SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction: Sportiko gives SC Freiburg a 71% chance of winning, VfL Wolfsburg 9% and the draw 20%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg played out a 1–1 draw in Bundesliga Matchday 32, with all the action coming in a frantic second half after a goalless first period. Wolfsburg broke the deadlock on 55 minutes through Konstantinos Koulierakis, and despite Freiburg holding 63% of possession throughout, it was the visitors who had looked sharper in front of goal with seven corner kicks to the hosts' one.
Freiburg responded quickly, however, with Philipp Lienhart levelling on 75 minutes to restore parity. The equaliser came amid a flurry of substitutions from both sides, as managers looked to influence the outcome in the final quarter. Matthias Ginter had picked up a yellow card shortly after Wolfsburg's opener, adding to Freiburg's difficulties in that spell.
The match ultimately ended all square, with both teams' expected goals figures — 0.94 for Freiburg and 0.82 for Wolfsburg — reflecting a closely contested affair. The pre-match AI model had rated a Freiburg win as most likely at 71%, a call the final scoreline did not bear out.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
SC Freiburg
Match Stats
SC Freiburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Philipp Lienhart D | 8.2 | 32' | 1 | – | 2 | 37 (35%) | 1 |
| 1 Noah Atubolu G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (30%) | – |
| 44 Johan Manzambi M | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 42 (34%) | 2 |
| 28 Matthias Ginter D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (72%) | – |
| 19 Jan-Niklas Beste M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (24%) | 3 |
| 32 Vincenzo Grifo M | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 42 (36%) | – |
| 43 Bruno Ogbus D | 6.7 | 58' | – | – | – | 41 (38%) | – |
| 31 Igor Matanović F | 6.6 | 32' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 14 Yuito Suzuki M | 6.6 | 81' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 17 Lukas Kübler D | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 8 Maximilian Eggestein M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (42%) | 2 |
| 29 Philipp Treu D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (54%) | – |
| 9 Lucas Höler F | 6.5 | 58' | – | – | – | 15 (9%) | – |
| 30 Christian Günter D | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 27 Nicolas Hofler M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 7 Derry Scherhant F | 6.2 | 19' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
VfL Wolfsburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Konstantinos Koulierakis D | 7.7 | 89' | 1 | – | 1 | 32 (24%) | 1 |
| 24 Christian Eriksen M | 7.2 | 89' | – | 1 | 1 | 30 (23%) | 2 |
| 39 Patrick Wimmer M | 7.0 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 16 (9%) | 6 |
| 6 Jeanuël Belocian D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | 3 |
| 21 Joakim Mæhle M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 5 |
| 5 Vinícius Souza M | 6.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | 4 |
| 10 Lovro Majer M | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 1 Kamil Grabara G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (17%) | – |
| 11 Adam Daghim F | 6.6 | 87' | – | – | 3 | 15 (9%) | 1 |
| 26 Saël Kumbedi M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 9 Mohamed Amoura F | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 32 Mattias Svanberg M | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 3 Denis Vavro D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 17 Dženan Pejčinović F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 30 (18%) | 1 |
| 15 Moritz Jenz D | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 31 Yannick Gerhardt M | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 - 4 | SC Freiburg |
| 26 Apr 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg | 0 - 1 | SC Freiburg |
| 13 Dec 2024 | SC Freiburg | 3 - 2 | VfL Wolfsburg |
SC Freiburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | H RB Leipzig | W | 4 - 1 |
| 10 May | A Hamburger SV | L | 3 - 2 |
| 03 May | H VfL Wolfsburg | D | 1 - 1 |
| 26 Apr | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 4 - 0 |
| 19 Apr | H 1. FC Heidenheim | W | 2 - 1 |
VfL Wolfsburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul | H Telstar | W | 3 - 1 |
| 16 May | A FC St. Pauli | W | 1 - 3 |
| 09 May | H Bayern München | L | 0 - 1 |
| 03 May | A SC Freiburg | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Apr | H Borussia Mönchengladbach | D | 0 - 0 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
FC Augsburg
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Union Berlin
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Hamburger SV
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |
1. FC Köln
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Werder Bremen
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |
FC Schalke 04
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |
SV Elversberg
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SC Freiburg
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Julian Schuster
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Atubolu | G |
| 29 | P. Treu | D |
| 28 | M. Ginter | D |
| 43 | B. Ogbus | D |
| 30 | C. Gunter | D |
| 8 | M. Eggestein | M |
| 44 | J. Manzambi | M |
| 19 | J. Beste | M |
| 14 | Y. Suzuki | M |
| 32 | V. Grifo | M |
| 9 | L. Holer | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | F. Muller | G |
| 27 | N. Hofler | M |
| 17 | L. Kubler | D |
| 26 | M. Philipp | F |
| 31 | I. Matanovic | F |
| 33 | J. Makengo | D |
| 3 | P. Lienhart | D |
| 7 | D. Scherhant | F |
| 22 | C. Irie | F |
VfL Wolfsburg
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Dieter Hecking
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Grabara | G |
| 6 | J. Belocian | D |
| 3 | D. Vavro | D |
| 4 | K. Koulierakis | D |
| 26 | S. Kumbedi | M |
| 39 | P. Wimmer | M |
| 5 | Vini Souza | M |
| 24 | C. Eriksen | M |
| 21 | J. Maehle | M |
| 11 | A. Daghim | F |
| 17 | D. Pejcinovic | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | P. Pervan | G |
| 31 | Y. Gerhardt | M |
| 32 | M. Svanberg | M |
| 15 | M. Jenz | D |
| 10 | L. Majer | M |
| 40 | K. Paredes | M |
| 9 | M. Amoura | F |
| 25 | A. Zehnter | D |
| 7 | K. Shiogai | F |