Bayern München vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27
FT
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AI call Bayern München to win
83%
13%
5%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Bayern München vs Union Berlin prediction: Sportiko gives Bayern München a 83% chance of winning, Union Berlin 5% and the draw 13%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Our lean
Bayern München to win
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Bayern München
WWWDW
Union Berlin
LLLDW
Last 3 meetings Bayern München · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash on March 21, 2026, Bayern München hosts Union Berlin at the Allianz Arena. Bayern, historically dominant with a strong home record, will look to leverage their attacking power, featuring players like Harry Kane and Leroy Sané, who have been pivotal in their scoring charts this season. Union Berlin, while resilient, typically struggles against top-tier teams, especially away. Given Bayern's average of over 2.5 goals per match at home, Union will need to fortify their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks to secure a positive result. Overall, Bayern's offensive prowess makes them clear favorites in this matchup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
83%
45%
Draw
13%
45%
Away
5%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bayern München
H. Kane 36 gls
M. Olise 15 gls
L. Díaz 15 gls
Union Berlin

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Bayern München vs Union Berlin

1 Bayern München Wins
2 Draws
0 Union Berlin Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Sep 2026 Bayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin
08 Nov 2025 Union Berlin 2 - 2 Bayern München
15 Mar 2025 Union Berlin 1 - 1 Bayern München
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Bayern München — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Union Berlin W 7 - 0
13 Sep A SV Elversberg W 1 - 2
10 Sep H Bodo/Glimt W 5 - 0
05 Sep A FC Schalke 04 D 0 - 0
02 Sep A VfL Osnabrück W 1 - 4

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Bayern München L 7 - 0
11 Sep H FC Schalke 04 L 1 - 3
05 Sep A Bayer Leverkusen L 4 - 0
29 Aug H Eintracht Frankfurt D 3 - 3
23 Aug A Eintracht Braunschweig W 2 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
34 28 5 1 +86 89
2
Borussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 +36 73
3
RB Leipzig
34 20 5 9 +19 65
4
VfB Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 +22 62
5
1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 +13 61
6
Bayer Leverkusen
34 17 8 9 +21 59
7
SC Freiburg
34 13 8 13 -6 47
8
Eintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 -4 44
9
FC Augsburg
34 12 7 15 -16 43
10
FSV Mainz 05
34 10 10 14 -9 40
11
Union Berlin
34 10 9 15 -14 39
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 11 14 -11 38
13
Hamburger SV
34 9 11 14 -14 38
14
1. FC Köln
34 7 11 16 -14 32
15
Werder Bremen
34 8 8 18 -23 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg
34 7 8 19 -24 29
17
1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 -31 26
18
FC St. Pauli
34 6 8 20 -31 26

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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