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Vicenza Virtus	W	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Benevento	L	3 - 1
06 Sep	H Arezzo	W	5 - 0
03 Sep	A Cagliari	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Padova	D	1 - 1

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

AC Milan

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Massimiliano Allegri

16 Maignan

31 Pavlovic

46 Gabbia

23 Tomori

33 Bartesaghi

12 Rabiot

14 Modric

19 Fofana

24 Athekame

11 Pulisic

10 Leao

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	M. Maignan	G
23	F. Tomori	D
46	M. Gabbia	D
31	S. Pavlovic	D
24	Z. Athekame	M
19	Y. Fofana	M
14	L. Modric	M
12	A. Rabiot	M
33	D. Bartesaghi	M
10	R. Leao	F
11	C. Pulisic	F

Substitutes

1	P. Terracciano	G
37	M. Pittarella	G
8	R. Loftus-Cheek	M
18	C. Nkunku	F
2	P. Estupinan	D
56	A. Saelemaekers	F
4	S. Ricci	M
9	N. Fullkrug	F
7	S. Gimenez	F
5	K. De Winter	D
30	A. Jashari	M
27	D. Odogu	D

Hellas Verona

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Paolo Sammarco

1 Montipo

6 Valentini

5 Edmundsson

15 Nelsson

12 Bradaric

63 Gagliardini

11 Akpro

2 Oyegoke

24 Bernede

7 Belghali

16 Orban

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	L. Montipo	G
15	V. Nelsson	D
5	A. Edmundsson	D
6	N. Valentini	D
2	D. Oyegoke	M
11	J. Akpa Akpro	M
63	R. Gagliardini	M
12	D. Bradaric	M
7	R. Belghali	F
24	A. Bernede	F
16	G. Orban	F

Substitutes

34	S. Perilli	G
94	G. Toniolo	G
4	S. Lovric	M
3	M. Frese	D
37	A. Bella-Kotchap	D
19	T. Slotsager	D
41	Isaac	F
73	Al Musrati	M
14	P. Lirola	D
21	A. Harroui	M
90	I. Vermesan	F
72	J. Ajayi	F
70	F. Cham	D