1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25
FT
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AI call Difficult Borussia Dortmund win or draw
13%
22%
65%
Home Win Draw Away Win

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: Sportiko gives 1. FC Köln a 13% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund 65% and the draw 22%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Borussia Dortmund win or draw
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1. FC Köln
LDLWW
Borussia Dortmund
WWWWW
Last 3 meetings 1. FC Köln · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, 1. FC Köln hosts Borussia Dortmund on March 7, 2026. Köln has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, while Dortmund's attack has been prolific, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Köln's home advantage could be crucial, yet they will need to enhance their defensive organization to counter Dortmund's pacey forwards. Historically, Dortmund has dominated this fixture, winning 60% of their last 10 encounters. Given their current form and offensive capabilities, Dortmund is favored to secure the three points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
13%
10%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
65%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

1. FC Köln
S. El Mala 13 gls
Borussia Dortmund
S. Guirassy 17 gls
M. Beier 9 gls

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Head to Head: 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund

0 1. FC Köln Wins
0 Draws
3 Borussia Dortmund Wins
Date Home Score Away
25 Oct 2025 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 1. FC Köln
20 Jan 2024 1. FC Köln 0 - 4 Borussia Dortmund
19 Aug 2023 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 1. FC Köln
See all 10 meetings — Premium

1. FC Köln — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Hamburger SV L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Werder Bremen D 1 - 1
04 Sep A VfB Stuttgart L 4 - 1
29 Aug H 1899 Hoffenheim W 3 - 2
24 Aug A Würzburger Kickers W 1 - 2

Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A VfB Stuttgart W 0 - 1
12 Sep H SC Paderborn 07 W 3 - 0
08 Sep H Villarreal W 3 - 2
05 Sep A 1899 Hoffenheim W 2 - 3
01 Sep A HEBC W 0 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
34 28 5 1 +86 89
2
Borussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 +36 73
3
RB Leipzig
34 20 5 9 +19 65
4
VfB Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 +22 62
5
1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 +13 61
6
Bayer Leverkusen
34 17 8 9 +21 59
7
SC Freiburg
34 13 8 13 -6 47
8
Eintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 -4 44
9
FC Augsburg
34 12 7 15 -16 43
10
FSV Mainz 05
34 10 10 14 -9 40
11
Union Berlin
34 10 9 15 -14 39
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 11 14 -11 38
13
Hamburger SV
34 9 11 14 -14 38
14
1. FC Köln
34 7 11 16 -14 32
15
Werder Bremen
34 8 8 18 -23 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg
34 7 8 19 -24 29
17
1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 -31 26
18
FC St. Pauli
34 6 8 20 -31 26

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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