Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction
Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction: Sportiko gives Universitatea Craiova a 70% chance of winning, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 10% and the draw 20%. Last updated 5 Nov 2026, 21:56.
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Match Report
Universitatea Craiova secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage, with both goals arriving before the half-hour mark. Alexandru Cicâldău opened the scoring in the 24th minute, and left back Nicușor Bancu doubled the advantage eight minutes later, giving the Romanian side a commanding interval lead that they would not relinquish.
The result was somewhat against the run of play on paper, with Egnatia actually dominating possession at 53% and generating a significantly higher expected goals figure of 1.84 compared to Craiova's 0.43, while also outshooting the hosts 16–9. Nevertheless, Craiova's clinical finishing proved decisive. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Craiova win as the most likely outcome at 70%, a call that proved correct.
The second half grew increasingly fractious, with Egnatia's Eneo Bitri receiving two yellow cards in quick succession to be dismissed in the 84th minute. Cicâldău, who had opened the scoring, also picked up a booking before being substituted, while further cautions were shown to Simon Elisor and David Matei as Craiova closed out a disciplined, if fortunate, three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Universitatea Craiova
Match Stats
Universitatea Craiova
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nicușor Bancu M | 9.0 | 87' | 1 | – | 2 | 44 (34%) | 1 |
| 6 Vladimir Screciu D | 7.7 | 87' | – | – | – | 59 (52%) | – |
| 3 Oleksandr Romanchuk D | 7.7 | 87' | – | – | – | 65 (57%) | 1 |
| 20 Alexandru Cicâldău F | 7.3 | 76' | 1 | – | 4 | 43 (34%) | 1 |
| 10 Ștefan Baiaram F | 7.3 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 21 Laurenţiu Popescu G | 7.2 | 87' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 17 Carlos Mora M | 7.2 | 87' | – | 1 | 1 | 41 (37%) | – |
| 9 Assad Al-Hamlawi F | 7.0 | 64' | – | – | 3 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 16 João Lameira M | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 40 (35%) | 1 |
| 24 Nikola Stevanović D | 6.9 | 84' | – | – | – | 44 (43%) | 1 |
| 8 Tudor Băluță M | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 36 (32%) | 3 |
| 30 David Matei M | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 22 Simon Elisor F | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 23 Samuel Teles M | 6.2 | 23' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | – |
| 28 Adrian Rus D | — | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 M. Dajsinani G | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | – |
| 22 Guillem Jaime M | 6.9 | 60' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | 2 |
| 29 Andrey Yago M | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 36 (28%) | 2 |
| 17 Altin Kryeziu M | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 48 (43%) | 1 |
| 4 Zamiq Aliyev D | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | – |
| 55 Geralb Smajli D | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 6 Albano Aleksi D | 6.5 | 87' | – | – | – | 54 (45%) | 1 |
| 10 Alessandro Albanese F | 6.5 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 21 (15%) | – |
| 99 Jurguens Montenegro F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 24 Numan Ajetovikj D | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 40 (34%) | 1 |
| 33 Eneo Bitri D | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | – | 49 (44%) | 2 |
| 20 Karim Loukili M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | – |
| 2 Daniel Adjessa F | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 7 Fernando Medeiros M | 6.2 | 87' | – | – | 3 | 26 (17%) | – |
| 80 Ledio Beqja M | 6.2 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 8 Ibrahim Diabaté M | — | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Min 76: Universitatea Craiova leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.6%. Comeback chance: 0.4%.
Half-time: 2-0. Universitatea Craiova leads. Win probability: 98%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.9%.
Universitatea Craiova now leads 2-0 with 97.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 84.1%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. Universitatea Craiova win: 89.4%. BTTS: 40.3%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Universitatea Craiova — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Egnatia Rrogozhinë | W | 2 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | H FC Botosani | W | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A FC Voluntari | D | 1 - 1 |
| 26 Oct | A Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | W | 0 - 5 |
| 22 Oct | A Inter Club d'Escaldes | W | 1 - 3 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Universitatea Craiova | L | 2 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Tirana | W | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Oct | H Teuta Durrës | W | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Dinamo Tirana | L | 2 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | A Aarhus | D | 1 - 1 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
FC Copenhagen
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |
Universitatea Craiova
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |
Mjallby AIF
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |
St. Truiden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ajax
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |
Trabzonspor
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |
SC Freiburg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atalanta
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |
SC Braga
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Gent
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |
Riga
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |
FC Thun
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |
Borac Banja Luka
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |
FK Jablonec
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |
Aarhus
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |
FC Nordsjaelland
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |
Kairat Almaty
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |
CSKA Sofia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |
FC Iberia 1999
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |
Pafos
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |
Getafe
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |
KuPS
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Midtjylland
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 98 | Mario Dajsinani | G |
| 6 | Albano Aleksi | D |
| 33 | Eneo Bitri | D |
| 24 | Numan Ajetovikj | D |
| 17 | Altin Kryeziu | M |
| 22 | Guillem Jaime | M |
| 20 | Karim Loukili | M |
| 7 | Fernando Medeiros | M |
| 29 | Andrey Yago | M |
| 2 | Daniel Adjessa | F |
| 10 | Alessandro Albanese | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | Zamiq Aliyev | D |
| 55 | Geralb Smajli | D |
| 80 | Ledio Beqja | M |
| 1 | Levan Tandilashvili | G |
| 12 | Bruno Puja | G |
| 13 | Alessandro Kacbufi | D |
| 16 | Edison Ndreca | D |
| 8 | Ibrahim Diabaté | M |
| 99 | Jurguens Montenegro | F |
Universitatea Craiova
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Laurenţiu Popescu | G |
| 3 | Oleksandr Romanchuk | D |
| 24 | Nikola Stevanović | D |
| 6 | Vladimir Screciu | D |
| 17 | Carlos Mora | M |
| 16 | João Lameira | M |
| 8 | Tudor Băluță | M |
| 11 | Nicușor Bancu | M |
| 20 | Alexandru Cicâldău | F |
| 9 | Assad Al-Hamlawi | F |
| 10 | Ștefan Baiaram | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | Samuel Teles | M |
| 22 | Simon Elisor | F |
| 1 | Alexandru Maxim | G |
| 90 | Răzvan Sava | G |
| 28 | Adrian Rus | D |
| 31 | Ronaldo Webster | D |
| 29 | Luca Băsceanu | M |
| 4 | Alexandru Crețu | M |
| 7 | Steven Nsimba | F |
| 19 | Heriberto Tavares | D |
| 30 | David Matei | M |