Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV Prediction
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV prediction: Sportiko gives Werder Bremen a 44% chance of winning, Hamburger SV 28% and the draw 28%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Werder Bremen claimed a convincing 3–1 victory over Hamburger SV in Bundesliga Matchday 30, though the first half was tightly contested. Hamburg drew level through Robert Glatzel in the 41st minute after Bremen had taken the lead four minutes earlier, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1 amid a feisty atmosphere that produced yellow cards for Olivier Deman and Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer before the whistle.
Bremen reasserted control early in the second half, restoring their advantage just 57 minutes in. The match then grew increasingly fractious, with bookings accumulating on both sides. A VAR review in the 78th minute resulted in Philip Otele being shown a red card, leaving Hamburg with ten men and effectively settling the contest. Cameron Puertas added a third in the 90th minute to confirm the scoreline, a result that reflected Bremen's dominance — they finished with 57% possession, ten shots on target and an expected goals figure of 1.74 compared to Hamburg's 0.57.
The outcome vindicated the pre-match AI model, which had identified a Werder Bremen win as the most likely result at 44%.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Werder Bremen
Match Stats
Werder Bremen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jens Stage M | 8.5 | 67' | 2 | – | 3 | 20 (14%) | – |
| 18 Cameron Puertas M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 5 | 49 (39%) | 2 |
| 3 Yukinari Sugawara D | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 34 (25%) | 2 |
| 20 Romano Schmid M | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 4 | 48 (40%) | 3 |
| 31 Karim Coulibaly D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (54%) | 2 |
| 17 Marco Grüll F | 7.0 | 30' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 2 Olivier Deman D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (37%) | 5 |
| 14 Senne Lynen M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (40%) | 4 |
| 11 Justin Njinmah M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 3 | 18 (15%) | 2 |
| 30 Mio Backhaus G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (27%) | – |
| 10 Leonardo Bittencourt M | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 4 Niklas Stark D | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 5 Amos Pieper D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (44%) | – |
| 19 Jovan Milošević F | 6.0 | 60' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | – |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (31%) | – |
| 9 Robert Glatzel F | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 26 (18%) | 1 |
| 20 Fábio Vieira F | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 1 |
| 19 Damion Downs F | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 28 Miro Muheim M | 6.6 | 75' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | 2 |
| 23 Albert Grønbæk M | 6.6 | 66' | – | – | – | 9 (5%) | 3 |
| 49 Otto Stange F | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 21 Nicolai Remberg M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (41%) | – |
| 17 Warmed Omari D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (35%) | 4 |
| 11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 18 Bakery Jatta M | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 2 William Mikelbrencis M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (11%) | 3 |
| 24 Nicolás Capaldo D | 6.2 | 83' | – | 1 | 1 | 31 (18%) | 4 |
| 25 Jordan Torunarigha D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (32%) | – |
| 27 Philip Otele F | 4.9 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
N. Füllkrug
3 gls
M. Grüll
2 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec 2025 | Hamburger SV | 3 - 2 | Werder Bremen |
| 24 Feb 2018 | Werder Bremen | 1 - 0 | Hamburger SV |
| 30 Sep 2017 | Hamburger SV | 0 - 0 | Werder Bremen |
Werder Bremen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H FC Augsburg | W | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A 1. FC Köln | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H RB Leipzig | W | 3 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A SC Freiburg | L | 4 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | A Lüneburger SK Hansa | W | 0 - 3 |
Hamburger SV — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H 1. FC Köln | W | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A RB Leipzig | L | 5 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H FSV Mainz 05 | L | 0 - 5 |
| 29 Aug | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | A Verl | W | 0 - 3 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
Werder Bremen
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Daniel Thioune
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | M. Backhaus | G |
| 3 | Y. Sugawara | D |
| 5 | A. Pieper | D |
| 31 | K. Coulibaly | D |
| 2 | O. Deman | D |
| 14 | S. Lynen | M |
| 11 | J. Njinmah | M |
| 6 | J. Stage | M |
| 18 | C. Puertas | M |
| 20 | R. Schmid | M |
| 19 | J. Milosevic | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | M. Kolke | G |
| 10 | L. Bittencourt | M |
| 4 | N. Stark | D |
| 39 | M. Wober | D |
| 24 | P. Covic | M |
| 17 | M. Grull | F |
| 23 | I. Schmidt | D |
| 7 | S. Mbangula | F |
| 29 | S. Musah | F |
Hamburger SV
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: M. Polzin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Heuer Fernandes | G |
| 24 | N. Capaldo | D |
| 25 | J. Torunarigha | D |
| 17 | W. Omari | D |
| 2 | W. Mikelbrencis | M |
| 21 | N. Remberg | M |
| 23 | A. Gronbaek | M |
| 28 | M. Muheim | M |
| 20 | F. Vieira | F |
| 9 | R. Glatzel | F |
| 11 | R. Konigsdorffer | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | S. Tangvik | G |
| 18 | B. Jatta | M |
| 14 | R. Philippe | F |
| 19 | D. Downs | F |
| 49 | O. Stange | F |
| 16 | G. Gocholeishvili | D |
| 8 | D. Elfadli | M |
| 27 | P. Otele | F |
| 43 | S. Nandja | D |