1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli Prediction
1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli prediction: Sportiko gives 1. FC Heidenheim a 25% chance of winning, FC St. Pauli 44% and the draw 30%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Heidenheim secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over FC St. Pauli in Bundesliga Matchday 31, with the outcome effectively shaped inside the opening minutes. Budu Zivzivadze struck as early as the third minute to give the hosts a lead they would carry into half-time, setting the tone for a disciplined defensive display from Frank Schmidt's side.
Despite St. Pauli enjoying the majority of possession at 55%, they struggled to convert that control into genuine danger, managing just two shots on target across the ninety minutes. Heidenheim, by contrast, were more clinical, registering five shots on goal and an expected goals figure of 1.61 — comfortably outperforming their opponents in the metrics that mattered. Eren Dinkçi wrapped up the points with a second goal on 82 minutes, putting the result beyond doubt.
The win was a straightforward one for Heidenheim, who showed their opponents little room to build momentum. Our pre-match AI model had rated a St. Pauli win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that proved well wide of the mark on the night.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
1. FC Heidenheim
Match Stats
1. FC Heidenheim
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Diant Ramaj G | 8.2 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 65 (46%) | – |
| 8 Eren Dinkçi M | 8.0 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 20 (13%) | 3 |
| 6 Patrick Mainka D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (36%) | 1 |
| 21 Adrian Beck M | 7.3 | 56' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | 1 |
| 19 Jonas Föhrenbach D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (38%) | 2 |
| 26 Hennes Behrens D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (23%) | 2 |
| 3 Jan Schöppner M | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 36 (24%) | – |
| 30 Niklas Dorsch M | 6.9 | 85' | – | – | – | 34 (27%) | 1 |
| 18 Marvin Pieringer M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 3 | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 20 Luca Kerber M | 6.9 | 34' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | 2 |
| 11 Budu Zivzivadze F | 6.5 | 89' | 1 | – | 1 | 16 (9%) | – |
| 2 Marnon Busch D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (21%) | 1 |
| 16 Julian Niehues M | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 22 Arijon Ibrahimović M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 9 Stefan Schimmer F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 10 Christian Joe Conteh F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nikola Vasilj G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (30%) | – |
| 8 Eric Smith M | 7.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | 1 |
| 5 Hauke Wahl D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (52%) | 3 |
| 20 Mathias Rasmussen M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | 2 |
| 16 Joel Chima Fujita F | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | 2 |
| 21 Lars Ritzka D | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 15 Tomoya Ando D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (41%) | 4 |
| 7 Jackson Irvine M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (44%) | 2 |
| 11 Arkadiusz Pyrka M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (17%) | 1 |
| 2 Manolis Saliakas M | 6.6 | 63' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 1 |
| 9 Abdoulie Ceesay F | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 6 (2%) | 1 |
| 10 Danel Sinani F | 6.2 | 88' | – | – | 2 | 44 (31%) | 1 |
| 27 Andreas Hountondji F | 6.2 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 7 (3%) | – |
| 3 Karol Mets D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (46%) | – |
| 19 Martijn Kaars F | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 24 Connor Metcalfe M | — | 2' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 2 - 1 | 1. FC Heidenheim |
| 18 Jan 2025 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 0 - 2 | FC St. Pauli |
| 25 Aug 2024 | FC St. Pauli | 0 - 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim |
1. FC Heidenheim — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep | A VfB Stuttgart | L | 3 - 0 |
| 20 Sep | A Arminia Bielefeld | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Holstein Kiel | W | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A SpVgg Greuther Fürth | W | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Dynamo Dresden | W | 5 - 3 |
FC St. Pauli — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Energie Cottbus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H VfL Wolfsburg | W | 1 - 0 |
| 04 Sep | A Arminia Bielefeld | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L | 1 - 2 |
| 23 Aug | A Rot-Weiß Essen | L | 2 - 0 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
1. FC Heidenheim
Formation: 4-3-2-1
Coach: F. Schmidt
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | D. Ramaj | G |
| 2 | M. Busch | D |
| 6 | P. Mainka | D |
| 19 | J. Fohrenbach | D |
| 26 | H. Behrens | D |
| 3 | J. Schoppner | M |
| 30 | N. Dorsch | M |
| 21 | A. Beck | M |
| 18 | M. Pieringer | M |
| 8 | E. Dinkci | M |
| 11 | B. Zivzivadze | F |
Substitutes
| 40 | F. Feller | G |
| 9 | S. Schimmer | F |
| 4 | T. Siersleben | D |
| 25 | L. Stergiou | D |
| 10 | C. Conteh | F |
| 23 | O. H. Traore | D |
| 16 | J. Niehues | M |
| 20 | L. Kerber | M |
| 22 | A. Ibrahimovic | M |
FC St. Pauli
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Alexander Blessin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | N. Vasilj | G |
| 15 | T. Ando | D |
| 5 | H. Wahl | D |
| 3 | K. Mets | D |
| 2 | M. Saliakas | M |
| 20 | M. Rasmussen | M |
| 7 | J. Irvine | M |
| 11 | A. Pyrka | M |
| 10 | D. Sinani | F |
| 16 | J. Fujita | F |
| 27 | A. Hountondji | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | B. A. Voll | G |
| 25 | A. Dzwigala | D |
| 21 | L. Ritzka | D |
| 8 | E. Smith | M |
| 19 | M. Kaars | F |
| 18 | T. Hara | F |
| 24 | C. Metcalfe | M |
| 23 | L. Oppie | D |
| 9 | A. Ceesay | F |