Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Post on X

VfB Stuttgart

Away

AI call VfB Stuttgart or draw

28%

25%

47%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart prediction: Sportiko gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 28% chance of winning, VfB Stuttgart 47% and the draw 25%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Eintracht Frankfurt and VfB Stuttgart shared the points in a dramatic 2–2 draw on the final day of the Bundesliga regular season, though Stuttgart's pre-match advantage proved telling for much of the contest. The visitors made a commanding start, with Chema Andrés opening the scoring in the tenth minute before Nikolas Nartey added a second just before half-time, leaving Frankfurt with a significant deficit to overturn. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Stuttgart win as the most likely outcome at 47%, and the visitors looked well on course to deliver exactly that.

Frankfurt responded strongly after the break, with a flurry of substitutions injecting new energy into their play. Jonathan Burkardt converted a penalty in the 72nd minute to halve the deficit, and the hosts continued to press with 57% possession and an expected goals figure of 2.56 suggesting they were creating genuine chances. Burkardt stepped up again in the 90th minute to slot home a second penalty and secure a share of the spoils.

A fiery encounter saw five yellow cards distributed across both sides, with Mittelstädt among those booked before being withdrawn. Despite the late equaliser, Stuttgart will feel they let two points slip after their dominant first-half display.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 10'

Chema Andrés assist: Chris Führich

Jean-Mattéo Bahoya ⇄ Ansgar Knauff

17' ⇄

▮ 27'

Chema Andrés Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 45'

Nikolas Nartey assist: Deniz Undav

HT 0–2

Arnaud Kalimuendo ⇄ Farès Chaïbi

46' ⇄

Farès Chaïbi Yellow Card

47' ▮

Aurèle Amenda Yellow Card

60' ▮

Can Uzun ⇄ Jonathan Burkardt

60' ⇄

Mario Götze ⇄ Mahmoud Dahoud

60' ⇄

▮ 63'

Maximilian Mittelstädt Yellow Card

▮ 66'

Ermedin Demirović Yellow Card

Jonathan Burkardt Penalty

72' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 73'

Chris Führich ⇄ Josha Vagnoman

⇄ 73'

Maximilian Mittelstädt ⇄ Luca Jaquez

Rasmus Kristensen ⇄ Timothy Chandler

80' ⇄

⇄ 86'

Ermedin Demirović ⇄ Tiago Tomás

⇄ 87'

Nikolas Nartey ⇄ Finn Jeltsch

Jonathan Burkardt Penalty

90' ⚽ 2–2

FT 2–2

Eintracht Frankfurt

Match Stats

VfB Stuttgart

57% Ball Possession 43%

2.56 Expected Goals (xG) 1.32

16 Total Shots 13

7 Shots on Goal 7

3 Shots off Goal 4

6 Blocked Shots 2

8 Shots insidebox 8

8 Shots outsidebox 5

6 Corner Kicks 6

2 Offsides 1

14 Fouls 12

2 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

476 Total passes 368

376 Passes accurate 281

79% Passes % 76%

1.36 goals_prevented 1.36

Eintracht Frankfurt

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Jonathan Burkardt F	8.0	30'	2	–	3	2 (2%)	–
15 Ellyes Skhiri M	7.3	90'	–	–	1	49 (42%)	1
42 Can Uzun M	7.2	60'	–	–	1	28 (24%)	–
23 Michael Zetterer G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	35 (17%)	–
22 Timothy Chandler M	7.0	10'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
8 Farès Chaïbi M	6.9	45'	–	–	2	26 (19%)	1
19 Jean-Mattéo Bahoya M	6.6	17'	–	–	1	6 (4%)	–
21 Nathaniel Brown D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	39 (32%)	2
18 Mahmoud Dahoud M	6.5	30'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	–
5 Aurèle Amenda D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	58 (47%)	1
20 Ritsu Doan M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	33 (23%)	2
4 Robin Koch D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	53 (49%)	2
7 Ansgar Knauff F	6.3	73'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	–
25 Arnaud Kalimuendo F	6.2	45'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
27 Mario Götze M	6.2	60'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	1
13 Rasmus Kristensen D	6.2	80'	–	–	–	53 (39%)	–

VfB Stuttgart

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
33 Alexander Nübel G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	35 (17%)	–
28 Nikolas Nartey F	7.6	87'	1	–	2	22 (15%)	–
30 Chema Andrés M	7.5	90'	1	–	3	27 (19%)	2
24 Jeff Chabot D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	47 (40%)	1
10 Chris Führich M	7.2	73'	–	1	1	39 (30%)	1
6 Angelo Stiller M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	58 (48%)	2
7 Maximilian Mittelstädt D	6.9	73'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	1
3 Ramon Hendriks D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	36 (34%)	2
26 Deniz Undav F	6.6	90'	–	1	1	27 (20%)	1
18 Jamie Leweling M	6.5	90'	–	–	2	23 (18%)	2
14 Luca Jaquez D	6.3	17'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
4 Josha Vagnoman D	6.3	17'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
29 Finn Jeltsch D	6.3	9'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
8 Tiago Tomás F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	–	–
9 Ermedin Demirović F	6.2	86'	–	–	1	9 (5%)	1

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean

VfB Stuttgart or draw

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Eintracht Frankfurt

DWLDW

VfB Stuttgart

LLWWL

Last 3 meetings Eintracht Frankfurt · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Eintracht Frankfurt hosts VfB Stuttgart in a crucial Bundesliga clash on May 16, 2026. Frankfurt has historically been strong at home, boasting a win rate of around 60% in their last 10 home fixtures. Stuttgart, however, comes into this match with a solid away record, having secured points in 70% of their last five away games. Both teams are fighting for European qualification spots, making this encounter pivotal. Key players to watch include Frankfurt's top scorer, who has netted 15 goals this season, and Stuttgart's robust midfield, which has been instrumental in their recent successes. Expect a competitive match with potential playoff implications.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

VfB Stuttgart goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	10	8	4	2	1
1	7	12	9	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Eintracht Frankfurt goals · most likely 1–1 (11.6%)

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Players in form

Eintracht Frankfurt

Y. Ebnoutalib 4 gls

J. Burkardt 3 gls

VfB Stuttgart

J. Vagnoman 2 gls

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Head to Head: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart

2 Eintracht Frankfurt Wins

0 Draws

1 VfB Stuttgart Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Jan 2026	VfB Stuttgart	3 - 2	Eintracht Frankfurt
29 Mar 2025	Eintracht Frankfurt	1 - 0	VfB Stuttgart
10 Nov 2024	VfB Stuttgart	2 - 3	Eintracht Frankfurt

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Eintracht Frankfurt — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H SC Freiburg	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A FSV Mainz 05	W	1 - 3
06 Sep	H FC Augsburg	L	1 - 4
29 Aug	A Union Berlin	D	3 - 3
21 Aug	A SC St. Tönis	W	0 - 11

VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Borussia Dortmund	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	L	2 - 1
09 Sep	H Viking	W	3 - 1
04 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	4 - 1
28 Aug	A Bayern München	L	5 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0