AC Milan vs Udinese Prediction
AC Milan vs Udinese prediction: Sportiko gives AC Milan a 61% chance of winning, Udinese 16% and the draw 23%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
AC Milan suffered a humiliating home defeat to Udinese at San Siro, going down 3-0 in a result that will raise serious questions about the Rossoneri's form. The damage was largely done in the first half, with Davide Bartesaghi's unfortunate own goal on 27 minutes opening the scoring before Jürgen Ekkelenkamp doubled Udinese's advantage ten minutes later. Despite dominating possession at 63%, Milan were unable to convert their territorial control into meaningful chances, managing just three shots on target across the entire match.
The second half offered little improvement for the hosts. Arthur Atta put the result beyond doubt on 71 minutes, completing a comprehensive away victory for Udinese. Milan's attempts to spark a comeback through substitutions, including the introductions of Christian Pulišić and Luka Modrić, came to nothing as the visitors held firm.
The xG figures — 1.78 for Milan versus 1.19 for Udinese — underline how wasteful the home side were in front of goal. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that proved well wide of the mark on a damaging evening for the club.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AC Milan
Match Stats
AC Milan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Christian Pulišić F | 8.2 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 40 (33%) | 2 |
| 4 Samuele Ricci M | 7.3 | 60' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | 2 |
| 10 Rafael Leão F | 7.2 | 77' | – | – | 4 | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 14 Luka Modrić M | 7.0 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 70 (63%) | 2 |
| 9 Niclas Füllkrug F | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 18 Christopher Nkunku F | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | – |
| 8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek M | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 56 Alexis Saelemaekers F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (34%) | 2 |
| 12 Adrien Rabiot M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (47%) | 4 |
| 16 Mike Maignan G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | – |
| 30 Ardon Jashari M | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | – |
| 19 Youssouf Fofana M | 6.3 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 33 Davide Bartesaghi D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (46%) | 2 |
| 31 Strahinja Pavlović D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 74 (68%) | 3 |
| 24 Zachary Athekame D | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 5 Koni De Winter D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (59%) | 2 |
Udinese
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Jürgen Ekkelenkamp M | 8.2 | 86' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 (25%) | 3 |
| 40 Maduka Okoye G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (14%) | – |
| 31 Thomas Kristensen D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (19%) | 3 |
| 28 Oumar Solet D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (42%) | 4 |
| 8 Jesper Karlström M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (38%) | 1 |
| 14 Arthur Atta M | 7.2 | 85' | 1 | – | 1 | 41 (32%) | 2 |
| 27 Christian Kabasele D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 24 Jakub Piotrowski M | 7.0 | 24' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | 2 |
| 10 Nicolò Zaniolo M | 7.0 | 66' | – | 1 | 2 | 19 (16%) | 2 |
| 19 Kingsley Ehizibue D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | 2 |
| 11 Hassane Kamara D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (26%) | 1 |
| 6 Oier Zarraga M | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 9 Keinan Davis F | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 38 Lennon Miller M | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 7 Idrissa Gueye F | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Diego Moreira
3 gls
A. Rabiot
2 gls
H. Kamara
2 gls
J. Ekkelenkamp
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AC Milan vs Udinese
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Udinese | 0 - 3 | AC Milan |
| 11 Apr 2025 | Udinese | 0 - 4 | AC Milan |
| 19 Oct 2024 | AC Milan | 1 - 0 | Udinese |
AC Milan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lecce | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Benfica | L | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Lazio | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Juventus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Venezia | W | 2 - 0 |
Udinese — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Cagliari | L | 0 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Inter | L | 5 - 3 |
| 07 Sep | H Lazio | L | 1 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | H Venezia | W | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Monza | W | 2 - 3 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
AC Milan
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | M. Maignan | G |
| 24 | Z. Athekame | D |
| 5 | K. De Winter | D |
| 31 | S. Pavlovic | D |
| 33 | D. Bartesaghi | D |
| 4 | S. Ricci | M |
| 14 | L. Modric | M |
| 12 | A. Rabiot | M |
| 56 | A. Saelemaekers | F |
| 10 | R. Leao | F |
| 11 | C. Pulisic | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | P. Terracciano | G |
| 37 | M. Pittarella | G |
| 8 | R. Loftus-Cheek | M |
| 23 | F. Tomori | D |
| 18 | C. Nkunku | F |
| 2 | P. Estupinan | D |
| 9 | N. Fullkrug | F |
| 46 | M. Gabbia | D |
| 7 | S. Gimenez | F |
| 19 | Y. Fofana | M |
| 30 | A. Jashari | M |
| 27 | D. Odogu | D |
Udinese
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Kosta Runjaic
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | M. Okoye | G |
| 19 | K. Ehizibue | D |
| 31 | T. Kristensen | D |
| 27 | C. Kabasele | D |
| 28 | O. Solet | D |
| 11 | H. Kamara | D |
| 10 | N. Zaniolo | M |
| 8 | J. Karlstrom | M |
| 14 | A. Atta | M |
| 32 | J. Ekkelenkamp | M |
| 9 | K. Davis | F |
Substitutes
| 93 | D. Padelli | G |
| 90 | R. Sava | G |
| 1 | A. Nunziante | G |
| 18 | A. Buksa | F |
| 15 | V. Bayo | F |
| 24 | J. Piotrowski | M |
| 38 | L. Miller | M |
| 22 | B. Mlacic | D |
| 6 | O. Zarraga | M |
| 13 | N. Bertola | D |
| 7 | I. Gueye | F |
| 20 | J. Arizala | M |
| 29 | A. Camara | M |