Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Prediction
FT
BayArena, Leverkusen
AI call
Difficult Bayer Leverkusen win or draw
51%
29%
21%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV prediction: Sportiko gives Bayer Leverkusen a 51% chance of winning, Hamburger SV 21% and the draw 29%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
▮
24'
Jordan Torunarigha
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⚽
0–1
61'
Fábio Vieira
assist: Nicolás Capaldo
Malik Tillman
⇄ Jonas Hofmann
62'
⇄
Robert Andrich
⇄ Eliesse Ben Seghir
62'
⇄
Montrell Culbreath
⇄ Arthur
62'
⇄
⇄
63'
Rayan Philippe
⇄ Miro Muheim
Arthur
Yellow Card
66'
▮
⇄
77'
Fábio Vieira
⇄ Fabio Baldé
⇄
77'
Otto Stange
⇄ Yussuf Poulsen
⇄
77'
Warmed Omari
⇄ Shafiq Nandja
▮
78'
Nicolás Capaldo
Yellow Card
Jarell Quansah
assist: Aleix García
78'
⚽
1–1
Aleix García
⇄ Lucas Vázquez
84'
⇄
⇄
89'
Jordan Torunarigha
⇄ William Mikelbrencis
FT 1–1
Bayer Leverkusen
Match Stats
Hamburger SV
60%
Ball Possession
40%
3.27
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
26
Total Shots
19
9
Shots on Goal
6
12
Shots off Goal
8
5
Blocked Shots
5
19
Shots insidebox
11
7
Shots outsidebox
8
8
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
5
Goalkeeper Saves
7
585
Total passes
404
527
Passes accurate
328
90%
Passes %
81%
1.44
goals_prevented
1.44
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Exequiel Palacios M | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 85 (78%) | – |
| 4 Jarell Quansah D | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 64 (62%) | 1 |
| 24 Aleix García M | 8.0 | 84' | – | 1 | 2 | 88 (83%) | 1 |
| 17 Eliesse Ben Seghir F | 7.5 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 10 Malik Tillman F | 7.2 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 29 (22%) | 1 |
| 12 Edmond Tapsoba D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (72%) | 1 |
| 42 Montrell Culbreath M | 7.2 | 62' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | 3 |
| 13 Arthur D | 7.2 | 28' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 20 Alejandro Grimaldo M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 62 (52%) | 3 |
| 1 M. Flekken G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (14%) | – |
| 8 Robert Andrich D | 6.9 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 55 (52%) | – |
| 7 Jonas Hofmann M | 6.9 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 10 (10%) | – |
| 30 Ibrahim Maza F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 32 (24%) | 1 |
| 21 Lucas Vázquez D | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 14 Patrik Schick F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 9 (6%) | 2 |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sander Tangvik G | 8.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (34%) | – |
| 20 Fábio Vieira F | 7.9 | 77' | 1 | – | 3 | 35 (26%) | 1 |
| 24 Nicolás Capaldo M | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 32 (24%) | 1 |
| 44 Luka Vušković D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (30%) | – |
| 17 Warmed Omari D | 7.2 | 77' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | 1 |
| 6 Albert Sambi Lokonga M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 51 (46%) | 2 |
| 21 Nicolai Remberg M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (49%) | – |
| 45 Fabio Baldé F | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 15 Yussuf Poulsen F | 6.6 | 13' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 2 William Mikelbrencis D | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 14 Rayan Philippe F | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 23 Albert Grønbæk M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (24%) | 2 |
| 28 Miro Muheim D | 6.2 | 27' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 49 Otto Stange F | 6.2 | 77' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 43 Shafiq Nandja D | 6.2 | 13' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 25 Jordan Torunarigha D | 5.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 43 (36%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Bayer Leverkusen win or draw
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Bayer Leverkusen
WWWDL
Hamburger SV
LDWWL
Last 3 meetings
Bayer Leverkusen · 3W 0D 0L
Match summary
Bayer Leverkusen enters this Bundesliga matchup against Hamburger SV in strong form, currently positioned in the upper tier of the league table. They boast a potent attack, averaging 2.3 goals per game, supported by standout performers like Florian Wirtz and Victor Boniface. In contrast, Hamburger SV has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, which could be exploited by Leverkusen's offensive prowess. Historical data favors Leverkusen, having won 7 of the last 10 encounters against HSV. This match could be pivotal for Leverkusen's Champions League aspirations, while HSV fights to solidify their mid-table standing. Expect an aggressive performance from the home side.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV
3
Bayer Leverkusen Wins
0
Draws
0
Hamburger SV Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar 2026 | Hamburger SV | 0 - 1 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 17 Feb 2018 | Hamburger SV | 1 - 2 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 24 Sep 2017 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 - 0 | Hamburger SV |
Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | H Rot-Weiß Essen | W | 3 - 0 |
| 29 Jul | H Genk | W | 4 - 0 |
| 25 Jul | A Kickers Offenbach | W | 1 - 3 |
| 16 May | H Hamburger SV | D | 1 - 1 |
| 09 May | A VfB Stuttgart | L | 3 - 1 |
Hamburger SV — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | H Everton | L | 1 - 2 |
| 16 May | A Bayer Leverkusen | D | 1 - 1 |
| 10 May | H SC Freiburg | W | 3 - 2 |
| 02 May | A Eintracht Frankfurt | W | 1 - 2 |
| 25 Apr | H 1899 Hoffenheim | L | 1 - 2 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
FC Augsburg
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Union Berlin
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Hamburger SV
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |
1. FC Köln
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Werder Bremen
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |
FC Schalke 04
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |
SV Elversberg
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Bayer Leverkusen
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Kasper Hjulmand
1
Flekken
12
Tapsoba
8
Andrich
4
Quansah
20
Grimaldo
25
Palacios
24
Garcia
42
Culbreath
30
Maza
10
Tillman
14
Schick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Flekken | G |
| 4 | J. Quansah | D |
| 8 | R. Andrich | D |
| 12 | E. Tapsoba | D |
| 42 | M. Culbreath | M |
| 24 | A. Garcia | M |
| 25 | E. Palacios | M |
| 20 | A. Grimaldo | M |
| 10 | M. Tillman | F |
| 30 | I. Maza | F |
| 14 | P. Schick | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | J. Blaswich | G |
| 21 | Lucas | D |
| 6 | E. Fernandez | M |
| 5 | L. Bade | D |
| 15 | T. Oermann | D |
| 7 | J. Hofmann | M |
| 19 | E. Poku | F |
| 17 | E. Ben Seghir | F |
| 13 | Arthur | D |
Hamburger SV
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Merlin Polzin
12
Tangvik
25
Torunarigha
44
Vuskovic
17
Omari
23
Gronbaek
6
Lokonga
21
Remberg
24
Capaldo
14
Philippe
20
Vieira
49
Stange
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | S. Tangvik | G |
| 17 | W. Omari | D |
| 44 | L. Vuskovic | D |
| 25 | J. Torunarigha | D |
| 24 | N. Capaldo | M |
| 21 | N. Remberg | M |
| 6 | A. S. Lokonga | M |
| 23 | A. Gronbaek | M |
| 20 | F. Vieira | F |
| 14 | R. Philippe | F |
| 49 | O. Stange | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | D. Heuer Fernandes | G |
| 18 | B. Jatta | M |
| 2 | W. Mikelbrencis | D |
| 45 | F. Balde | F |
| 15 | Y. Poulsen | F |
| 28 | M. Muheim | D |
| 16 | G. Gocholeishvili | D |
| 8 | D. Elfadli | M |
| 43 | S. Nandja | D |