Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction

FA Cup FA Cup · 1/128-finals
FT
Post on X
Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
AI call Crewe or draw
40%
30%
31%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon prediction: Sportiko gives Crewe a 40% chance of winning, AFC Wimbledon 31% and the draw 30%. Last updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:03.

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Timeline

Charlie McNeill assist: C. Thomas
12' ⚽ 1–0
Jordan Gibson Yellow Card
18' ▮
HT 1–0
▮ 61'
Alistair Smith Yellow Card
C. Thomas
62' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 66'
H. Cornick ⇄ Aron Sasu
⇄ 66'
Ollie Harrison ⇄ Callum Maycock
⇄ 67'
Myles Hippolyte ⇄ Zack Nelson
Reece Hutchinson Yellow Card
70' ▮
Charlie McNeill ⇄ Adrien Thibaut
71' ⇄
C. Thomas ⇄ O. Lunt
71' ⇄
Jordan Gibson ⇄ Calum Agius
76' ⇄
Josh March ⇄ Joel Tabiner
76' ⇄
Joe White Yellow Card
78' ▮
⇄ 79'
Alistair Smith ⇄ Andy Yiadom
⇄ 79'
Steven Sessegnon ⇄ Donnell McNeilly
⚽ 2–1 82'
Andy Yiadom assist: Donnell McNeilly
▮ 87'
James Tilley Yellow Card
Adrien Thibaut Yellow Card
89' ▮
Lewis Billington Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
Joe White ⇄ Kyle Ure
90+3' ⇄
FT 2–1
Crewe

Match Stats

AFC Wimbledon
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 8
4 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Corner Kicks 10
2 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 14
5 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
13 Free Kicks 10
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Our lean
Crewe or draw
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Crewe
WDLLW
AFC Wimbledon
LLLDL

Live insights

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Crewe leads 2-1. Win probability: 93.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 6.9%.

83' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Crewe win probability: 92.1%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 18%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Crewe leads 2-0. Win probability: 98.8%. Comeback chance: 1.2%.

63' Goal 85% sure

Crewe now leads 2-0 with 96.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 52.9%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 43.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Crewe — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H AFC Wimbledon W 2 - 1
31 Oct H Barnet D 1 - 1
24 Oct A Chesterfield L 5 - 1
20 Oct A Exeter City L 2 - 0
17 Oct H Rochdale W 3 - 2

AFC Wimbledon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Crewe L 2 - 1
31 Oct A Stockport County L 2 - 1
27 Oct H Arsenal U21 L 1 - 2
24 Oct H Wycombe D 1 - 1
20 Oct H Mansfield Town L 0 - 3

FA Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

AFC Wimbledon

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: J. Jackson
39 Bursik
2 Sessegnon
3 Seddon
6 Johnson
33 Ogundere
7 Tilley
21 Hippolyte
5 Harrison
12 Smith
23 Cornick
9 Stockley

Starting XI

# Player Pos
39 J. Bursik G
7 J. Tilley D
33 I. Ogundere D
6 R. Johnson D
3 S. Seddon D
2 S. Sessegnon D
12 A. Smith M
5 O. Harrison M
21 M. Hippolyte M
9 J. Stockley F
23 H. Cornick F

Substitutes

15 F. Simmonds D
17 A. Yiadom D
10 Z. Nelson M
19 Donnell McNeilly F
20 J. McDonnell G
29 A. Sasu F
8 C. Maycock M
34 H. Hedges M
22 R. Horan D

Crewe

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
13 Lawlor
3 Hutchinson
12 Stephenson
6 Offord
2 Billington
17 Holíček
8 Thomas
14 Gibson
10 White
9 March
23 McNeill

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 I. Lawlor G
2 L. Billington D
6 L. Offord D
12 J. Stephenson D
3 R. Hutchinson D
8 C. Thomas M
17 M. Holíček M
9 J. March M
10 J. White M
14 J. Gibson M
23 C. McNeill F

Substitutes

20 Calum Agius F
1 T. Booth G
19 O. Lunt M
11 J. Tabiner M
29 A. Thibaut F
32 L. Moore M
24 James Jones M
30 Stan Dancey D
4 Kyle Ure M

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