Sassuolo vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Post on X

Bologna

Away

AI call Bologna or draw

35%

27%

38%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sassuolo vs Bologna prediction: Sportiko gives Sassuolo a 35% chance of winning, Bologna 38% and the draw 27%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Our lean

Bologna or draw

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Sassuolo

LWDDW

Bologna

DLDLL

Last 3 meetings Sassuolo · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash on March 15, 2026, Sassuolo will host Bologna in what promises to be a competitive match. Sassuolo has shown a solid home record, with a 60% win rate at the Mapei Stadium this season, leveraging their attacking prowess led by key players. Bologna, however, has been resilient on the road, showcasing a strong defense that has allowed fewer than 1.2 goals per match away from home. Both teams are likely to focus on midfield control, but Sassuolo's attacking efficiency could tilt the match in their favor if they exploit Bologna's defensive lapses. Expect a closely contested affair with potential playoff implications as both teams vie for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bologna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	11	7	3	1
1	10	13	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Sassuolo goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Head to Head: Sassuolo vs Bologna

0 Sassuolo Wins

2 Draws

1 Bologna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Sep 2026	Bologna	2 - 2	Sassuolo
28 Dec 2025	Bologna	1 - 1	Sassuolo
03 Feb 2024	Bologna	4 - 2	Sassuolo

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monza	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Juventus	W	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Bologna	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Torino	W	2 - 1

Bologna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Torino	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Napoli	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Sassuolo	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	A Atalanta	L	1 - 0
24 Aug	H Lazio	L	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	22	3	5	66	24	+42	69
2	AC Milan	30	18	9	3	47	23	+24	63
3	Napoli	30	19	5	6	46	30	+16	62
4	Como	30	16	9	5	53	22	+31	57
5	Juventus	30	15	9	6	52	29	+23	54
6	AS Roma	30	17	3	10	40	23	+17	54
7	Atalanta	30	13	11	6	41	27	+14	50
8	Lazio	30	11	10	9	31	28	+3	43
9	Bologna	30	12	6	12	38	36	+2	42
10	Sassuolo	30	11	6	13	36	40	-4	39
11	Udinese	30	11	6	13	35	42	-7	39
12	Parma	30	8	10	12	21	38	-17	34
13	Genoa	30	8	9	13	36	42	-6	33
14	Torino	30	9	6	15	34	53	-19	33
15	Cagliari	30	7	9	14	31	42	-11	30
16	Fiorentina	30	6	11	13	35	44	-9	29
17	Cremonese	30	6	9	15	25	44	-19	27
18	Lecce	30	7	6	17	21	40	-19	27
19	Hellas Verona	30	3	9	18	22	52	-30	18
20	Pisa	30	2	12	16	23	54	-31	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.