Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

FC St. Pauli

Away

BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

AI call FC St. Pauli or draw

32%

30%

38%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli prediction: Sportiko gives Borussia Mönchengladbach a 32% chance of winning, FC St. Pauli 38% and the draw 30%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC St. Pauli or draw

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Borussia Mönchengladbach

LLLLW

FC St. Pauli

DWDLL

Last 3 meetings Borussia Mönchengladbach · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Mönchengladbach will host FC St. Pauli at Borussia-Park. Gladbach, traditionally a mid-table side, boasts a strong home advantage with an average of 2.1 goals per game at home this season, complemented by a solid defensive record. In contrast, St. Pauli, newly promoted and struggling in the league, has conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game away from home. The match could heavily tilt in favor of the hosts if they capitalize on their offensive strengths while exploiting St. Pauli's defensive vulnerabilities. Additionally, Gladbach's attacking duo has been in good form, potentially making this a challenging outing for the visitors.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC St. Pauli goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	13	8	3	1
1	12	13	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	1
3	2	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Borussia Mönchengladbach goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Borussia Mönchengladbach

H. Tabaković 13 gls

FC St. Pauli

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli

2 Borussia Mönchengladbach Wins

1 Draws

0 FC St. Pauli Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Nov 2025	FC St. Pauli	0 - 4	Borussia Mönchengladbach
06 Apr 2025	FC St. Pauli	1 - 1	Borussia Mönchengladbach
24 Nov 2024	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2 - 0	FC St. Pauli

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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	3 - 4
12 Sep	A SC Freiburg	L	5 - 0
05 Sep	H SV Elversberg	L	3 - 4
29 Aug	A RB Leipzig	L	3 - 0
23 Aug	A Schott Mainz	W	0 - 5

FC St. Pauli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Energie Cottbus	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H VfL Wolfsburg	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Arminia Bielefeld	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H 1. FC Kaiserslautern	L	1 - 2
23 Aug	A Rot-Weiß Essen	L	2 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	+86	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	+36	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	+19	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	+22	62
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	+13	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	+21	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9	40
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14	39
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31	26
18	FC St. Pauli	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31	26

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.