Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction
Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction: Sportiko gives Bayern München a 89% chance of winning, 1. FC Heidenheim 3% and the draw 9%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Bayern München were held to a dramatic 3–3 draw by 1. FC Heidenheim in Bundesliga Matchday 32, a result that will frustrate the hosts despite their dominant possession of 75%. Heidenheim struck first through Budu Zivzivadze on 22 minutes, with Eren Dinkçi doubling the visitors' advantage nine minutes later. Leon Goretzka pulled one back for Bayern deep into first-half stoppage time, though Heidenheim still led at the break.
Goretzka struck again on 57 minutes to level the tie, and Bayern's four half-time substitutions appeared to have shifted the momentum in their favour. However, Zivzivadze restored Heidenheim's lead on 76 minutes — his second of the afternoon — before being withdrawn moments later. Michael Olise equalised for Bayern in the 90th minute to secure a share of the spoils.
Despite generating 23 total shots and 13 corners, Bayern's expected goals figure of 2.31 actually trailed Heidenheim's 2.59, hinting at the visitors' clinical efficiency. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bayern win at 89% — an assessment the final scoreline firmly contradicted.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Bayern München
Match Stats
Bayern München
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Michael Olise M | 9.6 | 45' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 39 (33%) | – |
| 8 Leon Goretzka M | 9.0 | 90' | 2 | – | 4 | 56 (48%) | 1 |
| 19 Alphonso Davies D | 6.9 | 13' | – | 1 | – | 16 (15%) | – |
| 40 Jonas Urbig G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | – |
| 27 Konrad Laimer M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (45%) | – |
| 9 Harry Kane F | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 14 Luis Díaz F | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 24 (20%) | – |
| 3 Kim Min-jae D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 94 (86%) | 2 |
| 6 Joshua Kimmich M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 50 (45%) | – |
| 4 Jonathan Tah D | 6.6 | 77' | – | – | – | 86 (83%) | 1 |
| 10 Jamal Musiala F | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | – |
| 45 Aleksandar Pavlović M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 40 (36%) | – |
| 39 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 11 Nicolas Jackson F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 33 (28%) | 1 |
| 21 Hiroki Itō D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 75 (69%) | 1 |
| 44 Josip Stanišić D | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | – |
1. FC Heidenheim
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Budu Zivzivadze F | 8.3 | 81' | 2 | – | 2 | 15 (11%) | 2 |
| 2 Marnon Busch D | 7.6 | 90' | – | 2 | – | 15 (14%) | – |
| 8 Eren Dinkçi M | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 25 (16%) | 1 |
| 22 Arijon Ibrahimović F | 7.2 | 81' | – | 1 | – | 20 (13%) | 1 |
| 30 Niklas Dorsch M | 7.0 | 89' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 4 |
| 26 Hennes Behrens M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 29 Mikkel Kaufmann F | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 3 Jan Schöppner M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (9%) | 2 |
| 4 Tim Siersleben D | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 6 Patrick Mainka D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 16 (15%) | 1 |
| 19 Jonas Föhrenbach D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 3 |
| 18 Marvin Pieringer F | 6.3 | 77' | – | – | – | 19 (11%) | 2 |
| 9 Stefan Schimmer F | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 20 Luca Kerber M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | – | 2 |
| 41 Diant Ramaj G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (19%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
M. Olise
4 gls
H. Kane
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 0 - 4 | Bayern München |
| 19 Apr 2025 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 0 - 4 | Bayern München |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Bayern München | 4 - 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim |
Bayern München — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Union Berlin | W | 7 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A SV Elversberg | W | 1 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | H Bodo/Glimt | W | 5 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A FC Schalke 04 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | A VfL Osnabrück | W | 1 - 4 |
1. FC Heidenheim — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Arminia Bielefeld | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Holstein Kiel | W | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A SpVgg Greuther Fürth | W | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Dynamo Dresden | W | 5 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A SSV Jeddeloh | L | 5 - 2 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
Bayern München
Formation: 4-3-1-2
Coach: V. Kompany
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | J. Urbig | G |
| 44 | J. Stanisic | D |
| 3 | Kim Min-Jae | D |
| 4 | J. Tah | D |
| 21 | H. Ito | D |
| 45 | A. Pavlovic | M |
| 39 | B. Ndiaye | M |
| 27 | K. Laimer | M |
| 8 | L. Goretzka | M |
| 11 | N. Jackson | F |
| 10 | J. Musiala | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | M. Neuer | G |
| 14 | L. Diaz | F |
| 19 | A. Davies | D |
| 17 | M. Olise | M |
| 20 | T. Bischof | M |
| 9 | H. Kane | F |
| 6 | J. Kimmich | M |
| 2 | D. Upamecano | D |
| 43 | F. Pavic | D |
1. FC Heidenheim
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: F. Schmidt
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | D. Ramaj | G |
| 2 | M. Busch | D |
| 6 | P. Mainka | D |
| 19 | J. Fohrenbach | D |
| 8 | E. Dinkci | M |
| 3 | J. Schoppner | M |
| 30 | N. Dorsch | M |
| 26 | H. Behrens | M |
| 18 | M. Pieringer | F |
| 11 | B. Zivzivadze | F |
| 22 | A. Ibrahimovic | F |
Substitutes
| 40 | F. Feller | G |
| 9 | S. Schimmer | F |
| 29 | M. Kaufmann | F |
| 4 | T. Siersleben | D |
| 25 | L. Stergiou | D |
| 21 | A. Beck | M |
| 23 | O. H. Traore | D |
| 16 | J. Niehues | M |
| 20 | L. Kerber | M |