Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln Prediction
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln prediction: Sportiko gives Union Berlin a 54% chance of winning, 1. FC Köln 18% and the draw 28%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln played out a dramatic 2–2 draw in Bundesliga Matchday 32, with all the action coming after the break. Köln held a 1–0 lead at half-time, but Union levelled through Marius Bülter just before the half-hour mark — the goal arriving at 33 minutes — before Said El Mala put the hosts ahead on 61 minutes following a wave of second-half substitutions from both sides.
The match continued to twist. Tom Rothe extended Union's advantage to 2–1 on 73 minutes, and with the clock winding down it appeared the hosts would secure all three points — an outcome our pre-match AI model had rated most likely at 54%. However, substitute Livan Burcu equalised deep into stoppage time on 89 minutes to rescue a point for Köln, before picking up a yellow card moments later in the 90+5th minute.
Union dominated possession at 59% and registered 13 total shots, though Köln's expected goals figure of 1.75 edged the hosts' 1.15, reflecting the visitors' clinical edge despite seeing less of the ball.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Union Berlin
Match Stats
Union Berlin
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Tom Rothe M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 47 (31%) | 2 |
| 28 Christopher Trimmel D | 7.7 | 32' | – | 1 | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 9 Livan Burcu F | 7.7 | 32' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (16%) | 1 |
| 25 Carl Klaus G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (19%) | – |
| 4 Diogo Leite D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (56%) | 3 |
| 13 András Schäfer M | 6.9 | 58' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | – |
| 7 Oliver Burke F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 16 (10%) | 1 |
| 18 Josip Juranović M | 6.7 | 58' | – | – | – | 29 (21%) | – |
| 33 Alex Král M | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 5 Danilho Doekhi D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (49%) | 2 |
| 21 Tim Skarke M | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 34 Stanley N'Soki D | 6.6 | 67' | – | – | – | 48 (42%) | 2 |
| 6 Aljoscha Kemlein M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 51 (38%) | 1 |
| 8 Rani Khedira M | 6.3 | 88' | – | – | – | 31 (24%) | 1 |
| 23 Andrej Ilić F | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | 2 | 6 (2%) | 1 |
| 10 Ilyas Ansah F | 5.9 | 58' | – | – | – | 3 | – |
1. FC Köln
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Said El Mala F | 8.0 | 71' | 1 | – | 2 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 30 Marius Bülter M | 7.3 | 71' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (11%) | – |
| 22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (38%) | 1 |
| 29 Jan Thielmann M | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| 39 Cenk Özkaçar D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (42%) | 2 |
| 27 Felipe Chávez M | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | 2 |
| 32 Kristoffer Lund D | 6.6 | 80' | – | 1 | – | 29 (21%) | – |
| 5 Tom Krauß M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (32%) | 4 |
| 7 Luca Waldschmidt M | 6.6 | 62' | – | 1 | – | 18 (15%) | – |
| 38 Youssoupha Niang F | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 28 Sebastian Sebulonsen D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (13%) | 2 |
| 16 Jakub Kamiński M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 37 Linton Maina M | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 6 Eric Martel M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (28%) | – |
| 2 Joel Schmied D | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 1 Marvin Schwäbe G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (25%) | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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T. Skarke
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 1. FC Köln | 0 - 1 | Union Berlin |
| 11 May 2024 | 1. FC Köln | 3 - 2 | Union Berlin |
| 20 Dec 2023 | Union Berlin | 2 - 0 | 1. FC Köln |
Union Berlin — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Bayern München | L | 7 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | H FC Schalke 04 | L | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Bayer Leverkusen | L | 4 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | H Eintracht Frankfurt | D | 3 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Eintracht Braunschweig | W | 2 - 4 |
1. FC Köln — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Hamburger SV | L | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Werder Bremen | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A VfB Stuttgart | L | 4 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H 1899 Hoffenheim | W | 3 - 2 |
| 24 Aug | A Würzburger Kickers | W | 1 - 2 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
Lineups Not Yet Available
Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.