1. FC Heidenheim vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Post on X

Union Berlin

Away

Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz

AI call 1. FC Heidenheim or draw

36%

30%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

1. FC Heidenheim vs Union Berlin prediction: Sportiko gives 1. FC Heidenheim a 36% chance of winning, Union Berlin 34% and the draw 30%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Heidenheim claimed an impressive home victory over Union Berlin in Bundesliga Matchday 29, with Mathias Honsak the standout performer in a dominant first-half display. The forward broke the deadlock in the ninth minute before doubling the advantage in the 36th, giving the hosts a commanding 2–0 lead at the interval despite Union enjoying the greater share of possession throughout.

Union Berlin struggled to convert their territorial advantage into clear chances, and Heidenheim's clinical edge told on the scoreboard. Leopold Querfeld pulled one back for the visitors in the 75th minute, offering brief hope of a comeback, but Budu Zivzivadze restored the two-goal cushion just four minutes later. A late VAR cancellation of Zivzivadze's second goal in stoppage time proved inconsequential to the final outcome.

The result reflected Heidenheim's efficiency in front of goal, with their expected goals figure of 1.85 comfortably outstripping Union's 0.99 despite the Berlin side registering more total shots. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Heidenheim win as the most likely outcome at 36%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Mathias Honsak assist: Marvin Pieringer

9' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 31'

Oliver Burke Yellow Card

Mathias Honsak assist: Patrick Mainka

36' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 62'

Oliver Burke ⇄ Tim Skarke

⇄ 62'

Derrick Köhn ⇄ Tom Rothe

Stefan Schimmer ⇄ Budu Zivzivadze

69' ⇄

⇄ 69'

András Schäfer ⇄ Ilyas Ansah

⇄ 69'

Diogo Leite ⇄ Livan Burcu

⚽ 2–1 75'

Leopold Querfeld assist: Rani Khedira

Marvin Pieringer ⇄ Niklas Dorsch

77' ⇄

Mathias Honsak ⇄ Arijon Ibrahimović

77' ⇄

Budu Zivzivadze

79' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 84'

Alex Král

▮ 87'

Yellow Card

Eren Dinkçi

88' ⇄

⇄ Luca Kerber

88' ⇄

Budu Zivzivadze Goal cancelled

90+6' 🖵

FT 3–1

1. FC Heidenheim

Match Stats

Union Berlin

45% Ball Possession 55%

1.85 Expected Goals (xG) 0.99

7 Total Shots 10

3 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 5

0 Blocked Shots 2

6 Shots insidebox 10

1 Shots outsidebox 0

3 Corner Kicks 5

2 Offsides 1

7 Fouls 13

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 0

333 Total passes 402

237 Passes accurate 277

71% Passes % 69%

-1.08 goals_prevented -1.08

1. FC Heidenheim

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Marvin Pieringer F	8.3	77'	–	1	–	18 (12%)	–
6 Patrick Mainka D	7.9	90'	–	1	2	33 (23%)	2
11 Budu Zivzivadze F	7.9	21'	1	–	2	3 (3%)	–
17 Mathias Honsak M	7.7	77'	2	–	2	14 (12%)	1
2 Marnon Busch D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	30 (24%)	3
22 Arijon Ibrahimović M	7.2	13'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
8 Eren Dinkçi M	7.0	88'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	2
41 Diant Ramaj G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	49 (25%)	–
19 Jonas Föhrenbach D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	37 (28%)	–
26 Hennes Behrens D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (21%)	1
3 Jan Schöppner M	6.9	88'	–	1	–	21 (14%)	–
21 Adrian Beck M	6.9	10'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
16 Julian Niehues M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	41 (36%)	1
30 Niklas Dorsch M	6.6	13'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
20 Luca Kerber M	6.6	10'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	1
9 Stefan Schimmer F	6.5	69'	–	–	–	11 (6%)	2

Union Berlin

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Leopold Querfeld D	7.6	90'	1	–	1	53 (32%)	1
1 Frederik Rønnow G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	39 (30%)	–
8 Rani Khedira M	6.7	90'	–	1	–	26 (18%)	–
33 Alex Král M	6.7	84'	–	–	–	27 (20%)	3
9 Livan Burcu F	6.6	21'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	1
21 Tim Skarke M	6.6	28'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
7 Oliver Burke F	6.5	62'	–	–	–	15 (7%)	–
15 Tom Rothe D	6.3	28'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	–
4 Diogo Leite D	6.2	69'	–	–	–	45 (31%)	1
23 Andrej Ilić F	6.2	90'	–	–	4	21 (8%)	–
49 Linus Guther M	6.2	14'	–	–	–	3	–
5 Danilho Doekhi D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	53 (41%)	2
13 András Schäfer M	6.0	69'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	2
10 Ilyas Ansah F	6.0	21'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
19 Janik Haberer D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (20%)	1
39 Derrick Köhn D	5.9	62'	–	–	2	25 (15%)	–

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

1. FC Heidenheim or draw

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1. FC Heidenheim

LDWWW

Union Berlin

LLLDW

Last 3 meetings 1. FC Heidenheim · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, 1. FC Heidenheim will host Union Berlin. Heidenheim has shown resilience at home, with a 50% win rate this season, leveraging their strong defensive setup which has yielded 1.2 goals against per match. Conversely, Union Berlin has struggled on the road, securing only 30% of points away, with an average of 1.5 goals conceded per match. This matchup could hinge on Heidenheim's ability to exploit Union's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in set-piece situations, where they've been less effective. A tight contest is expected, with both teams aiming to bolster their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Union Berlin goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	13	7	2	1
1	13	14	7	2	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	2	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ 1. FC Heidenheim goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

1. FC Heidenheim

No scorer data.

Union Berlin

T. Skarke 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Union Berlin

3 1. FC Heidenheim Wins

0 Draws

0 Union Berlin Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Nov 2025	Union Berlin	1 - 2	1. FC Heidenheim
10 May 2025	Union Berlin	0 - 3	1. FC Heidenheim
11 Jan 2025	1. FC Heidenheim	2 - 0	Union Berlin

See all 5 meetings — Premium

1. FC Heidenheim — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	L	3 - 0
20 Sep	A Arminia Bielefeld	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Holstein Kiel	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A SpVgg Greuther Fürth	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Dynamo Dresden	W	5 - 3

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Bayern München	L	7 - 0
11 Sep	H FC Schalke 04	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	4 - 0
29 Aug	H Eintracht Frankfurt	D	3 - 3
23 Aug	A Eintracht Braunschweig	W	2 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0