FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Post on X

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Away

WWK Arena, Augsburg

AI call FC Augsburg or draw

49%

26%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction: Sportiko gives FC Augsburg a 49% chance of winning, Borussia Mönchengladbach 25% and the draw 26%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

FC Augsburg secured a comfortable 3–1 home victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga Matchday 33, with the result largely settled before the interval. Michael Gregoritsch opened the scoring in the 24th minute, though he saw a second effort ruled out by VAR five minutes later. Robin Fellhauer then doubled the advantage in the 42nd minute, sending Augsburg into half-time with a commanding 2–0 lead despite Mönchengladbach generating the better expected goals figure on the day.

The second half brought a flurry of bookings and substitutions, with four yellow cards shown and both sides making multiple changes. Gregoritsch added his second of the match on 72 minutes to effectively seal the points, before being withdrawn shortly after. A late Giovanni Reyna goal for the visitors in the 90th minute proved little more than a consolation.

Augsburg dominated possession at 63% and were clinical despite managing only four shots on target from 16 attempts. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Augsburg win as the most likely outcome at 49%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Dimitrios Giannoulis ⇄ Robin Fellhauer

14' ⇄

Michael Gregoritsch

24' ⚽ 1–0

Michael Gregoritsch Goal cancelled

29' 🖵

Robin Fellhauer assist: Mert Kömür

42' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 45+3'

Joe Scally Yellow Card

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

Franck Honorat ⇄ Lukas Ullrich

Marius Wolf Yellow Card

56' ▮

⇄ 58'

Kevin Stöger ⇄ Giovanni Reyna

⇄ 58'

Fabio Chiarodia ⇄ Hugo Bolin

⇄ 58'

Wael Mohya ⇄ Robin Hack

Kristijan Jakić Yellow Card

61' ▮

▮ 61'

Philipp Sander Yellow Card

Marius Wolf ⇄ Yannik Keitel

62' ⇄

Kristijan Jakić ⇄ Han-Noah Massengo

62' ⇄

Michael Gregoritsch

72' ⚽ 3–0

Michael Gregoritsch ⇄ Rodrigo Ribeiro

79' ⇄

Mert Kömür ⇄ Alexis Claude-Maurice

79' ⇄

⇄ 87'

S. Machino

⚽ 3–1 90'

Giovanni Reyna assist: Rocco Reitz

FT 3–1

FC Augsburg

Match Stats

Borussia Mönchengladbach

37% Ball Possession 63%

2.59 Expected Goals (xG) 1.14

15 Total Shots 16

10 Shots on Goal 4

4 Shots off Goal 7

1 Blocked Shots 5

11 Shots insidebox 8

4 Shots outsidebox 8

3 Corner Kicks 2

3 Offsides 3

11 Fouls 9

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 7

317 Total passes 546

223 Passes accurate 460

70% Passes % 84%

1.22 goals_prevented 1.22

FC Augsburg

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
32 Fabian Rieder M	7.9	90'	–	–	–	36 (30%)	2
38 Michael Gregoritsch F	7.9	79'	2	–	4	15 (9%)	–
30 Anton Kade F	7.6	90'	–	–	1	19 (12%)	4
19 Robin Fellhauer D	7.2	76'	1	–	4	23 (17%)	–
36 Mert Kömür F	7.0	79'	–	1	4	16 (12%)	1
1 Finn Dahmen G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	39 (24%)	–
27 Marius Wolf M	6.9	62'	–	–	–	20 (12%)	4
5 Chrislain Matsima D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	35 (23%)	–
16 Cedric Zesiger D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	35 (26%)	1
13 Dimitrios Giannoulis M	6.6	14'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
20 Alexis Claude-Maurice M	6.6	11'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
6 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	28 (20%)	3
14 Yannik Keitel M	6.5	28'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	1
17 Kristijan Jakić M	6.3	62'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	1
4 Han-Noah Massengo M	6.3	28'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
21 Rodrigo Ribeiro F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	1

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Giovanni Reyna M	8.2	32'	1	–	1	26 (26%)	–
33 Moritz Nicolas G	7.7	90'	–	–	–	31 (24%)	–
27 Rocco Reitz M	7.3	90'	–	1	1	56 (46%)	5
4 Kevin Diks D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	69 (63%)	1
36 Wael Mohya F	6.5	58'	–	–	–	17 (17%)	1
25 Robin Hack M	6.5	32'	–	–	1	12 (11%)	–
8 Alejo Sarco F	6.5	8'	–	–	1	–	–
16 Philipp Sander D	6.3	90'	–	–	2	73 (65%)	1
9 Franck Honorat F	6.3	45'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1
7 Kevin Stöger M	6.3	58'	–	–	2	52 (43%)	1
38 Hugo Bolin M	6.3	32'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	–
26 Lukas Ullrich D	6.3	45'	–	–	–	13 (9%)	2
18 S. Machino F	6.2	87'	–	–	1	16 (12%)	–
6 Yannik Engelhardt M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	70 (59%)	2
2 Fabio Chiarodia D	6.2	58'	–	–	–	44 (37%)	–
29 Joe Scally D	5.0	90'	–	–	–	44 (29%)	–

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Augsburg or draw

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FC Augsburg

WDLWW

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WWWLW

Last 3 meetings FC Augsburg · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash on May 9, 2026, FC Augsburg will host Borussia Mönchengladbach. Augsburg has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, which could be exploited by Gladbach's potent attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Moreover, Augsburg’s home form has been inconsistent, with only 4 wins in their last 10 home matches. On the other hand, Gladbach has shown resilience on the road, recording a solid away win rate of 50%. This match is crucial for Augsburg in their quest for survival, while Gladbach aims to solidify their position in European competition spots. Expect a tactical battle with both teams needing points for their respective goals.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Borussia Mönchengladbach goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	8	4	1
1	13	12	6	2
2	9	9	5	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ FC Augsburg goals · most likely 1–0 (12.6%)

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Head to Head: FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

2 FC Augsburg Wins

0 Draws

1 Borussia Mönchengladbach Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Jan 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4 - 0	FC Augsburg
22 Feb 2025	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0 - 3	FC Augsburg
04 Oct 2024	FC Augsburg	2 - 1	Borussia Mönchengladbach

See all 10 meetings — Premium

FC Augsburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	A Schwaz	W	0 - 15
25 Jul	H FC Saarbrücken	D	1 - 1
16 May	A Union Berlin	L	4 - 0
09 May	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 1
02 May	A Werder Bremen	W	1 - 3

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Hansa Rostock	W	1 - 3
25 Jul	A Rot-Weiß Essen	W	1 - 2
16 May	H 1899 Hoffenheim	W	4 - 0
09 May	A FC Augsburg	L	3 - 1
03 May	H Borussia Dortmund	W	1 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	1899 Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FSV Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	1. FC Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	FC Schalke 04	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	SV Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	SC Paderborn 07	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0