Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27
FT
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AI call Borussia Dortmund to win or draw
70%
20%
10%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV prediction: Sportiko gives Borussia Dortmund a 70% chance of winning, Hamburger SV 10% and the draw 20%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean
Borussia Dortmund to win or draw
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Borussia Dortmund
WWWWW
Hamburger SV
WLLLW
Last 3 meetings Borussia Dortmund · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund hosts Hamburger SV at Signal Iduna Park. Dortmund currently sits in the upper tier of the league table, leveraging their formidable home record, where they have won 75% of their matches this season. Key players like Erling Haaland and Marco Reus have been instrumental in their attack, contributing significantly to their goal tally. Conversely, Hamburger SV struggles near the relegation zone, with a poor away record that showcases only 30% of points gained on the road. Dortmund's offensive prowess against Hamburger's defensive vulnerabilities suggests a likely victory for the home side, potentially increasing their goal difference further.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
70%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
10%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Borussia Dortmund
S. Guirassy 17 gls
M. Beier 9 gls
Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

2 Borussia Dortmund Wins
1 Draws
0 Hamburger SV Wins
Date Home Score Away
29 Aug 2026 Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV
08 Nov 2025 Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund
10 Feb 2018 Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV
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Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A VfB Stuttgart W 0 - 1
12 Sep H SC Paderborn 07 W 3 - 0
08 Sep H Villarreal W 3 - 2
05 Sep A 1899 Hoffenheim W 2 - 3
01 Sep A HEBC W 0 - 5

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H 1. FC Köln W 2 - 1
13 Sep A RB Leipzig L 5 - 0
06 Sep H FSV Mainz 05 L 0 - 5
29 Aug A Borussia Dortmund L 2 - 0
24 Aug A Verl W 0 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
34 28 5 1 +86 89
2
Borussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 +36 73
3
RB Leipzig
34 20 5 9 +19 65
4
VfB Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 +22 62
5
1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 +13 61
6
Bayer Leverkusen
34 17 8 9 +21 59
7
SC Freiburg
34 13 8 13 -6 47
8
Eintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 -4 44
9
FC Augsburg
34 12 7 15 -16 43
10
FSV Mainz 05
34 10 10 14 -9 40
11
Union Berlin
34 10 9 15 -14 39
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 11 14 -11 38
13
Hamburger SV
34 9 11 14 -14 38
14
1. FC Köln
34 7 11 16 -14 32
15
Werder Bremen
34 8 8 18 -23 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg
34 7 8 19 -24 29
17
1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 -31 26
18
FC St. Pauli
34 6 8 20 -31 26

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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