AS Roma vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Post on X

Lecce

Away

AI call Difficult AS Roma win or draw

58%

28%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AS Roma vs Lecce prediction: Sportiko gives AS Roma a 58% chance of winning, Lecce 15% and the draw 28%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult AS Roma win or draw

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AS Roma

DWDWW

Lecce

LWLLW

Last 3 meetings AS Roma · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash on March 22, 2026, AS Roma hosts Lecce at the Stadio Olimpico. AS Roma has shown strong form at home, securing approximately 65% of their points on home turf this season, bolstered by key players like Paulo Dybala. Conversely, Lecce struggles away, with only 20% of their points collected outside their stadium, indicating a tough challenge ahead. Historical data favors Roma, as they have won the last five encounters against Lecce. The match will likely hinge on Roma's ability to exploit Lecce's defensive vulnerabilities, making them favorites to secure all three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lecce goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	8	2
1	20	11	3	1
2	14	8	2
3	6	4	1
4	2	1
5	1

↑ AS Roma goals · most likely 1–0 (20.0%)

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Head to Head: AS Roma vs Lecce

3 AS Roma Wins

0 Draws

0 Lecce Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Aug 2026	Lecce	0 - 4	AS Roma
06 Jan 2026	Lecce	0 - 2	AS Roma
29 Mar 2025	Lecce	0 - 1	AS Roma

See all 10 meetings — Premium

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Inter	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 2
10 Sep	A Fenerbahçe	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atalanta	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Lecce	W	0 - 4

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	22	3	5	66	24	+42	69
2	AC Milan	30	18	9	3	47	23	+24	63
3	Napoli	30	19	5	6	46	30	+16	62
4	Como	30	16	9	5	53	22	+31	57
5	Juventus	30	15	9	6	52	29	+23	54
6	AS Roma	30	17	3	10	40	23	+17	54
7	Atalanta	30	13	11	6	41	27	+14	50
8	Lazio	30	11	10	9	31	28	+3	43
9	Bologna	30	12	6	12	38	36	+2	42
10	Sassuolo	30	11	6	13	36	40	-4	39
11	Udinese	30	11	6	13	35	42	-7	39
12	Parma	30	8	10	12	21	38	-17	34
13	Genoa	30	8	9	13	36	42	-6	33
14	Torino	30	9	6	15	34	53	-19	33
15	Cagliari	30	7	9	14	31	42	-11	30
16	Fiorentina	30	6	11	13	35	44	-9	29
17	Cremonese	30	6	9	15	25	44	-19	27
18	Lecce	30	7	6	17	21	40	-19	27
19	Hellas Verona	30	3	9	18	22	52	-30	18
20	Pisa	30	2	12	16	23	54	-31	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.