FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction
FT
Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
AI call
FC St. Pauli or draw
48%
34%
18%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction: Sportiko gives FC St. Pauli a 48% chance of winning, VfL Wolfsburg 18% and the draw 34%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
▮
18'
Vinícius Souza
Yellow Card
▮
33'
Adam Daghim
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
37'
Konstantinos Koulierakis
assist: Christian Eriksen
HT 0–1
Andreas Hountondji
⇄ Abdoulie Ceesay
46'
⇄
Abdoulie Ceesay
assist: Connor Metcalfe
57'
⚽
1–1
⚽
1–2
64'
Nikola Vasilj
Own Goal
🖵
66'
Jeanuël Belocian
Goal confirmed
⇄
67'
Mattias Svanberg
⇄ Yannick Gerhardt
🖵
75'
Yannick Gerhardt
Penalty confirmed
Adam Dźwigała
77'
⇄
⚽
1–3
80'
Dženan Pejčinović
Abdoulie Ceesay
Yellow Card
88'
▮
⇄
88'
Adam Daghim
⇄ Kento Shiogai
Connor Metcalfe
⇄ Mathias Rasmussen
90+1'
⇄
Jackson Irvine
⇄ Taichi Hara
90+1'
⇄
▮
90+4'
Kento Shiogai
Yellow Card
⇄
90+4'
Christian Eriksen
⇄ Lovro Majer
⇄
90+4'
Dženan Pejčinović
⇄ Mohamed Amoura
Joel Chima Fujita
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
FT 1–3
FC St. Pauli
Match Stats
VfL Wolfsburg
44%
Ball Possession
56%
1.48
Expected Goals (xG)
3.50
11
Total Shots
19
2
Shots on Goal
10
5
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
5
7
Shots insidebox
17
4
Shots outsidebox
2
8
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
8
Goalkeeper Saves
1
343
Total passes
444
245
Passes accurate
349
71%
Passes %
79%
-0.45
goals_prevented
-0.45
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nikola Vasilj G | 8.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (18%) | – |
| 24 Connor Metcalfe F | 7.5 | 89' | – | 1 | 1 | 13 (7%) | 2 |
| 9 Abdoulie Ceesay F | 7.3 | 45' | 1 | – | 2 | 9 (4%) | 1 |
| 19 Martijn Kaars F | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | – |
| 15 Tomoya Ando D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 47 (40%) | 5 |
| 26 Ricky-Jade Jones F | 6.9 | 13' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 16 Joel Chima Fujita M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (21%) | – |
| 11 Arkadiusz Pyrka M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (22%) | 3 |
| 7 Jackson Irvine M | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 33 (21%) | 3 |
| 25 Adam Dźwigała D | 6.3 | 77' | – | – | – | 33 (24%) | 1 |
| 23 Louis Oppie M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (20%) | 1 |
| 5 Hauke Wahl D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (45%) | – |
| 27 Andreas Hountondji F | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 20 Mathias Rasmussen M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 18 Taichi Hara F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
VfL Wolfsburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Konstantinos Koulierakis D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 72 (62%) | 2 |
| 6 Jeanuël Belocian D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (35%) | 4 |
| 31 Yannick Gerhardt M | 7.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | – |
| 32 Mattias Svanberg M | 6.9 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 15 (7%) | – |
| 1 Kamil Grabara G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | – |
| 3 Denis Vavro D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (45%) | 1 |
| 11 Adam Daghim F | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | 3 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 7 Kento Shiogai F | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 21 Joakim Mæhle M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (46%) | 2 |
| 24 Christian Eriksen M | 6.7 | 89' | – | 1 | 3 | 53 (36%) | 3 |
| 17 Dženan Pejčinović F | 6.6 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 31 (21%) | – |
| 26 Saël Kumbedi M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (23%) | 3 |
| 5 Vinícius Souza M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 33 (26%) | 1 |
| 9 Mohamed Amoura F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 10 Lovro Majer M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (52%)
At a glance
Our lean
FC St. Pauli or draw
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FC St. Pauli
DLDWL
VfL Wolfsburg
WWLDD
Last 3 meetings
FC St. Pauli · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
FC St. Pauli hosts VfL Wolfsburg in a crucial Bundesliga clash on May 16, 2026. St. Pauli, known for their solid home advantage, will look to capitalize on their fan support, while Wolfsburg aims to secure valuable points for European qualification. Historically, Wolfsburg has had the upper hand in this matchup, but St. Pauli's recent form at home could pose challenges for the visitors. Key players to watch include St. Pauli's forward line, which has been effective in recent matches, and Wolfsburg's defense, which will need to tighten up to avoid being caught off guard. Expect a competitive encounter with significant implications for both teams' end-of-season aspirations.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
0
FC St. Pauli Wins
2
Draws
1
VfL Wolfsburg Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 - 1 | FC St. Pauli |
| 08 Mar 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 1 | FC St. Pauli |
| 26 Oct 2024 | FC St. Pauli | 0 - 0 | VfL Wolfsburg |
FC St. Pauli — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | H Deportivo La Coruna | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Jul | A Bournemouth | L | 4 - 1 |
| 19 Jul | H HNK Gorica | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Jun | A Altona 93 | W | 2 - 6 |
| 16 May | H VfL Wolfsburg | L | 1 - 3 |
VfL Wolfsburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul | H Telstar | W | 3 - 1 |
| 16 May | A FC St. Pauli | W | 1 - 3 |
| 09 May | H Bayern München | L | 0 - 1 |
| 03 May | A SC Freiburg | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Apr | H Borussia Mönchengladbach | D | 0 - 0 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
FC Augsburg
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Union Berlin
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Hamburger SV
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |
1. FC Köln
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Werder Bremen
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |
FC Schalke 04
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |
SV Elversberg
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
VfL Wolfsburg
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: Dieter Hecking
1
Grabara
4
Koulierakis
3
Vavro
6
Belocian
5
Souza
21
Maehle
24
Eriksen
32
Svanberg
26
Kumbedi
17
Pejcinovic
11
Daghim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Grabara | G |
| 6 | J. Belocian | D |
| 3 | D. Vavro | D |
| 4 | K. Koulierakis | D |
| 5 | Vini Souza | M |
| 26 | S. Kumbedi | M |
| 32 | M. Svanberg | M |
| 24 | C. Eriksen | M |
| 21 | J. Maehle | M |
| 11 | A. Daghim | F |
| 17 | D. Pejcinovic | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | P. Pervan | G |
| 31 | Y. Gerhardt | M |
| 15 | M. Jenz | D |
| 19 | J. Lindstrom | M |
| 10 | L. Majer | M |
| 40 | K. Paredes | M |
| 9 | M. Amoura | F |
| 25 | A. Zehnter | D |
| 7 | K. Shiogai | F |
FC St. Pauli
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Alexander Blessin
22
Vasilj
15
Ando
5
Wahl
25
Dzwigala
23
Oppie
16
Fujita
7
Irvine
11
Pyrka
24
Metcalfe
27
Hountondji
19
Kaars
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | N. Vasilj | G |
| 25 | A. Dzwigala | D |
| 5 | H. Wahl | D |
| 15 | T. Ando | D |
| 11 | A. Pyrka | M |
| 7 | J. Irvine | M |
| 16 | J. Fujita | M |
| 23 | L. Oppie | M |
| 24 | C. Metcalfe | F |
| 19 | M. Kaars | F |
| 27 | A. Hountondji | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | B. A. Voll | G |
| 10 | D. Sinani | F |
| 21 | L. Ritzka | D |
| 20 | M. Rasmussen | M |
| 14 | F. Stevens | D |
| 3 | K. Mets | D |
| 18 | T. Hara | F |
| 26 | R. Jones | F |
| 9 | A. Ceesay | F |